St Mirren vs Kilmarnock Predictions

St Mirren vs Kilmarnock Predictions for this Scottish Premiership fixture. Seventh-placed St Mirren host bottom-of-the-table Kilmarnock in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday. A win for St Mirren could see them climb above Rangers and Motherwell, adding pressure to the struggling visitors. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

St Mirren
Kilmarnock

Scottish Premiership | Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK at The Smisa Stadium

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St Mirren vs Kilmarnock Predictions

Will Kilmarnock Break Their Winless Streak at St Mirren’s Expense?
  • Kilmarnock’s Dominance Against St Mirren
    • Kilmarnock have an impressive head-to-head record against St Mirren, remaining unbeaten in their last four meetings. Last season alone, they won three of those encounters, a dominance that could weigh heavily on the minds of both teams coming into this match. St Mirren have not managed a victory against Kilmarnock in 10 matches, which will certainly add pressure to the home side as they seek to break this unenviable record.
  • St Mirren’s Defensive Struggles
    • St Mirren’s defensive vulnerabilities have been apparent this season, having conceded an average of two goals per game in the league. This is a significant concern for a team looking to challenge for the upper half of the table. The 3-0 home defeat to Celtic exposed key weaknesses, and Kilmarnock will look to exploit these with their pace and physicality up front. Their lack of clean sheets at home will be a worrying factor as they prepare for this clash.
  • Kilmarnock’s Inability to Convert Chances
    • While Kilmarnock have struggled to find consistent scoring form, they have been creating chances. They average 10 shots per game, with 2.3 of those on target, yet they’ve only managed to score one goal in four league matches. Their lack of clinical finishing has cost them dearly, but their resilience in earning a point against Hibernian last week suggests that they are capable of finding the net if they can sharpen up in front of goal.

Best Bet

Bookmaker
Kilmarnock to Win @ 9/4
Reasoning
Kilmarnock could upset St Mirren, having taken points in their last four meetings. With Bruce Anderson’s threat and St Mirren's defensive issues, Kilmarnock may exploit weaknesses and secure a surprise result.
Odds subject to change
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As Kilmarnock head into this crucial Scottish Premiership clash against St Mirren, both sides are desperately seeking to break their winless streaks. St Mirren are seventh in the table, while Kilmarnock find themselves at the bottom, but both teams have struggled to find their footing this season. St Mirren, despite their higher position, have not seen victory in their last few games, most recently managing a 2-2 draw away to Dundee. Meanwhile, Kilmarnock’s lone win this season came in the Europa Conference League qualifiers, and their league form has been underwhelming. With both teams eager to revitalise their campaigns, this match holds significant weight.

St Mirren, under the management of Stephen Robinson, will hope to capitalise on home advantage, but their defensive vulnerabilities, as seen in their 3-0 home defeat to Celtic, remain a concern. Kilmarnock, while battling with inconsistency and discipline issues, have shown moments of resilience, including a hard-fought 1-1 draw against Hibernian in their last match. Can Kilmarnock pull themselves out of the relegation zone, or will St Mirren maintain their slight edge at the top of the table? This encounter promises to be an intriguing one, with both teams striving for much-needed points.

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Looking at the statistics and form of both sides, Kilmarnock, despite their lowly position, could spring a surprise on Saturday. Although they are bottom of the table, Kilmarnock’s recent performances suggest they are not as far off the pace as their league standing would imply. They managed to snatch a point from Hibernian last week, thanks to a last-minute penalty from Bruce Anderson, and their record against St Mirren last season offers a glimmer of hope. In their four meetings last season, Kilmarnock won three and drew the other, giving them a psychological edge heading into this game.

Kilmarnock’s attacking threat, while not prolific, has potential. Anderson has proven himself as a reliable scorer when given the opportunity, and with the return of Brad Lyons from suspension, they will be further bolstered. St Mirren, on the other hand, have shown a worrying trend of conceding goals at home, including the heavy 3-0 defeat to Celtic. While St Mirren’s forwards Toyosi Olusanya and Mikael Mandron pose a danger, their defence remains leaky, having conceded eight goals in just four league games.

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Kilmarnock’s defence, although far from solid, has been marginally improving, with Joe Wright leading from the back and Stuart Findlay returning from suspension. If they can keep it tight at the back, they have the opportunity to exploit St Mirren’s weaknesses on the counter. Additionally, Kilmarnock’s ability to find crucial goals late in games, as demonstrated against Hibernian, could prove pivotal here.

According to BettingTips4You expert Herrin Kendrick, “Kilmarnock’s recent head-to-head record against St Mirren combined with their fighting spirit suggests they could very well get the result they need. Their struggles have been overstated, and St Mirren’s defensive issues offer a golden opportunity for Killie to take all three points.”

Correct Score Prediction: St Mirren 0-2 Kilmarnock

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Given the form of both teams and Kilmarnock’s success against St Mirren last season, a 2-0 win for Kilmarnock looks a likely outcome. St Mirren have struggled to score consistently in recent games, particularly against more disciplined defences, and Kilmarnock will look to keep things tight. Kilmarnock have managed to score at least once in most of their matches this season, and with Anderson in form, they have a good chance of finding the net more than once.

Defensively, St Mirren have been vulnerable, especially when playing at home. Their heavy defeat to Celtic and the number of goals they have conceded already this season (an average of two per game) suggest that Kilmarnock’s front line could cause them problems. If Killie manage to capitalise on St Mirren’s defensive lapses, a 2-0 win looks very much on the cards.

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Herrin Kendrick
Herrin Kendrick is a sports journalist with 10 years of experience in the sports betting industry. His work has been referenced by many sports publications over the years. Sport passionate.