Spain vs Andorra predictions, betting tips and match previews for their international friendly. Euro 2024 Ram-Up Begins: Spain take on Andorra in warm-up opener. Can they get a comfortable win? Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.
Friendlies | Jun 5, 2024 at 8:30pm UK at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium
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Spain vs Andorra Predictions
A David vs Goliath Encounter: Can Andorra Stun European Giants Spain?
Key Stats
– Spain have only lost one of their last nine home matches.
– Andorra have not won any of their last 15 international fixtures.
– Spain are aiming for their 8th consecutive win, while Andorra are winless in 15.
La Roja will officially start their Euro 2024 warm-up campaign on Wednesday night when they take on Andorra. The gulf in class between the two sides is huge, with the visitors that will rather focus on avoiding an embarassing humiliation than thinking they can pull a massive upset.
Area of Decision and Key Duels
The match is likely to be decided in the centre of the park, with Spain being able to dominate from the outset. With the likes of Rodri and Zubimendi, they have the personnel to control the tempo, with Andorra likely to sit back deep, hoping to disrupt and frustrate Spain’s possession-based style.
Andorra’s only hope would be to launch quick counter-attacks, and if they were successful in doing so, they might achieve a respectable scoreline instead of a very heavy defeat.
Spain’s Quest for Rhythm
For Luis Enrique’s successor, Luis de la Fuente, the upcoming Euro 2024 would be his first opportunity to showcase his worth. He will likely experiment with different tactics and formations in a match that the hosts are expected to dominate. It will be important, however, to see how well they can translate dominance into clear-cut goals. With Spain having struggled to score goals in recent major tournaments, it will be interesting to see the movement and interplay between the likes of Ferran Torres, Oyarzabal, and Perez and their ability to unlock what should be Andorra’s resolute back-line.
Andorra’s Defensive Resolve
Andorra are currently ranked 164th in the world, so realistically, they can only hope to lose with their heads up. It won’t be surprising to see them adopting a very defensive shape from the outset, packing the penalty areas with body and hoping to frustrate Spain with their deep lines. It will be a busy night for goalkeeper Iker Alvarez, who will be vital for the visitors in their attempt to avoid a humiliating defeat.
Potentials for Improvement for Both Teams
Even if Spain has had a very successful qualifying campaign, they have struggled to efficiently convert the many chances they do create. To go all the way at Euro 2024, they need more decisiveness and ruthlessness in the final third especially in tied matches where they are unlikely to create tonnes of goalscoring opportunities.
On the other hand, Andorra’s biggest weakness lies in its lack of attacking prowess. In their whole Euro 2024 campaign, they have been able to score just three goals. Focusing on defence is important, but maybe a more adventurous approach in midfield can help them improve, especially when playing with teams that are closer to their skills. A focus on quick transitions should maximise the pace of players like Marc Vales on the flanks, and potentially yield better results.
Pros and Cons of the Two Teams’ Strategies
Spain’s possession-bases approach, when done well, are a joy to watch. It is in their blood, after all, to control the game and dictate the tempo to wear down opponents. But against stubborn defences, it might become predictable, so it will be important for De La Fuente to have a plan B to utilise in certain situations.
Andorra’s defensive strategy, while understandable given the gulf in class, can also backfire if abused. Sitting too deep from the outset could invite pressure and eventually lead to conceding a goal earlier in the game. A more balanced approach, especially in the first half of the games, might be more beneficial and increase their chances of staying in the match for longer.
Strengths and Weaknesses of Managers
Luis de la Fuente is a rather inexperienced manager at the international level. In addition to this, due to the busy club calendar, he hasn’t had much time to work with his players, so matches like this one will give him an opportunity to experiment with tactics and different formations. His ability to motivate players and get them to buy into his philosophy will be keen for Spain’s success in the upcoming German’s tournament.
Conversely, Andorra’s manager, Koldo Alvarez, is a seasoned campaigner with extensive experience in international football. He has proven to be able to organise his team efficiently and make the most of the limited quality available in Andorra. Despite that, the lack of attacking options is a concern, which has proven to be a problem even against teams they should be close to.
Here are the expected lineups for both teams:
Spain (4-3-3):
Raya; Navas, Cubarsi, Le Normand, Cucurella; Rodri, Zubimendi; Oyarzabal, Fermin, Ferran; Perez
Andorra (5-4-1):
Alvarez; San Nicolas, Llovera, Vales, Garcia, Cervos; Alaez, Guillen, Vales, Pujol; Cucu
Predictions
Best Bet: Spain to win and Over 4.5 Goals (Correct score: Spain 5-0)
Spain are coming into this match on the back of an average of 3.1 goals scored per game in Euro 2024 qualifiers. This shows that they do have a potent attack, with a conversion rate that is pretty healthy, averaging 6.9 shots on target per game. Spain’s expected goals (xG) for this clash should be estimated at around 4.5, also considering Andorra’s weak defensive record, with an average of 2 goals per game in qualifiers.
Andorra have also struggled offensively, with a poor 0.3 goals per game average in qualifiers. Considering the data, backing Over 4.5 goals for Spain looks like the best bet, in a match that is likely to be a one-way affair. As for the correct score prediction, we suggest a 5-0 win for Spain.
Goalscorer Prediction – Ferran Torres to Score Anytime
Torres has been in excellent form for Spain, scoring 3 goals in the qualifiers. He will have plenty of opportunities against Andorra’s weak defence, which is going to struggle to contain his pace, movements, and finishing abilities. Backing him to score at least once looks valuable.
Corner Predictions – Spain to Have More Corners Than Andorra
Spain’s possession-based approach translates into a high number of corners. They averaged 6.9 corners per game in the qualifiers, while Andorra averaged only 1.3. The significant difference in possession and attacking strategy suggests Spain will have far more corner opportunities.
Under 10.5 Total Corners
While Spain will likely dominate possession and win a fair share of corners, Andorra might employ time-wasting tactics and defend deep to minimise corner concessions. This, coupled with a potential early goal for Spain, could keep the total corner count under 10.5.
Innovative Market Prediction – Ferran Torres to Have Most Shots on Target
As mentioned earlier, Torres is a key attacking threat for Spain. Given his tendency to take shots from promising positions, he is likely to have the most shots on target for La Roja in this match.
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