Roma vs Genoa Predictions

Roma vs Genoa predictions ahead of this Serie A encounter. Roma host Genoa at Stadio Olimpico in a mid-table Serie A clash, with just one point separating the sides. Both teams aim to gain ground in a tight league race. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

League Two | Jan 17, 2025 at 7:45pm UK at Stadio Olimpico

Roma vs Genoa Predictions

Will Roma’s Home Strength Hold Against Genoa’s Resilience?

• Roma’s Inconsistent Home Form: The Giallorossi have won six and lost four of their home matches this season, highlighting their unpredictability at Stadio Olimpico.
• Genoa’s Away Resurgence: Patrick Vieira’s side are unbeaten in their last five away matches, showcasing significant improvement in their performances on the road.
• Both Teams in Scoring Form: Roma have scored in each of their last five matches, while Genoa have failed to find the net in only one of their previous five league games.

Our Tips

Friday night will see Stadio Olimpico come alive as Roma welcome Genoa for a match that promises grit, determination, and a fight for mid-table pride. Both sides find themselves in the heart of the Serie A standings, separated by just a single point. While neither team is currently flirting with relegation, their respective positions suggest a battle to establish dominance as they remain some distance away from European qualification. This clash has all the hallmarks of a classic encounter between two sides determined to prove their resurgence under new management.

Roma, under the experienced Claudio Ranieri, have rediscovered some of their competitive edge. They are unbeaten in five matches, a run that included a dramatic draw with Bologna last weekend, where a late VAR-awarded penalty salvaged a point. This followed a morale-boosting victory in the fiercely contested Derby della Capitale against Lazio earlier this month. On the other side, Genoa, led by Patrick Vieira, have enjoyed a similar renaissance. Their victory over Parma last week marked their first home win of the season and extended a run of just one defeat in their last ten Serie A outings.

Both teams are aiming to maintain momentum and cement their mid-table positions, with Genoa knowing a win would see them leapfrog their hosts. But given Roma’s strong performances at home and Genoa’s improved away form, this match is poised to be a tactical battle of wits. Will Roma’s attacking prowess, spearheaded by Artem Dovbyk and Paulo Dybala, prove decisive? Or can Genoa’s disciplined defence and recent resilience on the road steal the show?

Best Bet: Both Teams to Score

The most enticing betting option for this fixture is backing both teams to score. Roma and Genoa have both shown signs of attacking improvement in recent weeks, and with their defensive vulnerabilities still evident, this outcome appears highly likely. Roma, despite their inconsistency this season, have been reliable in front of goal, particularly at home. Players like Dybala, who has been directly involved in four goals in his last four league matches, and Dovbyk, who scored in the reverse fixture earlier this season, make the Giallorossi a dangerous offensive unit.

Genoa, too, cannot be underestimated in attack, with Andrea Pinamonti leading the line. The striker has been a crucial focal point for Vieira’s side and will be looking to exploit any gaps in Roma’s defence. The Grifone’s overall attacking numbers on the road may not be particularly eye-catching—just seven goals in nine away matches—but their recent form suggests they are more than capable of troubling Ranieri’s backline. They have failed to score in only one of their last five league matches, indicating a marked improvement in converting chances.

Defensively, both teams have areas of concern. Roma have conceded in each of their last four Serie A matches, and while their defence has been bolstered by experienced names like Hummels, they remain prone to lapses in concentration. Genoa, despite their impressive six clean sheets in their last ten games, often struggle against teams with strong attacking setups, particularly away from home.

As BettingTips4You.com expert Luca Semproni points out: “Roma’s attacking quality and Genoa’s recent confidence in front of goal set the stage for an open game. Both teams have the tools to breach each other’s defence, making this a strong betting opportunity.”

Considering Roma’s scoring streak and Genoa’s recent ability to find the net, this prediction offers great value in what promises to be a fiercely contested match.

Correct Score Prediction: Roma 1-1 Genoa

A 1-1 draw feels like the most probable outcome, aligning with the prediction of both teams finding the net. Roma, while dominant at times at Stadio Olimpico, have struggled for consistency, with their record of six wins and four losses at home highlighting their unpredictable nature. Even against Genoa, who sit just a point below them, the Giallorossi are unlikely to completely overpower their opponents given their own defensive shortcomings.

Genoa, for their part, have shown a knack for grinding out results on the road. They are currently on a five-match unbeaten streak away from home, and their disciplined approach under Vieira has made them difficult to break down. Their 0.8 goals-per-game average on the road may seem underwhelming, but with Pinamonti leading the attack and players like Frendrup stepping up in key moments, they have just enough to pose a threat to Roma’s defence.

This match is likely to see Roma dominate possession and create more chances, but Genoa’s defensive structure and counter-attacking potential will ensure they are not without opportunities of their own. With both sides evenly matched in terms of current form, a share of the spoils seems a logical conclusion. Roma’s inconsistency and Genoa’s recent resilience point towards a tightly contested affair, where neither team is likely to emerge as the clear winner.

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