Sunderland vs Newcastle Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews in the FA Cup third round. Sunderland and Newcastle United clash in a highly anticipated Tyne-Wear derby at the Stadium of Light on Saturday at lunchtime. Read on for our free predictions and tips.
FA Cup | Third Round – Jan 6, 2024 at 12:45pm UK at Stadium of Light
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Sunderland vs Newcastle Predictions
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The Tyne-Wear Derby: A Clash of North East Titans
Key Stats
– Newcastle scores an average of 1.95 goals-per-game in the Premier League.
– Both teams have scored in five of Newcastle’s last seven games; they have just one clean sheet in their last eight.
The upcoming FA Cup clash between Sunderland and Newcastle United at the Stadium of Light promises to be more than just a football match; it’s a battle for regional supremacy, a clash drenched in history and rivalry. With Sunderland’s recent resurgence under Michael Beale and Newcastle’s fluctuating form under Eddie Howe, this encounter is set to be a compelling spectacle.
Sunderland’s Resurgence
Under Beale’s stewardship, Sunderland have found a new lease of life. The team has secured seven points from their last three games, including victories over Hull City and Preston North End, showcasing their tactical flexibility and newfound resilience. Their possession-based style and impressive 58% ball possession average have been central to their success. Key players like Jack Clarke and Daniel Ballard have been instrumental, with Clarke’s 7.74 average rating highlighting his impact. However, injuries to key players like Patrick Roberts could limit their attacking prowess in this crucial encounter.
Newcastle’s Struggles and Potential
Newcastle United, despite their recent Champions League participation, have experienced a worrying dip in form, marked by four successive defeats. Their attacking play, spearheaded by Alexander Isak and Anthony Gordon, remains a threat, as evidenced by their average of 1.95 goals per game in the Premier League. However, defensive lapses have cost them dearly, with only one clean sheet in their last eight matches. Injuries to pivotal players like Callum Wilson and Kieran Trippier further compound their challenges.
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Key Battles and Tactical Dynamics
This match will likely be decided in midfield, where Sunderland’s Dan Neil and Newcastle’s Bruno Guimarães will be pivotal. Their ability to control the tempo and create chances could swing the game. The defensive resilience of Newcastle’s Sven Botman against Sunderland’s attacking threats, especially Clarke, will be another crucial duel.
From a tactical standpoint, Newcastle’s quick transitions and counter-attacking prowess could exploit Sunderland’s occasional defensive vulnerabilities. Sunderland, on the other hand, will aim to control possession and break down a Newcastle defence that has shown fragility in recent games.
Critique of Managers and Strategies
Michael Beale’s positive influence on Sunderland is evident, but his tactical naivety in big games remains a concern. Eddie Howe, despite bringing a breath of fresh air to Newcastle, has been criticised for his team’s defensive disorganisation and inability to maintain consistency. His approach in this derby will be under scrutiny, especially given Newcastle’s recent struggles in cup competitions.
Analysis and Recommendations
Sunderland’s expected goals average reflects their efficiency in front of goal, but their defensive frailties could be exploited by a Newcastle side adept at creating big chances. For Sunderland, improving defensive solidity is key, while Newcastle must find consistency in their gameplay and address defensive weaknesses.
Expected Lineups and Commentary
Sunderland’s Expected Lineup: Bishop; Hume, Ballard, O’Nien, Alese; Ekwah, Neil; Pritchard, Bellingham, Clarke; Rusyn
Sunderland’s lineup suggests a focus on maintaining possession and exploiting the wings. The presence of Clarke and Neil in midfield will be crucial in creating chances and controlling the game’s rhythm.
Newcastle United’s Expected Lineup: Karius; Livramento, Schar, Lascelles, Hall; Miley, Guimaraes, Longstaff; Ritchie, Isak, Gordon
Newcastle’s lineup, featuring Isak and Gordon, indicates an attacking approach, with Guimaraes pivotal in transitioning play. The defensive setup, however, could be tested against Sunderland’s agile attackers.
Predictions
- Match Outcome – Newcastle to Win: Despite a recent dip in form, Newcastle United possess an undeniable quality, especially in the attacking third. Their Premier League experience and the calibre of players like Alexander Isak and Anthony Gordon give them an edge over Championship side Sunderland. While Sunderland have shown improvement under Michael Beale, Newcastle’s superior firepower, combined with their motivation to reverse their recent derby misfortunes, positions them as favourites to emerge victorious. The intensity of the derby might see Sunderland put up a strong fight, but Newcastle’s quality is likely to prevail.
- Correct Score – Sunderland 1-3 Newcastle United: This prediction reflects the expected dynamic of the game. Sunderland’s capability to find the back of the net, especially at home, should see them breach Newcastle’s defence at least once. However, Newcastle’s attacking prowess, coupled with Sunderland’s vulnerability at the back, suggests that the visitors could score multiple goals. A 3-1 scoreline in favour of Newcastle aligns with both teams’ recent form and the attacking nature of this high-stakes derby.
- Goalscorer Prediction – Alexander Isak: Alexander Isak stands out as a key player for Newcastle in this fixture. His agility, positioning, and clinical finishing make him a constant threat. Isak’s ability to exploit spaces in Sunderland’s defence, particularly in transition moments, positions him well to find scoring opportunities. His form this season, despite the team’s overall struggles, indicates that he is more than capable of leaving his mark on this crucial encounter.
- Corner Prediction – Newcastle to Edge Corners, Total Corners Over 9.5: This prediction is based on the attacking styles of both teams. Newcastle’s approach, involving wide play and crossing, is likely to yield several corner opportunities. Sunderland, not shying away from attacking themselves, will contribute to the corner tally as they seek to exploit set-piece situations. The overall intensity and end-to-end nature of the game are expected to result in a high number of corners, with Newcastle, given their attacking edge, likely to win a greater share.
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