Roma vs Udinese Predictions

Roma vs Udinese predictions ahead of this Serie A clash. Struggling Roma face surprise Serie A leaders Udinese at Stadio Olimpico on Sunday, with both teams looking to secure crucial points in this unexpected top-of-the-table clash. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Serie A | Sep 22, 2024 at 5pm UK at Stadio Olimpico

Roma vs Udinese Predictions

Can Roma Turn the Tide Against High-Flying Udinese?

• Roma’s Goal Drought Continues: The Giallorossi have struggled in front of goal, scoring just two goals in their first four Serie A matches this season. This lack of firepower has been a significant factor in their winless start, as they’ve failed to convert their 16.3 shots per game into goals.
• Udinese’s Defensive Solidity: Udinese have proven tough to break down, conceding just four goals in their opening four fixtures. With an average of 11.3 interceptions and 23 clearances per game, their defensive discipline has been key to their unbeaten start.
• High Conversion Rate for Udinese: Despite averaging only 10 shots per game, Udinese have managed to score seven goals, thanks to an impressive 25% conversion rate from attempts inside the box. This clinical finishing has been crucial in their rise to the top of the Serie A standings.

Our Tips

In a compelling Serie A fixture, Roma will face off against Udinese at the Stadio Olimpico this Sunday. The game marks the beginning of a new era for the home side, as they welcome their newly appointed manager, Ivan Juric, who will be desperate to inject some much-needed momentum into a struggling team. The Giallorossi are currently languishing near the bottom of the table with just three points from their first four games, which led to the sacking of club legend Daniele De Rossi earlier this week. By contrast, Udinese arrive in Rome as surprise leaders of the league, having collected 10 points from their opening fixtures. This stark contrast sets the stage for a fascinating clash between a team seeking redemption and another looking to extend their unexpected dominance.

The encounter is particularly intriguing given the recent upheaval in the Roma camp. With their former manager gone and a new coach trying to implement his vision, the hosts are in a precarious position. They’ve yet to secure a win this season and have managed just two goals in their opening four games. Meanwhile, Udinese have been in scintillating form, showcasing a clinical edge that has seen them notch up three consecutive victories, including a remarkable comeback win against Parma. Roma’s defensive fragility will be a major concern as they try to contain Udinese’s potent attack led by Florian Thauvin and Lorenzo Lucca. It remains to be seen whether Juric can quickly transform his new side’s fortunes, or if Udinese will continue their impressive run.

Best Bet: Under 1.5 Goals

A low-scoring affair seems to be on the cards for this fixture, making Under 1.5 Goals the standout betting option. Roma’s struggles in front of goal have been well-documented, with only two goals scored in their first four league outings. Their expected goals (xG) of 0.5 per game highlights a team that has failed to create high-quality chances consistently. New manager Ivan Juric will likely prioritise defensive solidity in his first game in charge, aiming to stem the tide of poor results and avoid another disappointing outing. Given his history of setting up teams with a more cautious approach, it is likely that Roma will adopt a defensive strategy, especially against a high-flying Udinese side.

The visitors, on the other hand, have been more prolific in attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game. However, their defensive record is equally noteworthy, having conceded only four goals so far this season. This balanced approach suggests that Udinese are not just relying on their attack but are also capable of keeping things tight at the back. With Roma struggling for goals and likely to focus on tightening their defensive lines under their new manager, this match could see few opportunities for either side.

BettingTips4You.com expert Luca Semproni agrees: “Roma are in a transitional phase, and while they’ll aim to avoid another slip-up at home, their focus will be on preventing goals rather than scoring them. With Udinese likely to play cautiously, knowing they don’t need to chase the game, this could well be a cagey affair with few scoring chances.”

Moreover, recent statistics further reinforce this prediction. Roma have failed to score more than one goal in any of their matches this season, and Udinese’s last two away games have both featured fewer than two goals. The likelihood of a low-scoring game is further bolstered by the defensive setups expected from both sides. With Roma yet to find their rhythm and Udinese not needing to take unnecessary risks, backing Under 1.5 Goals seems a sensible choice.

Correct Score Prediction: Roma 0-1 Udinese

Following the rationale behind the Best Bet, a 1-0 victory for Udinese appears to be the most plausible outcome. The away side have shown a knack for grinding out results this season, particularly in matches where they don’t dominate possession. With an expected ball possession rate of just 39.5% so far this campaign, they are used to operating on the counter and taking advantage of the few chances they create. This efficiency, coupled with Roma’s current attacking woes, suggests that Udinese can nick a narrow win.

Roma’s defence, which has conceded just three goals in four matches, will likely pose a significant challenge for Udinese to break down. However, the Friulani’s clinical edge in front of goal, highlighted by their impressive shot conversion rate of 25%, means they are more than capable of capitalising on any lapses from the hosts. A single goal could be enough to decide this encounter, especially given Roma’s current lack of attacking threat. This result would also align with Roma’s recent trend of tight games, where they have been defensively solid but lacking the cutting edge up front.

Udinese, led by their in-form duo of Thauvin and Lucca, have the capability to break down even the most resilient defences. They demonstrated this against Parma, coming back from two goals down to win 3-2, and that fighting spirit could be the difference against a Roma side still finding their feet. With Udinese’s organised defence and Roma’s conservative approach, a 1-0 scoreline seems likely.

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