Southampton vs Liverpool Predictions

Southampton vs Liverpool predictions for this EFL Cup fixture. Southampton begin life without Russell Martin by hosting Liverpool at St Mary’s on Wednesday in the EFL Cup quarter-finals, with a semi-final spot up for grabs. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Southampton

EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals | Dec 18, 2024 at 8pm UK at St. Mary’s Stadium

Southampton vs Liverpool Predictions

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Can Southampton Regroup and Challenge Liverpool in the EFL Cup Quarter-Final?

  • Liverpool’s dominance in the EFL Cup: Liverpool have won the competition ten times and are unbeaten so far this season, even with significant squad rotations.
  • Southampton’s defensive frailties: Southampton have conceded 15 goals in their last three Premier League games, including a 5-0 hammering at the weekend.
  • Goals galore when these sides meet: The last league clash between these two saw five goals scored, highlighting the potential for another high-scoring encounter.

Our Tips

Manchester City to Win and Over 3.5 Goals
2/5 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Manchester City are expected to win with over 3.5 goals, leveraging their attacking depth against Salford. Grealish and Doku should exploit gaps, despite Salford's defensive record.
Manchester City 4-0
6/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Manchester City are predicted to win 4-0, showcasing dominance through squad depth and attacking precision. Salford’s disciplined defence is unlikely to withstand City's fluid movement and incisive passing.

The EFL Cup quarter-final between Southampton and Liverpool at St Mary’s comes at a pivotal moment for the home side. A devastating 5-0 defeat to Tottenham last weekend saw Southampton’s manager Russell Martin shown the door, leaving interim coach Simon Rusk with a daunting task – rally the squad against one of the best sides in the country. Liverpool, on the other hand, march into this fixture as the tournament holders and clear favourites. Under Arne Slot, they’ve cruised through the competition, even while rotating heavily. However, with a packed festive schedule ahead, this clash isn’t without its challenges for the Reds.

For Southampton, this fixture is as much about restoring pride as it is about progressing. The Saints find themselves rooted to the bottom of the Premier League, and while their cup form has been one of the rare positives, hosting Liverpool at such a turbulent time feels like a massive uphill climb. Still, stranger things have happened in cup football. As Liverpool’s recent domestic stutters have shown, no side is invincible – and perhaps, Southampton can take inspiration from their spirited 3-2 defeat against the same opposition just last month.

Best Bet: Liverpool to Win and Over 2.5 Goals

Liverpool are overwhelming favourites for this match, and even with Arne Slot likely to rotate key players, the depth of quality in their squad should be enough to overcome a fragile Southampton side. The Reds’ attacking unit, spearheaded by Diogo Jota and Darwin Nunez, has shown it can punish defensive frailties, and Southampton have been leaking goals at an alarming rate. Shipping five goals in just 45 minutes against Tottenham underlined their current woes, and it’s hard to see how they’ll keep Liverpool quiet for long.

However, Southampton are not completely devoid of attacking intent. Adam Armstrong remains a threat, while Rusk may inject some energy into the side with fresh tactical tweaks. Liverpool have shown vulnerabilities in their own defence when rotating – evidenced by the recent 2-2 draw against Fulham where Andy Robertson’s early red card exposed cracks. Southampton might be able to trouble the Reds, especially if they opt for a more aggressive approach under new leadership.

While Liverpool’s recent matches haven’t always been high-scoring thrashings, they’ve still delivered goals when needed. Over 2.5 goals feels a safe bet here, as Liverpool have hit that mark frequently, particularly against weaker opposition. Saints fans may hope for a minor miracle, but this match looks destined to end in a Liverpool victory with goals on both sides of the pitch.

*BettingTips4You.com expert Herrin Kendrick weighed in, saying: *“Liverpool’s squad depth and attacking firepower should see them through comfortably here. Even with rotations, the Saints’ fragile defence can’t withstand the pace and precision Liverpool bring to the table.”

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Correct Score Prediction: Southampton 1-3 Liverpool

A 3-1 win for Liverpool strikes the right balance between their clear superiority and Southampton’s ability to find the net against rotated defences. This prediction aligns perfectly with the notion of goals flowing but not an outright demolition, especially given Liverpool’s likely squad changes.

Southampton managed to score twice against Liverpool in their recent league encounter, and that resilience could reappear in a cup setting where they’ll play with nothing to lose. However, their defensive woes are too glaring to ignore. Even with Aaron Ramsdale potentially back in goal, a shaky backline is likely to be exploited by Liverpool’s sharp attackers.

Liverpool’s rotation strategy could still see key names like Jota or Darwin Nunez causing havoc, while Harvey Elliott’s energy in midfield provides added creativity. With Virgil van Dijk anchoring a makeshift back four alongside Joe Gomez and Jarell Quansah, Southampton may find some opportunities but ultimately fall short against Liverpool’s superior firepower.

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Herrin Kendrick
Herrin Kendrick is a sports journalist with 10 years of experience in the sports betting industry. His work has been referenced by many sports publications over the years. Sport passionate.