St Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions

St Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund predictions for Saturday’s Bundesliga fixture. Borussia Dortmund visit St Pauli Saturday at Millerntor-Stadion, aiming for a strong start to fuel their Bundesliga title challenge hopes. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Bundesliga | Aug 23 2025 at 5:30 pm UK at Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Can Dortmund’s Firepower Silence St Pauli’s Survival Grit?

• St Pauli’s home struggles: They netted just ten goals in 17 Bundesliga games at Millerntor-Stadion last season, the worst attacking return in the entire league.
• Dortmund’s late surge: BVB collected 22 of a possible 24 points in their last eight league games of 2024-25, more than any other Bundesliga team.
• Goals guaranteed: Dortmund scored 71 league goals last term, averaging nearly two per game, while St Pauli scored fewer than one goal per match.

Best Bet for St Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund

The Millerntor-Stadion will be buzzing on Saturday as St Pauli, fresh from clinging onto Bundesliga survival, welcome Borussia Dortmund in a game that feels like a complete mismatch on paper but has that dangerous whiff of early-season unpredictability. The hosts managed to stay up last term with 32 points, but let’s be honest: it was more through grit and defending for their lives than anything resembling attacking flair. With only 28 goals scored across the campaign – the lowest return in the league – the Kiezkicker’s forwards were about as sharp as a butter knife. Their strength lay at the back, where only Bayern Munich conceded fewer goals, but whether that defensive wall can stand up to Dortmund’s firepower is a very different question.

Dortmund, meanwhile, ended last season flying. After parting ways with their former boss mid-campaign, Niko Kovac took charge and oversaw a surge that carried them to fourth place and another season of Champions League football. The Black and Yellow weren’t just resilient – they were ruthless, scoring 71 goals in the Bundesliga, more than anyone bar Leverkusen and Bayern. Their fans will arrive with title talk on their lips, and after taking 22 of the final 24 points available last term, it’s hard not to feel that optimism is justified.

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Now, the Best Bet for this clash: Dortmund to win with a clean sheet. Here at BettingTips4You, we don’t clutter you with endless options – we pick the single best tip per match, the one selection we’re confident is the ultimate call. Quality over quantity, always.

Why this prediction makes sense is simple: St Pauli just don’t score. Ten goals across 17 home games last season tells you everything you need to know. Even in their last six competitive matches, they’ve failed to win in regular time. Their attacking trio of Afolayan, Hountondji and Lage will work hard, but against a Dortmund defence marshalled by Anton, Bensebaini and the emerging Mane, it looks like trying to break down a brick wall with a teaspoon. And let’s not forget Guirassy – 21 goals last season, second only to Harry Kane – who must be licking his lips at the thought of facing a side missing two senior centre-backs.

This Dortmund side are not just a good attacking outfit; they are balanced now. The midfield combination of Sabitzer, Gross and the young Bellingham has bite, creativity and a touch of arrogance – the good kind. Add in Kobel between the sticks, and you have a team that should fancy a clean sheet as much as they do a win.

As our Bundesliga voice Wolfgang Shotten summed up neatly:

“When you put a side that scored 71 league goals last season against a team that couldn’t reach 30, the gulf is clear. Dortmund to win without conceding looks not just logical, but inevitable.”

Given the stats, a 0-2 away win feels about right. Dortmund don’t always steamroll teams away from home, but with Guirassy leading the line and their confidence sky high, they should have enough to get the job done comfortably.

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