St Patricks vs Derry City Predictions

St Patrick’s vs Derry City predictions for this Irish Premier Division match. St Patrick’s Athletic host Derry City at Richmond Park in a crucial six-pointer, with both sides battling for European qualification in the League of Ireland Premier Division. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

League of Ireland Premier | June 23 2025 at 7:45 pm UK at Richmond Park

St Patricks vs Derry City Predictions

Can Richmond Park Spark a Reaction or Will Derry Make Another Statement on the Road?

• St Patrick’s Dominance at Home vs Derry
  • They’ve come out on top in three of the last four home meetings with Derry, including a 2-0 success earlier this season.
• Derry Struggle on the Road Against the Best
  • They’ve taken just two points from four trips to top-half sides, showing a recurring weakness when it really counts away from home.
• Saints Unlucky in Recent Defeats
  • Despite losing 3-1 at Galway, St Pat’s produced an xG of 1.7 compared to 1.12, firing more shots and hitting the target more often.

Best Bet for St Patricks vs Derry City

There’s something deliciously unpredictable about Monday night’s showdown between St Patrick’s Athletic and Derry City. You’ve got two clubs chasing Europe, both perched awkwardly on the edge of the top three, and neither fully convincing in recent weeks. It’s not quite must-win, but it’s definitely “must-not-lose” – especially for the Saints, who are wobbling at the wrong time in their season.

For the hosts, the situation is tense. They’ve been stuttering badly, collecting a meagre five points from their last fifteen. Friday’s 3-1 defeat to Galway was hard to swallow, not just because of the scoreline but because they actually played quite well. Ten saves from the opposing keeper tells you one side was doing the attacking – it just wasn’t rewarded. Stephen Kenny has been left scratching his head lately, wondering how a side that dominated in chances could collapse so emphatically. He’ll point to the fact that Richmond Park had been a fortress until recently – their recent home defeat to Shelbourne was the first in over a year – and hope that the return to familiar ground sparks something, anything, from his team.

But then there’s Derry City, fresh off a welcome win and, dare we say, a clean sheet – something they’d forgotten the feeling of until Friday’s gritty 1-0 triumph at Shelbourne. It wasn’t pretty, but it was exactly what Tiernan Lynch’s side needed. They’re quietly climbing again, and a result in Dublin could shove them into the top three. However, if you scratch beneath the surface, the Candystripes’ away form tells a more cautious tale. They’ve managed just two points from four visits to top-half teams this season and have generally been more productive when the pressure’s off and the quality’s lower.

Best Bet for This Match: St Patrick’s to Win

At BettingTips4You, we don’t believe in drowning punters with a laundry list of bets. Instead, we do the hard work and serve you one tip – the best one. For this tightly-contested European battle, our top selection is St Patrick’s to win.

Let’s be honest – the Saints have looked like a team on the edge of clicking. Their performance data has often outshone their results. Against Galway, they generated more chances, had more shots, and forced the goalkeeper into heroics. And before that? A narrow home defeat against Shelbourne, which snapped a ridiculously long unbeaten streak at Richmond Park. With Melia and Keena likely to keep their places up front after troubling Galway’s defence, and home fans back behind them, it feels like the pendulum is ready to swing their way.

Derry, meanwhile, are still not to be fully trusted when it comes to big away days. They’ve scored only once in four of their last five on the road, and while the backline featuring Cann, Connolly and Holt looked sturdy last time, they’ve had their shaky moments throughout the campaign. The probable absence of Sadou Diallo and Ben Doherty further weakens their midfield mobility and width.

“Sometimes football doesn’t reward the better team – but that doesn’t last forever. St Patrick’s look overdue a win, and this fixture at home is tailor-made for a bounce back.”
— BettingTips4You.com expert quote from Herrin Kendrick

This might not be a high-scoring affair – neither side are known for fireworks right now – but the sense of urgency around the Saints, combined with Derry’s patchy form away to strong opposition, makes a narrow home win feel like the sharpest play. The correct score? Let’s go for 2-1 to St Patrick’s – just enough to get the job done, but not without the usual dose of late drama and nervous defending.

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