Santos vs Flamengo Predictions

Santos vs Flamengo predictions for Sunday’s Brazilian Serie A action. Flamengo will need to bounce back after their heavy 4-0 loss at Bragantino last time out. Read on for all our free Brazilian Serie A predictions and betting tips.

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Santos vs Flamengo Predictions

A High-Stakes Battle in Rio

Key Stats
– Gabigol’s Formidable Strike: Flamengo’s Gabriel Barbosa, known as Gabigol, has a stunning record this season, with ten goals and three assists in his last 13 games.
– Santos’ Defensive Woes: Santos have conceded 18 goals in their last 10 matches, highlighting their ongoing defensive issues.
– Flamengo’s Home Advantage: Flamengo have won 8 out of their last 10 home matches, providing them with a crucial home advantage for this face-off.

Facing the aftermath of a sudden and surprising trouncing midweek, Flamengo are aiming to regain their balance when they clash against Santos this coming Sunday at Rio de Janeiro in the much-anticipated Campeonato Brasileiro.

Flamengo’s Faltering Fortunes

Despite their 4-0 rout during their last outing, Flamengo, affectionately known as Fla, are holding on to their fourth position in the Serie A leaderboard. In contrast, Santos are precariously perched close to the relegation zone after just having dismissed their coach. The defeat Flamengo encountered against Bragantino last Thursday, following an impressive 10-game undefeated streak, came as a bolt from the blue for the Rubo-Negro followers, who hadn’t seen their team lose by such a margin since August 2021.


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The recent defeat saw Fla on the receiving end of 30 shots on target, and they could only muster six in return, with only half landing on target. This alarming downturn left coach Jorge Sampaoli questioning the unexpected collapse of his team’s performance.

Indeed, this hiccup is a recent chapter in Flamengo’s struggle to maintain form outside their home state this season. Fla’s 13 matches outside Rio de Janeiro resulted in eight losses and just three victories. Flamengo now lags behind their city rivals Botafogo by eight points, who are currently leading the Brasileiro table after 11 rounds. Nevertheless, Flamengo are still in the running for a top-four finish and are just a point away from ensuring a spot in the Copa Libertadores knockout rounds.

Santos’ Struggles and Hopes

While Flamengo are dealing with a rare stumble, Santos finds themselves in a sea of trouble both on and off the field. In the aftermath of their midweek loss to Corinthians, coach Odair Hellman was sacked. The 2-0 defeat at Vila Belmiro led to home fans throwing smoke bombs onto the field, resulting in a 30-day ban for Santos supporters.

The quick dismissal of Hellman, who had been leading since 2021, came as Santos slipped to 13th place in the Serie A rankings and got eliminated from the Copa do Brasil and Copa Sudamericana. After failing to secure Japan-based Fabio Carille, Santos managed to sign former Athletico Paranaense boss Paulo Turra for a one-year contract. Turra now faces the task of re-energising a team that hasn’t tasted victory in the past nine matches.

Key Players To Watch

Flamengo’s Gabriel Barbosa, popularly known as Gabigol, has been in outstanding form this season. Despite the team’s recent performance, Gabigol has managed to score ten goals and make three assists in his last 13 games. His ability to find the back of the net consistently will be a significant factor in Flamengo’s chances of bouncing back.

On the other side, Santos will look to Marinho to produce some magic. Marinho, Santos’ leading scorer last season, has struggled with form this year but has shown signs of getting back to his best in recent games. The match against Flamengo offers the perfect stage for Marinho to reignite his season and lift Santos out of their current predicament.

 The Managers’ Battle

The managerial battle between Flamengo’s Jorge Sampaoli and Santos’ newly-appointed Paulo Turra will also play a significant role in this match-up. Sampaoli, known for his attacking philosophy, will need to find a way to boost his team’s confidence and return to their free-scoring ways.

Turra, on the other hand, will need to stabilise a Santos side currently lacking in confidence. His task will be to address Santos’ defensive frailties while finding a way to unlock their attacking potential. The battle of wits between these two experienced managers is sure to add another layer of intrigue to this high-stakes game.

The Big Match and Predictions

When it comes to predictions, based on both teams’ recent performances and the data at hand, a match prediction leaning towards over 4.5 goals seems plausible. Flamengo’s record of scoring 1.9 goals per game, coupled with Santos’ average of 0.8 goals per game, indicates that there is a significant chance of achieving this target.

Moreover, considering Flamengo’s record of conceding 1.4 goals per game and Santos’ 0.9, it makes sense to place a small bet on 3-2 for Flamengo in the correct score market. This specific prediction relies on the teams’ recent scoring and defensive records, Flamengo’s unstable away performance, and Santos’ determination to bounce back from their current poor form. Eventually, we expect the visitors to have more quality to prevail, but a reaction from Santos players could generate an open affair with lots of goals. 


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Graham Hartshorn
With more than 10 years of business expertise, Graham Hartshorn is a recognized authority on sports betting. He is the betting coordinator for @BTips4You, where he provides content for football fans.  Graham  is a reliable source for sports betting advice and analysis because of his enthusiasm for the business and his successful track record over the years.