Southampton vs Leicester Predictions

Southampton vs Leicester predictions for this match in the Premier League. Newcastle, unbeaten at home this season (2-1-0), face Brighton after a 0-0 draw at Everton. With extended rest, they seek another positive result against the visitors. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Newcastle
Brighton

Premier League | Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK at St James’ Park 

Southampton vs Leicester Predictions

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Can Southampton Finally Turn Their Season Around Against Leicester?

  • Southampton’s Home Struggles: Southampton have yet to win a match at St Mary’s this season, with their defensive issues leading to an average of 2.1 goals conceded per game.
  • Leicester’s Inconsistent Defence: Leicester City have conceded 12 goals in 7 matches, with only one clean sheet, suggesting they are still vulnerable at the back.
  • Southampton’s Chance Creation: Despite their poor form, Southampton have created an average of 2.1 big chances per game, showing that their problems lie in finishing, not opportunity creation.

Our Tips

Southampton to Win
11/8 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Southampton’s home advantage, Leicester’s defensive vulnerabilities, and desperation for points make a Saints win feasible. Despite poor form, Southampton could edge a tightly contested match with valuable odds.
Southampton 2-1
17/2 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A 2-1 Southampton victory seems plausible given both teams' defensive struggles. Leicester’s ability to score but defensive frailties, alongside Southampton’s urgency for a win, make this a likely outcome.

As Southampton prepare to host Leicester City at Saint Mary’s Stadium on October 19th, 2024, emotions are running high on the south coast. With the Saints languishing in 19th place with just one point to their name, the pressure is mounting. The visitors, Leicester City, aren’t exactly flying either, sitting in 15th place with six points, but their recent win over Bournemouth gives them some momentum heading into this clash. Both sides know that relegation is looming large if they don’t start picking up points, and this match could be a pivotal moment in their seasons. Southampton will be desperate for their first win, while Leicester are keen to string some results together and push themselves up the table.

Despite both teams’ underwhelming starts, this fixture promises to be anything but dull. Leicester have scored nine goals this season, and Southampton have conceded fifteen, so there’s a high chance we’ll see some action at both ends of the pitch. But with Southampton’s defence leaking goals and Leicester not exactly watertight either, it could come down to who makes the fewest mistakes. Will the Saints finally rise to the occasion, or will the Foxes continue their slow climb?

Best Bet: Southampton to Win – A Risky but Tempting Prospect

Considering both sides’ struggles, tipping a Southampton win might seem like a gamble, but there’s value in it. The Saints are in dire need of a turnaround, and despite their dismal form, playing at home could be the catalyst they need. Leicester’s inconsistency is another factor that plays into this bet; while they have shown promise in patches, their defence remains vulnerable, and that’s something Southampton can exploit, even with their attacking struggles.

Southampton have created chances but have failed to convert them, as highlighted by their average of 2.1 big chances per game. Tyler Dibling, one of their brighter sparks, has found the net this season and could be key to unlocking Leicester’s defence, which has conceded twelve goals. The Saints’ home form has been poor, but St Mary’s could yet prove to be a turning point in a crucial match like this.

Defensively, Southampton have been their own worst enemy, with six errors leading to goals, but Leicester haven’t been without their issues either. With an average of 4.7 saves per game, Leicester’s defence is still under pressure, meaning the opportunities will come for the Saints. The combination of desperation for a win and the home advantage, however slight, could see Southampton edge this one in a tightly contested affair.

It’s also worth considering the odds. At 11/8, there’s decent value on Southampton to get their first win of the season, especially against a Leicester side that isn’t exactly setting the league alight either. Sometimes, the desire to avoid the drop can push teams to perform beyond expectations.

“Southampton have been desperate for points, and while they’ve not found their rhythm yet, this could be the game where things finally click. At home, and with Leicester’s inconsistency, there’s value in backing the Saints here,” says BettingTips4You.com expert, Steve Harrington.

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Correct Score Prediction: Southampton 2-1 Leicester

If we’re tipping Southampton to win, it’s logical that the correct scoreline would follow suit. A 2-1 victory for the Saints feels plausible given their defensive frailties and Leicester’s ability to find the net. Southampton’s average goals conceded per game stands at 2.1, which doesn’t bode well for them keeping a clean sheet. However, Leicester’s defensive vulnerabilities suggest they’ll leak a couple as well.

Leicester have scored in all but one of their Premier League matches so far, while Southampton’s backline has been far from secure, having failed to keep a single clean sheet. Both teams have been error-prone at the back, so we can expect chances on both sides. Leicester’s big chances per game (1.6) indicate they will likely find a way through, but Southampton, buoyed by the need to secure their first win, will push harder and perhaps take advantage of Leicester’s weakness.

Southampton have missed 1.9 big chances per game, but if they can find their finishing boots, a 2-1 victory feels achievable. It won’t be a pretty game, but Southampton’s desperation, coupled with Leicester’s fragility, makes this a feasible scoreline.

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Steve Harrington
Steve Harrington is a sportswriter whose heart beats for football. With a passion that began in the grassroots, he's witnessed the magic of the game from local pitches to grand stadiums. Over the past 7 years, Steve has lent his expertise to several online publications, chronicling the ever-evolving world of football. Beyond his professional pursuits, he holds a special affection for Burnley Football Club, cherishing every triumph and tribulation. Steve believes in the power of storytelling and its ability to bring the beautiful game closer to its ardent fans.