Serbia vs Bulgaria Predictions

Serbia vs Bulgaria predictions ahead of Sunday’s Euro 2024 qualifier. In Sunday’s Group G finale, Serbia faces bottom-placed Bulgaria, aware that a single point will secure their spot at Euro 2024. Can they secure a positive result? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Serbia
Match Live Sunday, 19th November at 2:00 pm In:
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Serbia vs Bulgaria Predictions

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Analysing Serbia’s Decisive Clash with Bulgaria in Euro 2024 Qualifiers

Key Stats
Aleksandar Mitrovic’s Scoring Form: Mitrovic has scored 17 goals in 17 appearances for his club this season.
Serbia’s Defensive Vulnerability: Both teams have scored in six of Serbia’s last seven games.
Bulgaria’s Struggle for Consistency: Bulgaria has not won a single game in their Euro 2024 qualifying campaign so far.

Serbia, standing on the brink of Euro 2024 qualification, prepares to face Bulgaria in a decisive Group G fixture. With a draw sufficing to secure their spot, the stakes are high for Serbia, especially considering Montenegro’s position just behind them. Bulgaria, languishing at the bottom, presents an unpredictable challenge.

Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match

BEST VALUE BET

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Best Value Bet Rationale
In the upcoming Euro 2024 qualifier, Serbia’s showdown with Bulgaria at Stadion Dubocica carries more than just the routine significance of a group stage match. Serbia, standing second in Group G and trailing the already-qualified Hungary, is well-positioned to secure their Euro 2024 berth with a solid performance against a Bulgarian team that has struggled throughout the campaign. Considering the dynamics at play, one of the most value-laden betting propositions is Serbia to win with a -1 handicap, currently boosted to 4/6 from 3/6 by Bet365 at the time of writing, with odds subject to change and T&C’s apply.

The rationale behind this prediction is rooted in a comprehensive analysis of both teams’ performances and statistics. Serbia, under the tactical acumen of Dragan Stojkovic, has been formidable, especially at home, winning seven of their last nine games on their turf. Their attacking prowess, led by the likes of Aleksandar Mitrovic and Dusan Tadic, has been consistently impactful, as evidenced by their average of 1.9 goals per game in the qualifiers. The Eagles’ proficiency in front of goal suggests they can overcome the one-goal handicap against a Bulgarian side that has been defensively porous, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game.

Moreover, Bulgaria’s form has been dismal, managing only three points from seven matches and failing to secure a single win. They have suffered three defeats in their last four away games, highlighting their vulnerability, especially on the road. While Bulgaria did manage a draw against Hungary, their overall form and lack of consistency, particularly in defensive aspects, make them susceptible to a strong Serbian side that is motivated to seal their qualification with a convincing win. Therefore, backing Serbia with a -1 handicap at the boosted odds offers a compelling bet with significant value for punters.

Serbia’s Path to the Brink of Qualification

Under Dragan Stojkovic’s guidance, Serbia’s journey to this crucial juncture has been marked by both resilience and tactical astuteness. With 13 points from seven games, they sit just behind Hungary, the group leaders. Last month’s victory over Montenegro, featuring Aleksandar Mitrovic’s brilliance, has put Serbia in a commanding position. Despite a friendly loss to Belgium, they return to full strength, bolstered by the return of key players like Mitrovic and captain Dusan Tadic.

Parimatch


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Bulgaria: The Underdogs with Unfulfilled Potential

Bulgaria, under the new management of Ilian Iliev, seeks redemption in their final qualifier. Despite a goalless campaign so far, their recent draw against Hungary showcased glimpses of their attacking potential. Kiril Despodov, their leading scorer, remains a vital cog in Bulgaria’s offensive machinery. However, their defensive frailties, particularly in the absence of suspended defender Valentin Antov, might be exposed against a robust Serbian attack.

Key Players and Tactical Battles

Mitrovic’s goal-scoring prowess will be crucial for Serbia, especially against Bulgaria’s vulnerable defence. His partnership with Tadic could be the difference-maker. For Bulgaria, Despodov’s creativity and scoring ability will be key in unlocking Serbia’s defence. The midfield battle, particularly the control of possession and transitions, will be critical in determining the game’s flow.

Strategic Analysis: Strengths and Weaknesses

Serbia’s strength lies in their attacking capabilities, with Mitrovic and Tadic providing a potent threat. However, their defensive openness is a concern, as evidenced by both teams scoring in their recent games. Stojkovic’s approach, while effective offensively, leaves them vulnerable at the back.

Bulgaria, under Iliev, shows signs of attacking improvement but lacks consistency. Their defence is prone to lapses, a critical weakness against a team like Serbia. Bulgaria’s reliance on Despodov for offensive output is both a strength and a vulnerability, as it makes their attack somewhat predictable.

Managerial Critique: Stojkovic’s Approach Under Scrutiny

While Stojkovic has guided Serbia to the brink of qualification, his tactical setup raises questions. His preference for an attacking style has often left the defence exposed, a flaw that better teams could exploit. A more balanced approach could enhance Serbia’s prospects in the long run.

Predictions and Analysis

  1. Win-Draw-Away Market – Serbia to Win: Serbia’s formidable home record and Bulgaria’s struggles, especially away, make a Serbian victory the most plausible outcome. The combination of Serbia’s attacking flair and Bulgaria’s defensive weaknesses tilts the balance in Serbia’s favour.
  2. Correct Score Prediction – Serbia 3-1 Bulgaria: Considering both teams’ recent form and defensive vulnerabilities, a high-scoring affair is likely. Serbia’s attacking prowess should overpower Bulgaria’s defence, but the visitors may find the net in a consolation effort.
  3. Goalscorer Prediction – Aleksandar Mitrovic to Score: Mitrovic’s impressive scoring record this season, coupled with Bulgaria’s defensive issues, makes him a prime candidate to find the back of the net.
  4. Corner Prediction – Serbia to have more corners; Total Corners Over 9.5: Serbia’s attacking approach is likely to result in numerous corner opportunities. Bulgaria may contribute to the tally as they seek to exploit set-piece situations.
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Emmanuel Nwankwo
Born and bred in the heart of Yorkshire, Emmanuel Nwankwo has been a passionate voice in the world of football writing. Over the last 7 years, he's contributed his insights and analyses to various online publications, diving deep into the intricacies of the game he loves so dearly. Despite the allure of the Premier League, Emmanuel's heart truly belongs to Huddersfield Town Football Club, where his love for football was kindled. With every match, he relives the nostalgia of cheering from the terraces of the John Smith's Stadium. His dedication to the sport is evident in every piece he crafts, drawing readers into the world of football and sharing the passion that defines him.