Southampton vs Brighton Predictions

Southampton vs Brighton predictions for the this Premier League clash. Southampton host Brighton in a South Coast clash. Struggling Saints seek a rare win, while Brighton aim to capitalise on their superior form. A competitive encounter is expected at St Mary’s. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Premier League | Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK at St. Mary’s Stadium

Southampton vs Brighton Predictions

Can Southampton Stop Their Freefall Against a Resurgent Brighton?

• Mitoma’s Creative Influence – The Japanese winger has been instrumental in Brighton’s attack, delivering key passes and assists, including in their recent 3-0 win over Chelsea.
• Southampton’s Home Nightmare – The Saints have lost 10 of their 12 home league games this season, making St Mary’s a ground where visitors rarely struggle.
• Brighton’s Attacking Prowess – The Seagulls have scored three or more goals in two of their last three matches, showing they are in fine attacking form ahead of this fixture.

Best Bet for Southampton vs Brighton

The South Coast derby returns this Saturday as Southampton, staring down the barrel of relegation, prepare to face Brighton & Hove Albion at St Mary’s. The Saints have endured a torrid campaign, suffering defeat after defeat, and last weekend’s 3-1 loss to Bournemouth only pushed them closer to an inevitable drop to the Championship. Sitting 10 points adrift of safety, their fate is no longer in their hands, and they now face a Brighton side that seems to have regained confidence following consecutive wins over Chelsea.

The Seagulls arrive at St Mary’s in high spirits, having put three past Chelsea without reply on Valentine’s Day. Their attacking play, led by the ever-dangerous Kaoru Mitoma, was fluid and clinical, dismantling a side that had no answer to their movement in the final third. Under Fabian Hurzeler, Brighton have shown glimpses of their best football, and while consistency has been an issue, this fixture presents them with a golden opportunity to pile further misery on a Southampton side that has lost seven consecutive home matches in the league.

Southampton’s inability to hold onto leads has been one of their biggest weaknesses this season. They have thrown away 20 points from winning positions, which is only marginally better than Tottenham’s 21, making them one of the most mentally fragile teams in the division. Even when they show glimpses of promise, like Kamaldeen Sulemana’s fine strike against Bournemouth, they always seem to find a way to self-destruct. Against a Brighton side that thrives on exploiting defensive lapses, this could spell disaster for Ivan Juric’s men.

Best Bet for Southampton vs Brighton

At BettingTips4You, we don’t throw out endless predictions—we believe in one standout selection per game, ensuring quality over quantity. For this match, our top pick is Kaoru Mitoma to register an assist.

Why This Bet?

Mitoma was simply unplayable in Brighton’s demolition of Chelsea. His exceptional close control and explosive acceleration make him one of the most dangerous wide players in the league. The Japanese winger set the tone early in that match with a superb touch and finish, and his creativity was on full display throughout. Against a Southampton defence that has been leaking goals all season, Mitoma will have plenty of opportunities to wreak havoc down the left flank.

Southampton’s defensive organisation has been non-existent, and with full-backs struggling to contain pacey wingers, Mitoma could have a field day. Whether it’s delivering crosses for Danny Welbeck or cutting the ball back for Brighton’s midfield runners, he is central to their attacking threat. Given that Brighton will likely dominate possession, Mitoma will have the platform to exploit Southampton’s weaknesses, and an assist feels like an inevitable outcome.

BettingTips4You.com expert Steve Harrington puts it bluntly:
“Mitoma has been the creative heartbeat of Brighton’s attack, and against a Southampton side that can’t seem to defend properly, he will have plenty of opportunities to set up a goal. Whether it’s a pinpoint cross or a clever cut-back, an assist looks like an excellent value bet.”

With Southampton unable to keep things tight at the back and Brighton’s attacking players enjoying a rich vein of form, backing Mitoma to set up a goal feels like the most logical bet for this fixture.

Expected Scoreline

Given Southampton’s form at St Mary’s, it’s difficult to see them pulling off an upset. Brighton have not only found their attacking rhythm again but also seem to be more ruthless in front of goal. While Southampton have managed to score in their last five league matches, their defensive frailties mean they are unlikely to keep Brighton out.

A 3-1 win for Brighton looks to be the most likely outcome. Southampton might grab a goal, as they have done in recent games, but their inability to sustain defensive resilience will allow Brighton to exploit them time and again. Mitoma, Welbeck, and Minteh could all have a hand in ensuring another comfortable victory for the Seagulls.

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