St Mirren vs Hearts Predictions

St Mirren vs Hearts predictions for this SPL clash. St Mirren host Hearts at SMISA Stadium, aiming for a win to secure a Europa Conference League spot next season. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.

St Mirren

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 36 – May 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK at The Smisa Stadium

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St Mirren vs Hearts Predictions

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European Aspirations Clash: St Mirren and Hearts Battle for Supremacy

Key Stats

– Lawrence Shankland leads the Premiership’s Golden Boot race with 22 goals.

– St Mirren have only managed one win in their last six meetings with Hearts in Paisley.

– Hearts have secured the third spot with a solid 15-point lead over fourth place, showcasing their consistency.

As the Scottish Premiership draws to a close, St Mirren and Hearts prepare for a critical showdown at SMISA Stadium on Wednesday night. St Mirren are on the cusp of securing a spot in the Europa Conference League, a feat that eluded them in their recent match against Kilmarnock.

Conversely, Hearts, firmly secured in third place, look to continue their positive momentum after a commanding victory over Dundee. This match not only presents a chance for redemption for St Mirren but also an opportunity for Hearts to refine their tactical approach ahead of European competitions.

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Tactical Setup and Team Dynamics

St Mirren’s Tactical Considerations: Under Steve Robinson’s management, St Mirren have demonstrated resilience and strategic competence throughout the season. The team’s focus on compact defending and quick counter-attacks has been evident, though their recent form shows a vulnerability in maintaining consistency. The expected lineup featuring Hemming, Bolton, Gogic, and Fraser in defence with Olusanya and McMenamin supporting Mandron upfront suggests a formation that prioritises defensive solidity while exploiting the pace on the break.

Hearts’ Approach: Hearts, guided by Steven Naismith, exhibit a more possession-based style, leveraging their midfield dominance to control games. The expected midfield setup of Baningime, Devlin, and McKay, combined with the attacking prowess of Shankland and Vargas, indicates a strategy focused on ball retention and progressive, structured attacks. This approach has served them well, particularly in home fixtures, but their away form will be tested against a St Mirren side desperate for points.

Key Players and Match Deciders

The key duel likely to influence this match is between St Mirren’s forward Mandron and Hearts’ central defenders, Kingsley and Rowles. Mandron’s physical presence and ability to link play will be crucial in breaching Hearts’ defence, which has been relatively robust this season. Additionally, Lawrence Shankland’s role for Hearts cannot be understated; his scoring ability could prove decisive, especially in tight games where a single goal can shift the momentum.

Strategic Implications and Areas to Watch

The central midfield battle will be a critical area of contention. St Mirren’s Boyd-Munce and O’Hara will need to disrupt Hearts’ rhythm and prevent the likes of McKay and Forrest from dictating the pace and flow of the game. Both teams have shown tendencies to struggle when their midfield is bypassed quickly, suggesting that transitions will be a vital component of the match’s outcome.

Predictive Analysis and Betting Angles

Based on both teams’ performances and tactical setups, the match promises a close encounter. St Mirren’s motivation to secure European qualification could see them adopt an assertive stance from the outset, while Hearts will look to exploit any overcommitment through their structured play and clinical finishing.

Match Predictions


Best Bet: Draw Given the stakes for St Mirren and the solid form of Hearts, a draw seems a likely outcome. Both teams have shown they can be resilient, and with Hearts playing away from home, they might adopt a slightly more conservative approach than usual, matching St Mirren’s desperation with tactical discipline.

Correct Score: 1-1 A 1-1 draw aligns with the expected tactical approaches of both teams. St Mirren, while defensively minded, will push for a goal to secure their European aspirations, potentially leaving gaps for Hearts to exploit. Conversely, Hearts’ balanced attack and solid midfield play are likely to find at least one breakthrough, making this a tight contest with goals at both ends.

Goalscorer Prediction: Lawrence Shankland to Score Shankland’s ability to find space and his clinical finishing make him the prime candidate to score for Hearts. His track record this season shows he thrives in high-pressure situations, and with St Mirren pushing forward, Shankland could capitalise on the space behind their defensive line.

First Team to Score: St Mirren St Mirren’s urgent need for a win, combined with the home advantage, should see them start the match on the front foot. Expect them to press hard from the kickoff, looking to unsettle the Hearts defence early and notch the opening goal.

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Herrin Kendrick
Herrin Kendrick is a sports journalist with 10 years of experience in the sports betting industry. His work has been referenced by many sports publications over the years. Sport passionate.