Shelbourne vs Dundalk Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews. Shelbourne and Dundalk, battling at opposite ends of the League of Ireland Premier Division, clash at Tolka Park on Friday. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.
League of Ireland Premier | Jun 7, 2024 at 7:45pm UK at Tolka Park
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Shelbourne vs Dundalk Predictions
Shelbourne Aim to Consolidate Top Spot Against Resurgent Dundalk
Key Stats
– Shelbourne have the best defence in the league, conceding just 14 goals in 20 matches.
– Dundalk have scored in six of their last eight away games.
– Sean Boyd and Will Jarvis have each scored seven goals for Shelbourne this season.
The upcoming match between Shelbourne and Dundalk at Tolka Park is poised to be a captivating encounter, with both teams fighting for vastly different outcomes in the League of Ireland Premier Division. Shelbourne, currently leading the table, will aim to maintain their dominance, while Dundalk, struggling near the relegation zone, will be desperate for points to secure their top-flight status. This analysis will delve into the expected line-ups, tactical approaches, key player battles, and predictions based on the provided data.
Match Preview
Shelbourne enter this match seeking to rebound from a rare defeat in what has been an impressive campaign so far. Their strong defence, which has only conceded 14 goals in 20 matches, has been the bedrock of their success. Damien Duff’s men have amassed 37 points, winning 10 games and losing only three, largely thanks to their resolute defensive organisation and effective attacking play. Despite their recent 2-1 loss to Sligo Rovers, Shelbourne remain atop the table with a two-point lead and a game in hand over their closest rivals, Derry City.
On the other hand, Dundalk have had a turbulent season. They find themselves battling to avoid relegation, sitting in the playoff spot with just 12 points from 19 games. However, recent form has shown signs of improvement under new manager Jon Daly, with a crucial victory over St Patrick’s Athletic and a credible draw against second-placed Derry City. Dundalk will be looking to build on these performances to climb out of the relegation zone.
Team News and Expected Line-ups
Shelbourne are expected to field a largely unchanged side, with Sean Boyd continuing to spearhead the attack. Boyd has been prolific, scoring seven league goals, and will be supported by Will Jarvis, another key contributor with seven goals and three assists. The midfield will be anchored by Mark Coyle and JJ Lunney, while the defence, led by Paddy Barrett and Gavin Molloy, will aim to maintain their solidity.
Shelbourne possible starting lineup: Kearns; Gannon, Molloy, Barrett, Ledwidge; Caffrey, Coyle, Lunney, Jarvis; Smith, Boyd
Dundalk will likely stick to their 4-4-2 formation, with Jamie Gullan and Cameron Elliott leading the line. Gullan, in particular, will be full of confidence after his brace against St Patrick’s Athletic. The midfield duo of Paul Doyle and Hayden Muller will need to be at their best to contain Shelbourne’s creative players, while the defence, marshalled by Zak Johnson and Andy Boyle, must remain vigilant.
Dundalk possible starting lineup: Munro; Davies, Johnson, Boyle, Bradshaw; Horgan, Doyle, Muller, O’Kane; Elliott, Gullan
Tactical Analysis and Key Battles
The game is likely to be decided in midfield, where Shelbourne’s creative playmakers will go up against Dundalk’s industrious midfielders. Shelbourne’s ability to control possession and dictate the tempo will be crucial, with Coyle and Lunney expected to play pivotal roles. On the flanks, the duels between Shelbourne’s Will Jarvis and Dundalk’s Daryl Horgan could also prove decisive, as both players possess the ability to create and score goals.
Shelbourne’s defensive stability has been their hallmark, with Molloy and Barrett forming a formidable partnership. They will need to be wary of Dundalk’s attacking duo of Gullan and Elliott, who have shown they can be clinical. The hosts’ ability to transition quickly from defence to attack will be tested by Dundalk’s pressing game, which has been more effective in recent matches.
Strengths and Weaknesses
Shelbourne’s primary strength lies in their defence, which has been the best in the league. Their ability to limit opposition chances and maintain clean sheets has been a cornerstone of their success. However, their recent lapses, conceding in four of their last six games, indicate a potential vulnerability that Dundalk could exploit.
Dundalk’s resilience and recent form are positives they can build on. Their ability to score goals, especially away from home, is noteworthy, having netted in six of their last eight away fixtures. However, their defensive frailties, highlighted by 27 goals conceded, remain a significant concern.
Managerial Analysis
Damien Duff has moulded Shelbourne into a disciplined and well-organised unit. His tactical acumen and ability to get the best out of his players have been key factors in their impressive campaign. However, his side’s occasional defensive lapses could be seen as an area needing improvement.
Jon Daly, despite taking over Dundalk in challenging circumstances, has managed to instil a fighting spirit within his team. His focus on solidifying the defence and improving their attacking output has started to bear fruit. However, the inconsistency in results and performances under his tenure could be viewed critically.
Expected Goals Averages and Gameplay Predictions
Shelbourne average 1.2 goals per game, with a solid defensive record of conceding just 0.7 goals per game. Dundalk, on the other hand, have struggled in both departments, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per game. These statistics suggest that Shelbourne are likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities.
The gameplay is expected to see Shelbourne controlling the tempo, using their midfield strength to break down Dundalk’s defence. Dundalk, meanwhile, will likely adopt a more cautious approach, focusing on counter-attacks and set-pieces to exploit any weaknesses in Shelbourne’s backline.
Areas for Improvement
Shelbourne could benefit from increasing their offensive efficiency, particularly in converting chances. While their defensive record is strong, maintaining concentration and reducing minor errors will be crucial in tight matches. Dundalk need to focus on defensive solidity and consistency in their performances. Improving their passing accuracy and maintaining possession will help them build more sustained attacks.
Strengths and Weaknesses of Team Strategies
Shelbourne’s strategy of building from a strong defensive base and transitioning quickly into attack has served them well. Their ability to score from a variety of situations, including penalties and headed goals, adds to their versatility. However, their occasional defensive lapses and reliance on key players like Boyd and Jarvis could be seen as potential weaknesses.
Dundalk’s recent improvement under Daly has been marked by a more organised defence and a fighting spirit. Their ability to score from set-pieces and long-range efforts is a positive. However, their overall defensive record and inconsistency in midfield remain areas of concern.
Predictions
Best Bet: Shelbourne to Win with Both Teams Scoring
Given Shelbourne’s superior quality and recent form, combined with Dundalk’s ability to find the net away from home, a home win with both teams scoring seems the most probable outcome. Shelbourne have the attacking prowess to break down Dundalk’s defence, but their recent defensive lapses suggest they might concede.
Correct Score Prediction: Shelbourne 2-1 Dundalk
A 2-1 scoreline in favour of Shelbourne aligns with the analysis of both teams’ form and capabilities. Shelbourne’s average goals per game and Dundalk’s defensive record support this prediction, with the hosts likely to dominate but concede due to Dundalk’s counter-attacking threat.
Goalscorer Prediction: Sean Boyd to Score Anytime
Sean Boyd has been a reliable goalscorer for Shelbourne, netting seven times this season. His positioning and finishing abilities make him a constant threat, and he is expected to find the back of the net against Dundalk’s vulnerable defence.
Corner Prediction: Shelbourne to Have More Corners
Shelbourne’s attacking style and higher average possession are likely to result in more corner kicks. Dundalk’s defensive approach and lower possession stats suggest they will concede more corners.
Innovative Market: Total Team Shots on Target Over 5.5 for Shelbourne
Shelbourne’s average of 4.1 shots on target per game indicates their attacking intent. Considering Dundalk’s defensive vulnerabilities, Shelbourne are expected to surpass this average, making over 5.5 shots on target a viable bet.
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