St Josephs FC vs Shelbourne predictions ahead of this UEFA Conference League qualifier. Irish league leaders likely to build on first-leg victory. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg | Jul 18, 2024 at 5:00pm UK at Europa Point Stadium
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St Josephs FC vs Shelbourne Predictions
Can Shelbourne Sustain Their European Dominance Against St Joseph’s?
Key Stats
– Shelbourne have maintained 12 clean sheets in 24 matches this season.
– Will Jarvis has netted 8 goals, making him Shelbourne’s top scorer.
– St Joseph’s have lost three of their last five home matches in European competitions.
As Shelbourne prepare to face St Joseph’s in the Conference League qualifiers, the Irish side’s impressive form and St Joseph’s inconsistent performance in European competitions set the stage for an intriguing encounter. Shelbourne’s track record, coupled with St Joseph’s struggles, suggests a potential continuation of Shelbourne’s success.
Shelbourne’s Form and Tactical Approach
Shelbourne have been on a remarkable run, winning seven of their last nine matches across all competitions. Their recent 2-1 victory over St Joseph’s underscores their dominance, reflecting their solid form and tactical discipline. Damien Duff’s men have shown an ability to maintain consistency, crucial for their aspirations both domestically and in Europe.
In terms of attacking prowess, Shelbourne have averaged 1.2 goals per game in the Premier Division, with key contributions from forwards Will Jarvis and Sean Boyd, who have scored eight and seven goals respectively. The team’s ability to generate and convert chances has been pivotal, with a total of 28 goals in 24 matches this season. Their efficiency in front of goal, complemented by 21 assists, highlights a well-coordinated offensive unit.
Defensively, Shelbourne have been robust, conceding only 15 goals in the league and maintaining 12 clean sheets. Their defensive solidity is further evidenced by their average of 0.6 goals conceded per game. With players like Gavin Molloy and Paddy Barrett anchoring the defence, they have displayed resilience and composure under pressure.
St Joseph’s Challenges and Weaknesses
In contrast, St Joseph’s have struggled in European competitions, losing nine of their 16 matches. Their recent performance against Shelbourne and their overall European record paint a bleak picture. The team’s defence, which conceded 16 goals in their domestic league, has struggled to hold firm against stronger opposition. Their 11-0 aggregate defeat to Slavia Prague last season exemplifies their vulnerability against high-calibre teams.
St Joseph’s domestic form, however, has been relatively strong, finishing second in their league with 63 points. They scored 62 goals in 25 matches, showing they can be a potent attacking force. However, their defensive record of conceding 16 goals and their failure to win their last five European home matches, losing three, indicates a frailty that can be exploited by Shelbourne.
Match Dynamics and Key Duels
The game is likely to be decided in the midfield, where the battle for control will be intense. Shelbourne’s Mark Coyle and Evan Caffrey will need to outmanoeuvre St Joseph’s midfield trio of Boro, Pecci, and Campoy. This duel will be crucial in determining the flow of the game and which team can assert dominance.
On the flanks, Shelbourne’s Tyreke Wilson and Liam Burt will need to be wary of St Joseph’s wide threats. The pace and crossing ability of St Joseph’s wide players could pose a challenge, but Shelbourne’s defensive setup has shown resilience in dealing with such threats.
Gameplay and Tactical Analysis
Shelbourne are expected to adopt a proactive approach, leveraging their solid defence to build from the back and utilise quick transitions. Their ability to maintain possession (53.7%) and accurate passing, especially in the opposition half (64.9%), will be key in breaking down St Joseph’s defence.
St Joseph’s, conversely, might adopt a more cautious approach, focusing on counter-attacks and set-pieces. Given their struggles in open play against stronger teams, they are likely to rely on quick breaks and exploiting any defensive lapses from Shelbourne.
Critique of Team and Managerial Strategies
Shelbourne’s strategy under Damien Duff has been commendable, focusing on a balanced approach with a strong emphasis on defensive solidity and effective transitions. However, there are concerns about their occasional lapses in concentration, leading to unnecessary goals conceded. Duff needs to ensure his team maintains focus throughout the match to avoid giving St Joseph’s any advantage.
St Joseph’s manager Abraham Paz has faced criticism for their defensive frailties and inability to adapt tactically against stronger opposition. Their heavy defeat to Slavia Prague last season highlights a lack of strategic depth. The manager needs to instil better defensive discipline and adaptability if they are to stand any chance against Shelbourne.
Predictions
Best Bet: Shelbourne -1 to Win
Shelbourne’s superior form and St Joseph’s struggles in Europe make this a compelling bet. Shelbourne have demonstrated their ability to win convincingly, and given St Joseph’s poor home record in Europe, a win by more than one goal for Shelbourne seems likely.
Correct Score Prediction: St Joseph’s 0-2 Shelbourne
Given Shelbourne’s strong defensive record and St Joseph’s lack of cutting edge against tougher opponents, a 2-0 victory for Shelbourne appears realistic. Shelbourne’s ability to score while keeping clean sheets supports this prediction.
Goalscorer Prediction: Will Jarvis to Score
Will Jarvis, Shelbourne’s leading scorer, is in fine form with eight goals this season. His knack for finding the net, coupled with St Joseph’s defensive vulnerabilities, makes him a strong candidate to score in this match.
Corner Prediction: Shelbourne to Win More Corners
Shelbourne average 4.3 corners per game, indicating their attacking intent. St Joseph’s, with their defensive stance, are likely to concede more corners. Shelbourne’s proactive gameplay should see them winning the corner count.
Innovative Market: Total Team Shots on Target – Shelbourne Over 5.5
Shelbourne’s average of 3.9 shots on target per game, combined with St Joseph’s defensive weaknesses, suggests they can exceed this average. With their attacking prowess and St Joseph’s porous defence, Shelbourne are likely to have numerous attempts on goal.
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