Stevenage vs Birmingham Predictions

Stevenage vs Birmingham predictions for this League One fixture. League One champions Birmingham City travel to Stevenage on Thursday, targeting the 100-point milestone as they close out a dominant campaign in England’s third tier. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

League One | Apr 23, 2025 at 8pm UK at The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage vs Birmingham Predictions

Can Stevenage Stop the Blues’ Record-Breaking Charge?

• Away Day Warriors: Birmingham have lost just once in their last 17 away matches, showing exceptional consistency on the road regardless of opponent quality or context.
• Goals Galore from the Champions: The duo of Alfie May and Jay Stansfield have bagged a combined 34 league goals this term, underlining Birmingham’s lethal edge in front of goal.
• Home is No Fortress: Stevenage have collected just one win in their last six League One matches at the Lamex, a record that casts serious doubt on their ability to tame the champions.

Best Bet for Stevenage vs Birmingham

With Birmingham City already crowned League One champions and Stevenage scrambling for a respectable top-half finish, Thursday night’s clash at the Lamex Stadium serves up a tale of two very different seasons. The Blues, still hungry for milestones, arrive in Hertfordshire needing just one more point to breach the 100-mark barrier, a feat that would further underline their domestic dominance. Meanwhile, Stevenage find themselves in a curious limbo—mathematically safe but lacking the momentum to truly challenge one of the most formidable outfits in the league this term.

Alex Revell’s men come off a narrow 1-0 win at Bristol Rovers, but that was just their second victory in nine. While the relief of that result was evident, the broader context remains unflattering. One win in six at home hardly inspires confidence against a Birmingham side that’s lost just once in 17 away days. Add to that the psychological burden of having already suffered defeat twice to this same opponent in 2025, and the scale of Stevenage’s challenge becomes glaringly obvious.

On paper and on form, this looks like a match where Birmingham can extend their ruthless charge. But football doesn’t always conform to formbooks, does it?

Best Bet: Birmingham City to Win & Both Teams to Score

There’s something almost inevitable about Birmingham’s ability to keep winning. Chris Davies has moulded a machine, one that doesn’t just grind out results but often does so with style and swagger. Their Easter Monday victory at Burton wasn’t just another three points—it was a message that they’re far from done. With Alfie May and Jay Stansfield combining for 34 league goals, the firepower is clear for all to see.

Yet, a clean sheet remains elusive. Despite their dominance, Birmingham have now conceded in each of their last five away games. The attacking duo might shine in the final third, but cracks do occasionally show at the back. That imbalance is precisely what makes this bet the most compelling option on the table.

Stevenage, for all their inconsistency, are not goal-shy at home. They’ve netted in each of their last four fixtures at the Lamex. Dan Kemp, with ten goals from midfield, continues to be a consistent threat, especially when Jamie Reid is having a quieter spell. Their recent 3-0 dismantling of Crawley at home shows that they can put together the occasional complete performance—though replicating that against Birmingham is a different beast entirely.

The risk lies in Birmingham potentially rotating, given their title is already secured. However, Davies has shown no sign of easing off the gas just yet. With names like Ethan Laird, Keshi Anderson, and Paik Seung-ho likely stepping into more prominent roles, there’s still depth and quality—just a slightly different flavour to their usual XI.

“Birmingham have shown us this season that hunger doesn’t vanish after silverware. They’re not just champions—they’re record-chasers now,” said BettingTips4You.com expert Graham Hartshorn. “That desire to set records, paired with their suspect backline away from home, makes this win-and-concede combo the smart move.”

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Correct Score Prediction: Birmingham City 3-1 Stevenage

A 3-1 scoreline feels like the natural extension of the logic behind our best bet. Birmingham’s offensive potency, spearheaded by Stansfield and May, is simply too overwhelming for most League One defences—and Stevenage are no exception. One win in six at home doesn’t scream resilience, and even with Carl Piergianni and Charlie Goode marshalling the backline, it’s hard to see them keeping the Blues out for long.

Stevenage, though, can still land a punch. Their record of scoring in recent home fixtures suggests they will find the net, especially with Birmingham’s clean sheet issues on the road. The likes of Kemp and Reid offer enough menace to exploit any complacency or rotation-induced vulnerabilities in the visiting backline.

So, expect Birmingham to assert their class, but also anticipate a Stevenage goal—possibly late on when the outcome is already decided.

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