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Can Juventus’ control and chance-creation break Sassuolo’s left-sided threat and game-state resilience? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Frankfurt leads the league in total match goals (4.13/gm) and Stuttgart averages over 15 shots per game. Combined with Frankfurt's 10-match away conceding streak, goals at both ends are nearly guaranteed.
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Both teams are evenly matched in the table and possess high-octane attacks paired with defensive weaknesses. Frankfurt's 3-3 draw with Dortmund proves their ability to match elite offenses in shootouts.
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Sassuolo vs Juventus Predictions and Best Bets
Sassuolo vs Juventus — BetMGM Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample BetMGM odds based on our match analysis.
While Sassuolo have home advantage, Juventus’ top-four standing and defensive stability make them the clear pick in the match result market.
Expect a competitive game where Juventus’ extra quality eventually tells, with the 0-1 and 1-2 scorelines carrying weight.
- Juventus live in the final third: Juventus average 16.1 shots per Serie A game with 57.3% possession, suggesting sustained pressure that can pin Sassuolo back and create repeat attacking phases.
- Sassuolo’s season has been on a knife-edge: Sassuolo have scored 23 and conceded 22 in 18 Serie A matches, a near even balance that points towards matches decided by swing moments.
- A key creative absence shifts the load: Berardi is listed out until 15.01.2026 and Volpato has an unknown injury; Volpato has four assists, so chance-creation may funnel elsewhere.
Match Control: Possession Averages
Juventus look to dominate the ball and territory, while Sassuolo are often forced into playing in their own half.
Juventus maintain high passing accuracy (86.5%) to control the game state and limit opponent sights of goal.
The home side tends to absorb pressure, looking for specific moments to transition quickly down the left flank.
Attacking Output: Shots per Game
Juventus generate significantly more goal-scoring opportunities than their mid-table opponents.
A relentless attacking approach has seen them take 264 shots across 17 league matches this season.
Sassuolo are more selective, relying on through balls and direct free kicks to create their 10.6 chances per game.
Tuesday brings a proper Serie A palate-cleanser for two sides who didn’t quite get what they wanted at the weekend. Juventus head to the MAPEI Stadium – Città del Tricolore looking for an immediate response after letting two points slip, while Sassuolo welcome one of the league’s top-four occupants with a familiar sense of “nearly, but not quite” still hanging in the air.
Both clubs began 2026 with a 1-1 draw against teams described as strugglers, which gives this meeting a slightly prickly edge: nobody wants a run of frustrating results to become a habit. The table adds its own bite. Juventus sit fourth with 33 points from 18 matches; Sassuolo are 11th with 23 points from 18. That gap matters, but so does the way these two are built. Sassuolo have been described as mid-table for a reason: they’ve got attacking quality and a knack for staying in games, but they also carry weaknesses that the sharper sides tend to probe until something gives.
And Juventus? They have plenty of the markers of a team geared to control matches and create chances, but the mood around this one is shaped by that sense of an opportunity missed last time out. The response doesn’t have to be dramatic. It just has to be more ruthless.
Team News and Likely Set-Ups
Sassuolo’s possible XI is Muric; Walukiewicz, Idzes, Muharemovic, Candé; Thorstvedt, Matic, Koné; Fadera, Pinamonti, Laurienté. That reads like a back four with a three-man midfield and a front line led by Pinamonti, flanked by Fadera and Laurienté. It also leans into what Sassuolo are labelled as doing well: finishing chances, finding through balls, and hurting teams with direct free kicks. With Matic sitting in midfield, there’s a natural pivot point for tempo and positioning, while Thorstvedt and Koné can add legs and forward thrust around him.
There’s a notable absence from the possible lineup: Domenico Berardi, who is listed as out with a hamstring strain until 15.01.2026. Sassuolo also have C. Volpato down with an unknown injury, W. Coulibaly called up to a national team, and E. Pieragnolo out with a cruciate ligament injury until 06.04.2026. That’s significant for a couple of reasons. Berardi’s numbers in the squad list show goals and assists, and Volpato is credited with four assists in the league; if both are unavailable, Sassuolo’s creativity and final pass distribution are likely to lean even more heavily on the patterns they can build through the starting attackers and midfield runners.
Juventus’ possible XI is Di Gregorio; Kalulu, Bremer, Kelly; McKennie, Locatelli, Thuram, Cambiaso; Conceição, Yildiz; Openda. That setup fits with Juventus’ listed formation trend of a 3-4-2-1, with Kalulu, Bremer and Kelly as the back three, McKennie and Cambiaso providing width, and Locatelli plus Thuram anchoring the middle. Ahead of them, Conceição and Yildiz look like the two connectors behind Openda.
It’s a shape that suits Juventus’ stated approach: short passes, possession football, control in the opposition’s half, and frequent attempts at through balls. It also speaks to their strengths: attacking down the wings, creating chances, counter attacks, and attacking set pieces. The flip side is also right there in the profile: they’re weak at defending counter attacks and very weak at avoiding individual errors — which is exactly the kind of detail that can turn a comfortable-looking away day into a long night.
How the Match Could Be Played
The first tactical question is about territory. Juventus’ numbers and style point towards them wanting the ball and wanting it high up the pitch, and a 3-4-2-1 is designed for that: three centre-backs to keep you secure in build-up, wing-backs to stretch the width, and two attacking midfielders to occupy the pockets behind Sassuolo’s midfield line.
If Juventus settle into that rhythm, Locatelli becomes the metronome and Thuram the muscle in the middle. In front of them, Yildiz is the obvious headline-maker: six league goals and four assists, plus a rating that stands out in the squad list. He’s the kind of player who can make a game feel like it’s being played on Juventus’ terms, even if it’s still 0-0, simply by turning possession into meaningful attacks rather than harmless circulation.
Sassuolo, though, aren’t built to just accept that. Their listed style includes “playing in their own half” and “attacking down the left”, which suggests a team comfortable defending in a lower block and then breaking into space with intent. That “attack down the left” label naturally draws attention to Laurienté, a wide attacker with three league goals and three assists, and to the way Candé and the left side might support him. The aim would be clear: absorb pressure, then spring through the channel before Juventus can reset.
That’s where the match could get lively. Juventus’ weaknesses include counter-attack defending, and Sassuolo’s strengths include through balls and finishing chances. Put those together and you get a clear danger pattern: Juventus commit wing-backs high, lose the ball, and Sassuolo look immediately for Pinamonti’s runs or for a release pass into the left-sided lane for Laurienté. Muharemovic is another interesting name in that context — a centre-back who has chipped in with goals and assists, and who rates highly in the squad list. That hints at Sassuolo being capable of progressing play from the back when the moment is right, rather than simply hoofing and hoping.
The wing spaces matter for Sassuolo defensively as well. They are rated weak at keeping possession and weak at aerial duels, and also weak at defending counter attacks. If Juventus can pin Sassuolo deep and force repeated wide-to-central combinations — the ball into Conceição or Yildiz, then a third-man run from McKennie or Cambiaso — the home side can end up defending their box for long spells. That’s where Juventus’ attacking set-piece strength also looms: sustained pressure often leads to corners and dead-ball situations, and Juventus are flagged as strong in that phase.
The other tactical hinge is how quickly Sassuolo can connect midfield to attack. Matic is the anchor, but the legs around him matter if Sassuolo are to break Juventus’ control. Thorstvedt and Koné both carry goal contributions in the squad list, which points to midfielders who can arrive late and make the box busy. If those runners can support Pinamonti and stop him being isolated against Juventus’ three centre-backs, Sassuolo can create the kind of sequences that test Juventus’ discipline — and discipline is exactly where “individual errors” can creep in.
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The Numbers That Support the Story
Juventus’ Serie A averages describe a side that typically plays on the front foot. They post 57.3% possession with an 86.5% pass accuracy, and they take 16.1 shots per game. That shot volume matters because it isn’t just about pulling the trigger; it suggests Juventus are regularly getting into attacking zones and sustaining pressure long enough to generate repeat opportunities.
Sassuolo’s numbers tell a different story, and they fit the “mid-table” feel. They average 45.7% possession and 82.2% pass accuracy, with 10.6 shots per game. That suggests they’re not looking to dominate the ball, but they can still produce a decent amount of attacking output when they choose their moments.
The goals profile is also revealing. In Serie A, Sassuolo have scored 23 and conceded 22 across 18 matches — a near even trade that often correlates with matches decided by a handful of key moments. Juventus, in the same number of games, have scored 24 and conceded 16, hinting at a sturdier baseline, even if the latest match ended in a 1-1 draw.
Individual outputs support the tactical themes. Juventus’ attacking focal point in the listed squad is Yildiz (six goals, four assists), and with Conceição in the likely XI, there’s a suggestion of ball-carrying and combination play behind the striker. For Sassuolo, Pinamonti has four league goals and two assists, while Laurienté contributes at both ends of the final third. Even without Berardi available, that’s enough to make any defensive transition feel a little uncomfortable.
Key “Moments” to Watch
The first moment to watch is the first time Juventus lose the ball with both McKennie and Cambiaso high. That’s the classic trigger for a counter, and Sassuolo’s profile — through balls, finishing chances, attacking down the left — points towards a very specific response: get it forward early, get it left early, and see whether Juventus’ back three can defend while retreating.
The second is the battle around Yildiz. If he finds space between Sassuolo’s midfield and defence, Juventus’ control can become threat quickly. Sassuolo’s weaknesses include defending through ball attacks, so the little slips and disguised passes in that area could be decisive, especially if Openda times his runs well.
The third is set-piece tension. Juventus are strong at attacking set pieces and strong at defending them too, while Sassuolo are weak in aerial duels. If the match becomes a cycle of Juventus pressure and Sassuolo clearances, those dead-ball situations can add up — not because they guarantee anything, but because they keep forcing Sassuolo into repeated high-stress defending.
What could go wrong with this read? Sassuolo are labelled strong at coming back from losing positions and protecting the lead, which hints at a team that can ride momentum shifts and manage game states. Juventus, meanwhile, carry that “very weak” marker for avoiding individual errors; even a solid overall performance can be undermined by one poor touch or one misjudged pass. Add in the fact both sides started 2026 with 1-1 draws, and the possibility of another tight, slightly edgy contest is easy to see.
Best Bet for Sassuolo vs Juventus
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Juventus to Win
The case for a Juventus victory rests on their superior defensive stability and a highly productive attacking unit that matches up well against Sassuolo’s structural weaknesses. Juventus currently occupy a top-four spot with 33 points, underpinned by a defensive record that has seen them concede only 16 goals in 18 matches. This defensive baseline is significantly sturdier than that of Sassuolo, who have conceded 22 goals over the same period. While Juventus were frustrated by a 1-1 draw in their last outing, their overall season profile shows a team that dominates possession (57.3%) and creates a high volume of opportunities, averaging over 16 shots per game.
Tactically, Juventus are well-positioned to exploit Sassuolo’s specific vulnerabilities. Sassuolo struggle in aerial duels and are susceptible to through balls—two areas where Juventus excel. With Kenan Yildiz in excellent form, having recorded six goals and four assists this season, Juventus possess a creative hub capable of sliding passes through a Sassuolo defense that often finds itself pinned deep. Furthermore, Sassuolo’s inability to maintain possession effectively (45.7%) suggests that Juventus will dictate the tempo, forcing the home side into long spells of defending within their own half.
Sassuolo are also hindered by the absence of their primary creative spark, Domenico Berardi. Without his goal contributions and vision, the burden of attack falls heavily on Andrea Pinamonti and Armand Laurienté. While they are capable of threat on the counter, Juventus have the technical quality in a 3-4-2-1 system to transition quickly and sustain pressure. Historically, Juventus have dominated this fixture, winning 16 of the last 23 encounters. Given the gap in quality and the tactical mismatch between Juventus’ high shot volume and Sassuolo’s defensive lapses, a response from the visitors is the most logical outcome.
What could go wrong
The primary risk to this selection is Juventus’ own lack of discipline in transition. They are categorized as very weak at avoiding individual errors, a flaw that led to their recent points drop against Lecce. Sassuolo are particularly dangerous when attacking down the left through Laurienté, and if they can exploit Juventus’ weakness in defending counter-attacks, they could snatch a goal against the run of play. Additionally, Sassuolo have shown resilience in the past at the Mapei Stadium, and if Juventus fail to convert their high volume of shots early, the match could descend into another frustrating stalemate.
Correct score lean
Sassuolo 1-2 Juventus
A 1-2 scoreline reflects the tactical reality of both teams. Juventus have the attacking depth to break down a Sassuolo defense that has kept very few clean sheets this season, especially given their strength in through balls and set pieces. However, Juventus’ tendency to commit individual errors and their struggle to defend counter-attacks suggests they may struggle to keep a clean sheet. Sassuolo have scored in each of their last five home league matches against Juventus and average over a goal per game. A narrow away win aligns with Juventus’ superior ranking and Sassuolo’s ability to remain competitive at home.
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