Salernitana vs AC Milan predictions ahead of this Italian Serie A clash. Before Christmas, AC Milan will make a trip to the Stadio Arechi on Friday to face Salernitana, who currently sits at the bottom of the table. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Serie A | Gameweek 17 – Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK at Stadio Arechi
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Salernitana vs AC Milan Predictions
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A Clash of Contrasts: Milan’s Attack vs Salernitana’s Struggle
Key Stats
– AC Milan is the third highest-scoring team in Serie A, with 29 goals.
– Olivier Giroud has scored 8 goals in 13 Serie A outings this season.
In a David versus Goliath-like encounter, bottom-of-the-table Salernitana welcomes high-flying AC Milan to the Stadio Arechi. This match is not just a regular Serie A fixture; it’s a poignant moment for Salernitana’s boss Filippo Inzaghi, who faces his former club where he enjoyed a glittering playing career.
Salernitana’s Dire Straits
Despite the romance of the narrative, the reality is harsh for Inzaghi and Salernitana. With only five points from eight games under Inzaghi’s reign, they are deep in the relegation mire. Their defensive woes are stark, having the worst defensive record in the league and no clean sheets in 19 matches. Salernitana’s struggle to find form in the first halves of games is another area of concern, as they have been behind at half-time in most of their matches.
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AC Milan’s Pursuit of Excellence
Contrasting with Salernitana’s predicament, AC Milan, under Stefano Pioli, are proving to be the only genuine challengers to the top two in Italy. Despite some bumps along the road, including disappointing defeats and a recent lack of clean sheets, Milan’s attacking prowess has been their strong suit. Their last outing, a resounding 3-0 win, underlines their offensive capabilities.
Analysing Expected Goals and Key Match Areas
Salernitana’s average of 0.8 goals per game, coupled with Milan’s 1.8, indicates a disparity in attacking effectiveness. Milan’s midfield dynamism, especially with players like Loftus-Cheek and Musah, against Salernitana’s struggling midfield, will be crucial. The key battles are likely to be in the wide areas, where Milan can exploit Salernitana’s defensive frailties.
Suggestions for Improvement and Tactical Analysis
Salernitana needs to shore up their defence and improve their game management, especially in the first halves. For Milan, maintaining defensive solidity without compromising their attacking flair is vital.
Team Strategies: Strengths and Weaknesses
Salernitana’s main issue is their porous defence, which needs urgent attention. Milan’s strength lies in their attack, but their recent inability to keep clean sheets is a concern.
Managerial Showdown
Inzaghi, despite his illustrious past, faces criticism for Salernitana’s lacklustre performances and defensive disorganization. Pioli, meanwhile, has managed to maintain Milan’s attacking verve but needs to address their defensive issues.
Expected Lineups and Impact
Salernitana: Costil; Daniliuc, Gyomber, Pirola, Mazzocchi; Maggiore, Coulibaly, Martegani; Candreva, Dia, Tchaouna. This lineup, with its focus on defense, might struggle against Milan’s attacking prowess.
AC Milan: Maignan; Calabria, Kjaer, Tomori, Hernandez; Reijnders, Musah, Loftus-Cheek; Pulisic, Giroud, Rafael Leao. Milan’s lineup is built for attacking play, with a strong midfield base providing the foundation.
Predictions and Insights
- Market Prediction: AC Milan to Win and Both Teams to Score – Given Milan’s attacking form and Salernitana’s defensive struggles, Milan is likely to win. However, Salernitana’s recent record of scoring, combined with Milan’s inability to keep clean sheets away, suggests both teams will score.
- Correct Score Prediction: Salernitana 1-4 AC Milan – Salernitana’s capacity to find the net, despite their overall form, coupled with Milan’s potent attack and occasional defensive lapses, points to this scoreline.
- Goalscorer Prediction: Olivier Giroud to Score – Giroud’s record this season makes him a prime candidate to score, especially against a leaky Salernitana defence.
- First Half Result: AC Milan Leading – Milan’s superior quality and Salernitana’s habit of trailing at half-time make it likely that Milan will lead at the break.
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