Southampton vs Everton Predictions

Southampton vs Everton predictions ahead of this Premier League affair. Southampton seek their first Premier League win of the season as they host an improving Everton at St Mary’s on Saturday. Both teams aim to build momentum. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.

Premier League | Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK at St. Marys Stadium

Southampton vs Everton Predictions

Can Southampton End Their Premier League Drought Against An Improving Everton?

• Southampton’s Goalscoring Woes: Despite having the sixth-highest possession in the Premier League, Southampton have managed only six goals in nine games, making them one of the worst attacking sides in the division.
• Everton’s Away Form Against Promoted Sides: The Toffees are unbeaten in their last six away games against newly-promoted opposition, highlighting their ability to perform on the road in these types of fixtures.
• Iliman Ndiaye’s Impact on the Road: Ndiaye has scored in back-to-back away matches for Everton, offering a spark in attack, particularly in games where they rely on counter-attacking opportunities.

Our Tips

Saturday’s clash at St Mary’s pits a struggling Southampton side against an Everton team on the rise. For the Saints, the Premier League return has been anything but smooth sailing, as they continue to search for their first league victory of the season. With only one point from nine games and a 22-match winless streak in the top flight, the pressure is mounting. Despite a morale-boosting Carabao Cup win midweek, the Premier League remains a steep climb.

Everton, meanwhile, have begun to find their feet under Sean Dyche after a dismal start. Unbeaten in their last five league games, the Toffees head into this fixture with a sense of renewed confidence. Their solid form on the road, especially against newly-promoted sides, adds to the intrigue. Will Everton continue their rise, or can Southampton finally break their duck? There’s certainly plenty on the line for both clubs.

Best Bet: Everton Draw No Bet

Given the contrasting fortunes of both teams, Everton to win or draw with the safety net of “Draw No Bet” feels like the smartest move. Southampton might be showing glimmers of hope, but Everton have momentum on their side. Let’s break it down.

Southampton’s struggles aren’t just in the form of a bad run; it’s historically bad. The Saints have secured just a single point from their opening nine matches, leaving them rooted to the foot of the table. While they were buoyed by a 3-2 cup win over Stoke, their league performances tell a different story. Their issue isn’t controlling the game – with a 75% possession average in the league, they know how to keep the ball. The problem lies in their lack of end product. Only six goals scored in nine matches, a number that ties them for the worst in the division, shows just how much they’re lacking up front.

On the flip side, Everton have begun to shed their early season woes. After losing their first four games, they’ve taken nine points from their last five, climbing away from the danger zone. Dyche’s side have tightened up defensively while finding more ways to hurt teams going forward. Their last away outing was a comprehensive 2-0 win against Ipswich, another newly-promoted side, which will give them confidence heading to Southampton.

Adding to this, Everton’s form away from home against newly-promoted teams has been remarkable, unbeaten in their last six encounters. That’s a strong trend to consider, particularly when factoring in Southampton’s inability to close out matches. Four of Southampton’s losses this season have been by a one-goal margin, showing they can compete but can’t deliver when it matters.

It’s also worth noting the potential absence of Dwight McNeil for Everton. The midfielder has been directly involved in six goals in his last seven games, so his absence would be a blow. However, Iliman Ndiaye has emerged as a reliable alternative. The 24-year-old has scored in back-to-back away games and his pace on the counter will be critical against a Southampton side that prefers to dominate possession but leaves gaps at the back.

As BettingTips4You expert Gram Dodd puts it: “Everton’s solid recent form, especially away from home, combined with Southampton’s woeful start to the season, makes backing the Toffees with the safety of a Draw No Bet a wise move.” With Everton’s growing defensive solidity and attacking threat, this market covers the possibility of a draw but allows punters to capitalise if the Toffees continue their resurgence.

Correct Score Prediction: Southampton 1-2 Everton

Given the reasoning behind our best bet, a 2-1 win for Everton feels like the most logical outcome. The Toffees have shown they can do enough to edge these tight games, as their victory over Ipswich demonstrated. While they aren’t blowing teams away, they’ve shown the ability to nick the crucial goals.

Southampton, despite their lack of points, aren’t a pushover. They were competitive against Manchester City in a narrow 1-0 loss last weekend and managed to find the back of the net three times midweek in the cup. That said, their lack of clinical finishing remains a glaring issue.

Everton’s defence, while improved, isn’t watertight, having conceded 16 goals in nine games. So there’s every chance Southampton could grab a goal, especially at home. However, Everton’s attacking prowess on the break should be too much for the Saints to handle over 90 minutes. Iliman Ndiaye, in particular, has a knack for turning up in big moments, and with McNeil’s involvement in doubt, Ndiaye could step up once more.

Expect a tight, scrappy affair with both teams finding the net, but Everton to nick it late on, much like they did in their last Premier League visit to St Mary’s. That 2-1 scoreline could well repeat itself here.

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