St Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

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St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen Predictions for this Bundesliga encounter. Bayer Leverkusen visit St Pauli at Millerntor-Stadion on Saturday, seeking a Bundesliga victory to return to winning form. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips for the game.

Bundesliga | Sep 27 2025 at 2:30 pm UK at the Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Will Both Defences Crack When St Pauli Host Bayer Leverkusen?

• Leverkusen’s fragile backline: They have conceded nine times in their last five matches across all competitions, failing to register a single clean sheet in that run.
• St Pauli’s home strength: The Kiezkicker are unbeaten at Millerntor this season, scoring at least twice in three of their four Bundesliga outings so far.
• Late drama specialists: Five of Leverkusen’s last six goals have been scored after the 80th minute, proving they are never truly out of any contest.

Best Bet for St Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen

Saturday’s Bundesliga fixture at the Millerntor-Stadion promises fireworks as newly confident St Pauli host a Bayer Leverkusen side still trying to convince their fans that they are on the right path under Kasper Hjulmand. The home crowd will be in full voice, and rightly so — St Pauli’s return to the top flight has been better than many expected, with seven points from four games already in the bag. That’s no small feat for a side that was battling away in the second tier not long ago.

But last weekend showed their limitations too. Against Stuttgart, they looked sharp in phases but couldn’t turn chances into goals, and worse, they conceded twice without much resistance. Leverkusen, meanwhile, arrive with a very different sort of baggage. Their dramatic collapse late on against Borussia Monchengladbach left plenty of fans groaning, not only because it cost them the win but also because it highlighted a nasty habit: they have conceded nine goals in their past five games. Their defence looks like a leaky roof in a German winter, and unless Hjulmand finds answers quickly, pressure will build.

Still, Leverkusen are no pushovers. With Patrik Schick spearheading the attack and creative support from Malik Tillman and Eliesse Ben Seghir, they are always capable of goals. St Pauli know this very well — and that’s what makes this clash so fascinating.

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Best Bet for this Match

Here at BettingTips4You, we cut through the noise. We don’t drown you in ten different options; instead, we pin down the single best bet for each game. For St Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen, the ultimate prediction is Both Teams to Score. This is not a random punt, but the clearest selection based on the patterns of both sides so far.

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Why Back This Prediction?

The case for this bet is almost impossible to ignore. First off, Leverkusen simply cannot defend right now. Since August, they have failed to keep a single clean sheet, with their backline cracking under pressure no matter the opponent. Even against weaker sides, their defensive lapses have been obvious. But at the other end of the pitch, they still boast serious firepower. Five of their last six goals came late in games — they don’t stop pushing forward, and they rarely leave without a goal.

St Pauli, on the other hand, are thriving at Millerntor. Their crowd is famously raucous, and their team has responded by staying unbeaten at home this season. They’ve already put multiple goals past Augsburg and Dortmund on their own turf, and while Stuttgart halted them last weekend, the creativity is still there. The double pivot of Sands and Fujita has given them a stable platform, and forwards like Hountondji and Lage have shown enough spark to trouble even stronger defences than Leverkusen’s.

As Wolfgang Shotten, BettingTips4You.com’s Bundesliga expert, puts it:

“Leverkusen are exciting but chaotic right now – they score, they concede, and repeat. St Pauli will not sit back, and that’s why both nets are almost guaranteed to ripple.”

This match screams goals, and with both sides having clear strengths in attack but glaring weaknesses in defence, the BTTS market is the safest and smartest angle.

The correct score? I’m leaning towards a 2-2 draw. It reflects Leverkusen’s inability to close games out and St Pauli’s knack for turning Millerntor into a difficult ground. Neither defence is trustworthy enough to hold out, and both attacks are lively enough to punish mistakes.

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