St Mirren vs Kilmarnock Prediction

St Mirren vs Kilmarnock predictions for this Scottish Premiership clash. St Mirren, hosting Kilmarnock, must win to keep their hopes alive for fourth in the Scottish Premiership. Read on for all our free Scottish Premiership predictions and betting tips.

St Mirren

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 36 – May 11, 2024 at 3.00pm UK at The Smisa Stadium

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St Mirren vs Kilmarnock Predictions

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European Dreams at Stake: Kilmarnock Visit St Mirren in a High-Stakes Premiership Clash

Key Stats

Kilmarnock’s Solid Defence: 13 clean sheets this season, highlighting their defensive strength.

St Mirren’s Home Advantage: Only lost once in their last five home games, making them formidable at home.

Head-to-Head Dominance: Kilmarnock have not lost to St Mirren in their last three encounters, winning two.

This Saturday’s Scottish Premiership fixture sees St Mirren hosting Kilmarnock in a crucial battle for European qualification. With both teams vying for the coveted fourth spot, the stakes couldn’t be higher as the season draws to a close.

Team Dynamics and Season Overview

Kilmarnock, currently holding the fourth position, have displayed remarkable consistency, losing only to Rangers since December. Despite a recent setback at Ibrox, their robust season performance sees them entering this match as slight favourites. The absence of Joe Wright due to suspension could impact their defensive stability, which they’ll need to address against an unpredictable St Mirren side.


On the other hand, St Mirren are positioned just below Kilmarnock and need a win to keep their European hopes alive. After snapping a five-game winless streak with a victory over Dundee, confidence is surging through Stephen Robinson’s squad. This momentum could be key in overcoming a team they’ve struggled against in recent meetings.

Tactical Considerations

Kilmarnock’s gameplay this season has been characterised by solid defence and effective use of counter-attacks, thanks to players like Kyle Vassell, who has been pivotal upfront. St Mirren, however, will rely on their home advantage and the attacking prowess of Toyosi Olusanya, who has been in fine form recently.

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Expected Lineups and Tactical Setup

St Mirren:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Player: Toyosi Olusanya
  • Strategy: Exploit the wings and utilise the pace of Olusanya upfront.


  • Formation: 4-4-2
  • Key Player: Kyle Vassell
  • Strategy: Solid defensive structure with quick transitions to catch St Mirren off-guard.

These setups suggest a game that will be won or lost in midfield, with both teams looking to dominate possession and create through the middle.

Key Player Matchups and Game Deciders

The duel between Kilmarnock’s midfield and St Mirren’s attackers will be critical. Kilmarnock’s ability to control the game’s tempo through Liam Polworth could dictate the pace, while St Mirren’s effectiveness in breaking down a structured defence will hinge on Olusanya’s performance.

Highly Opinionated Analysis of Teams and Managers

Kilmarnock’s Derek McInnes has proven his tactical acumen, although his team’s over-reliance on counter-attacks could be seen as a lack of versatility. For St Mirren, Robinson needs to be criticised for the team’s mid-season dip, which could cost them dearly. His ability to rally his troops for a final push will be his biggest test yet.

Predictions and Strategic Insights


Best Bet: Kilmarnock to Win and Both Teams to Score

Considering the attacking talents on display and Kilmarnock’s need to secure European football with a win, a victory for Kilmarnock with both teams scoring is likely. St Mirren’s improved form suggests they’ll find the net, but Kilmarnock’s overall consistency and strategic setup under McInnes should see them edge this encounter.

Correct Score Prediction: Kilmarnock 2-1 St Mirren

A 2-1 victory for Kilmarnock aligns with the anticipated open play and their effective counter-attacking strategy. This scoreline reflects the balanced threat both teams pose but gives the edge to Kilmarnock, who have more at stake and the tactical nous to close games.

Goalscorer Prediction: Kyle Vassell to Score

Kyle Vassell’s impact this season has been significant for Kilmarnock. His ability to turn up in big games makes him a likely candidate to score, potentially as the first goalscorer, capitalising on St Mirren’s occasionally shaky defence.

Corner Prediction: Kilmarnock More Corners, Total Over 9.5

Kilmarnock’s attacking approach and the need to push for a win will likely result in a higher number of corners. Predicting over 9.5 corners for the game takes into account both teams’ styles, with Kilmarnock pressing forward and St Mirren responding in kind.

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Herrin Kendrick
Herrin Kendrick is a sports journalist with 10 years of experience in the sports betting industry. His work has been referenced by many sports publications over the years. Sport passionate.