Sevilla vs Roma Predictions

Sevilla vs Roma predictions ahead of Wednesday’s Europa League final. Can Europa League specialists Sevilla prevail over Mourinho’s Roma? Read on for our free Europa League predictions and betting tips.

Sevilla vs Roma
Match Live Wednesday, 31st May at 8:00 pm In:

Sevilla vs Roma Predictions

The Grit and Glory: The Europa League Final Showdown between Sevilla and Roma

Key Stats
– Sevilla’s indomitable record in Europa League finals, boasting six victories from as many appearances since 2006.
– Both teams to score in the match; a statistic echoed in five of Sevilla’s last seven games and Roma’s last two games.
– Roma’s exceptional defensive record this season with an average of just 1.0 goals conceded per game in comparison to Sevilla’s 1.4.
The Arena: Setting the Stage for a Grand Showdown

On a crisp Wednesday evening, the bustling city of Budapest will play host to the most riveting event of the football season – the UEFA Europa League Final. The spotlight will be on Sevilla and Roma, two European clubs, each boasting a legacy steeped in glory and victory. Both clubs, despite having faced disappointments in their domestic leagues this season, have nevertheless defied the odds and emerged victorious in their European ventures.

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Sevilla: Journey to The Final

While Roma’s record is impressive, Sevilla stands as the more successful side in the history of this competition. With six triumphs to their name, Sevilla are chasing a record seventh victory in the UEFA Europa League, a testament to their tenacity and spirit.

However, the journey to the final was not devoid of challenges. Sevilla’s tenth-place standing in La Liga, following a 2-1 loss to Real Madrid, and the spectre of relegation had cast a dark shadow on their European aspirations.

Enter Jose Luis Mendilibar. Appointed in February, the coach’s strategic brilliance and tactical acumen were instrumental in transforming Sevilla’s trajectory. Under his guidance, the team scored significant victories over titans Manchester United and Juventus, paving the way to the Final.

Roma: Road to The Final

In the opposing corner stands Roma, a team fuelled by ambition and guided by one of the most successful managers in football history, Jose Mourinho. Mourinho, known for his tactical genius and strategic manoeuvres, has previously clinched the Europa League title with Porto and Manchester United. Additionally, his track record boasts Champions League victories with Porto and Inter Milan and a Europa Conference League win last season with Roma.

Despite Roma’s defeat to Fiorentina, which ended their Serie A top-four hopes, Mourinho’s side marches to the Final with a record of resilience and perseverance. In a notable setback, Paulo Dybala’s uncertain availability could impact Roma’s game plan.

Key Players in The Spotlight

On the player front, Sevilla’s Moroccan striker Youssef En-Nesyri, boasting 22 goals for club and country this season, poses a significant threat to Roma’s defence. On Roma’s side, with Dybala’s doubtful inclusion, Stephan El Shaarawy could play a vital role. Despite a potential leg muscle injury, his scoring streak in the last three games makes him a key player to watch out for.

Statistical Breakdown: Making Sense of The Numbers

In terms of stats, Sevilla have shown a stronger attacking front, with 46 goals scored in 37 matches compared to Roma’s 48 in the same number of games. Roma, however, holds an edge in terms of goals conceded, with 37 compared to Sevilla’s 52. Notably, Sevilla’s higher possession rate (53.1% vs. Roma’s 47.8%) could be a potential game-changer.

Head-to-Head: What The History Says

The previous face-off between the two clubs saw Sevilla securing a 2-0 victory in a single-leg UEFA Europa League round of 16 tie. While this puts Sevilla in the favourites’ seat, Roma’s track record against high-scoring teams in the past might pose a challenge. 

The Europa League final is an entirely different beast. Teams often go above and beyond their usual performance levels, drawn by the magnet of glory and the burning desire to etch their names into the annals of history. Sevilla is no stranger to this phenomenon, having been to the pinnacle of this tournament six times, each time emerging triumphant. Their journey to the 2023 finals has been no less remarkable, with a strong run of victories over both Manchester United and Juventus as highlights.

Still, Roma present a formidable challenge, not least due to the tactical acumen of their legendary manager, José Mourinho. The Portuguese maestro is on the cusp of clinching an unprecedented third Europa League title with a third different club. His track record, which includes a Champions League win with Porto and Inter Milan and a Europa Conference League title with Roma, bears testament to his ability to coax the best from his players in crucial situations.

Key Players and Substitutions

The importance of the game is going to have a bearing on the choices that the managers make, not just before the game but during the game too. Substitutions can play a crucial role in deciding the outcome. Sevilla’s young prodigy, Ivan Romero, has been a revelation this season, having already made significant impacts coming off the bench. Similarly, Roma’s Bryan Cristante could prove to be a decisive figure with his ability to dictate play from the midfield.

Game Day Atmosphere

Let’s not forget the role of the spectators in this momentous final. Sevilla’s fan base, renowned for their passionate and raucous support, will provide a phenomenal backdrop to the game, ensuring an atmosphere filled with tension and expectation. On the other hand, Roma’s fans have waited a long time to see their team lift a European trophy, and their anticipation will translate into vibrant support for the team.

Tactics and Predictions

Given the statistics and performance data for both Sevilla and Roma, and considering Gianluca Mancini’s individual performance this season, it seems reasonable to back a ‘Bet Builder Treble’ offered by William Hill at odds of 15/2, composed of the following three selections:

  1. Both Teams To Score (BTTS): As discussed earlier, both Sevilla and Roma have demonstrated their offensive capabilities throughout the season. Sevilla’s attacking prowess, with an average of 1.2 goals per game, and Roma, averaging 1.3 goals per match, suggest that both teams are capable of finding the back of the net. Therefore, it seems plausible to expect that BTTS will be fulfilled in this match.
  2. Gianluca Mancini To Be Carded: Looking at the data for Gianluca Mancini, it’s apparent that he plays a critical role in Roma’s defence. He has averaged 1.0 tackles per game, 1.3 interceptions per game, and 1.8 clearances per game. Given his important role in disrupting opponents’ play, it’s not surprising that he’s picked up 7 yellow cards this season, averaging about one every five games. Given the high stakes and intensity of the Europa League Final, Mancini could well be carded as he looks to thwart Sevilla’s potent attack.
  3. Each Team Over 3 Corners: In high-stakes matches such as the Europa League Final, teams often find themselves pushing forward more frequently, resulting in more corner kicks. Both Sevilla and Roma have strong attacking forces, and their tendency to push up the pitch should result in each team earning more than 3 corners throughout the match.
90 Minutes Might Not Be Enough To Give Us A Winner

When considering the wealth of statistics, performances, and trends of both Sevilla and Roma, it’s not far-fetched to envision a 1-1 draw as the correct score outcome of the upcoming Europa League Final. Let’s delve deeper into the numbers to justify this claim. 

Sevilla, despite a season riddled with challenges, have managed to raise its game when it mattered most. Even though they are placed tenth in La Liga, their continental journey has been compelling, and they have yet to lose a Europa League Final. They possess an attacking prowess, with an average of 1.2 goals per game and a notable 46 goals this La Liga season. However, their defensive statistics raise concerns. Having conceded 52 goals this season, their goals conceded per game stands at a worrying 1.4. Given their inconsistency at the back, Roma have the chance to capitalise on this.

Roma, on the other hand, had their Serie A top four hopes dashed recently. However, their journey in the Europa League under the stewardship of the experienced Mourinho, one of the most successful managers in this competition, has been impressive. The team has netted 48 goals in Serie A this season, averaging 1.3 per match. But what truly stands out is their rigid defence, which has conceded only 37 goals this season, demonstrating a resolute defensive line that concedes an average of just 1.0 goal per game.

Taking both teams’ performances into account, the game appears to be balanced. Sevilla’s relentless offensive drive will inevitably challenge Roma’s stern defence, while Roma’s attacking force will surely look to exploit Sevilla’s defensive weaknesses. With equal forces at play, both teams will likely find the net at least once, making a 1-1 final result after 90 minutes likely.

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Wolfgang Shotten
Author of betting articles for prominent German publications. Endures Hertha Berlin's ups and downs. Passionate Real Madrid supporter, is our Bundesliga expert. Has been covering the German's top-flight for more than 10 years with great success. Love football details. Based in Berlin, worked for BettingTips4You 5 years ago, and now the routes have met again!