Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews in Norway’s Eliteserien. Rosenborg aim to build momentum after ending a six-match winless streak as they host Fredrikstad at Lerkendal Stadion. Read on for our free predictions and tips.
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 11 – Jun 2, 2024 at 6.15pm UK at Lerkendal Stadion
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Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad Predictions
Fredrikstad’s Resilience Faces Rosenborg’s Revival at Lerkendal
Key Stats
– Fredrikstad have the best away record in the league, amassing 13 points on the road.
– Rosenborg have scored in every home match this season, showcasing their attacking prowess.
– Despite their strong form, Fredrikstad have conceded twice as many goals on the road compared to home games.
As Rosenborg prepare to face Fredrikstad at Lerkendal Stadion this Sunday, both teams find themselves at contrasting points in their respective campaigns. Rosenborg, historically a powerhouse in Norwegian football, have struggled to maintain their past glory, whereas Fredrikstad, fresh from promotion, have been the season’s surprise package. This encounter promises to be a compelling clash of styles and fortunes.
Current Form and Season Overview
Rosenborg
Rosenborg have endured a challenging season under the stewardship of Alfred Johansson. The Swedish manager, at just 33 years of age, has faced significant hurdles in revitalising a team that last lifted the Eliteserien trophy in 2018. Currently, they sit in a middling eighth place with 13 points, just a precarious three points above the relegation zone. Their recent form has been patchy at best, with a single win breaking a sequence of five defeats and a draw across all competitions.
Their attacking output has been modest, averaging 1.4 goals per game. Notably, they have found the back of the net in all their home matches this season, highlighting their offensive potential, especially on home turf. Defensively, however, they have conceded 17 goals in 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals against per game, which has undermined their efforts.
Fredrikstad
In stark contrast, Fredrikstad have enjoyed a stellar return to the top flight. Sitting third in the table with 21 points, they have shown remarkable resilience and tactical nous under Mikkjal Thomassen. Despite a recent 3-0 defeat to Tromso, their overall form has been impressive, characterised by a strong away record with 13 points garnered on the road, the best in the league.
Fredrikstad’s attacking play has been efficient, averaging 1.7 goals per game. Their defensive solidity is notable, having conceded only 10 goals, translating to 0.9 goals per game. This defensive stability has been crucial in their rise to the upper echelons of the table.
Expected Lineups and Tactical Approaches
Rosenborg Starting Lineup
Tangvik; Reitan, Henriksen, Jenssen, Pereira; Nypan, Selnaes, Vaananen; Reitan-Sunde, Broholm, Nelson
Fredrikstad Starting Lineup
Fischer; Aukland, Woledzi, Kvile; Metcalfe, Bjorlo, Hendriksson, Magnusson, Begby; Sorlokk, Aga
Rosenborg
Rosenborg are likely to adopt a formation focused on solidity and possession. Their reliance on key players like Jayden Nelson and Marius Broholm for offensive thrust will be pivotal. Markus Henriksen, if fit, will be a central figure in defence, while the youthful Sverre Nypan, should he recover from illness, will add dynamism in midfield.
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad’s success this season has hinged on their compact and disciplined defensive setup, complemented by swift counter-attacking play. Morten Bjorlo and Sondre Sørløkk will be instrumental in midfield, providing both defensive cover and creative outlets. Oscar Aga’s recent performances, including a crucial goal against Rosenborg in the cup, make him a key attacking threat.
Key Areas and Player Duels
The battle for midfield dominance will be critical in this fixture. Rosenborg’s ability to control possession through Ole Selnaes and Vaananen will be tested against Fredrikstad’s industrious midfield led by Bjorlo and Hendriksson. The duel between Jayden Nelson and Fredrikstad’s sturdy defenders like Kvile and Woledzi could be decisive in determining the outcome.
Fredrikstad’s defence will also need to be wary of Rosenborg’s set-piece threats and the creative flair of Broholm. Conversely, Rosenborg’s backline, particularly Henriksen and Jenssen, must handle the pace and movement of Fredrikstad’s forwards, especially Aga and Sørløkk.
Gameplay Predictions
Given their respective strengths and recent performances, the game is likely to be a tactical contest. Rosenborg will aim to leverage their home advantage, maintaining possession and building attacks methodically. Fredrikstad, on the other hand, are expected to focus on defensive solidity and quick transitions, exploiting any gaps left by Rosenborg’s advancing players.
Analysis of Team Strategies
Rosenborg’s Strategy
Strengths:
- Home advantage with consistent goal-scoring at Lerkendal Stadion.
- Strong midfield control with Selnaes and Vaananen.
- Effective attacking plays through Nelson and Broholm.
Weaknesses:
- Defensive vulnerabilities, particularly on counter-attacks.
- Inconsistent form, leading to low confidence.
Fredrikstad’s Strategy
Strengths:
- Solid defensive record, conceding less than a goal per game.
- Effective counter-attacking, especially in away matches.
- Versatile attacking options with Bjorlo and Sørløkk.
Weaknesses:
- Potential over-reliance on counter-attacks could be stifled by disciplined defending.
- Recent heavy loss to Tromso might have dented confidence.
Managerial Analysis
Alfred Johansson, despite his youth, has shown tactical flexibility but has struggled to inspire consistency in his squad. His management will be under scrutiny, especially in shoring up a leaky defence. Thomassen, in contrast, has been astute in maximising Fredrikstad’s strengths, but his challenge will be to maintain momentum and address any complacency following their recent defeat.
Betting Angles and Predictions
Best Bet: Fredrikstad to Win and Both Teams to Score
Given Fredrikstad’s strong away form and Rosenborg’s propensity to score at home, a victory for the visitors with both teams finding the net appears a solid prediction. Rosenborg’s attacking ability at home combined with Fredrikstad’s effective counter-attacking play supports this outcome.
Correct Score Prediction: Rosenborg 2-2 Fredrikstad
Rosenborg have demonstrated an ability to score at home, while Fredrikstad’s efficient attack and solid defence suggest they can both score and concede. A high-scoring draw is a plausible scenario.
Goalscorer Prediction: Oscar Aga to Score
Aga’s recent form, including a crucial goal against Rosenborg in the cup, makes him a strong candidate to score. His ability to exploit defensive lapses and his clinical finishing are key factors.
Team to Score First: Fredrikstad
With their robust defensive setup and quick counter-attacking style, Fredrikstad are well-placed to break the deadlock, especially against a Rosenborg side prone to defensive lapses.
Innovative Market: Total Team Shots on Target Over 6.5
Rosenborg’s attacking play, particularly at home, generates a substantial number of shots on target. Combining this with Fredrikstad’s counter-attacking threat, this market offers value.
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