Roma vs Brighton Predictions

Roma vs Brighton Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews in the Europa League. AS Roma and Brighton & Hove Albion will clash in the Europa League on Thursday, each aiming for a next-round spot. Read on for our free predictions and tips.


Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg | Mar 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK at Stadio Olimpico

Roma vs Brighton Predictions

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A Historic Clash at Stadio Olimpico: Expectations Sky-High

Key Stats

– Paulo Dybala has revitalised his form under Daniele De Rossi, becoming Roma’s leading scorer with 12 goals.

– Brighton have lost four of their last seven matches, highlighting their struggle for consistency amidst injury woes.

– Roma have an impressive home record, winning 13 of their 19 games in all competitions, showcasing their formidable presence at the Stadio Olimpico.

As AS Roma and Brighton & Hove Albion gear up for their Europa League encounter on Tuesday, anticipation is reaching fever pitch. This match, set against the backdrop of Rome’s iconic Stadio Olimpico, is not just a battle for progression in the tournament; it represents a clash of styles, philosophies, and aspirations. With both teams boasting squads laden with talent and led by visionary managers, we’re on the cusp of what promises to be a footballing spectacle.

The Renaissance Under Daniele De Rossi

Since taking the reins from José Mourinho, Daniele De Rossi has orchestrated a remarkable turnaround at AS Roma. Under his guidance, Roma has rediscovered their zest, playing an attacking brand of football that’s both effective and enthralling. Paulo Dybala, once seen as a fading star, has been revitalised, leading the line with a mix of grace and lethal finishing. The midfielder, Lorenzo Pellegrini, has also found a new lease of life, contributing significantly to Roma’s goal tally and overall play.


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This resurgence is reflected in their journey to the Europa League’s last 16, a path marked by drama and triumph, most notably their penalty shootout victory over Feyenoord. Despite their historical struggles against English teams in European competitions, Roma’s recent form and the electric atmosphere of a packed Stadio Olimpico give them a solid foundation to overcome past demons.

Brighton’s Debut European Campaign

On the flip side, Brighton’s journey to this stage is a narrative of underdog tenacity and tactical ingenuity. Roberto De Zerbi has moulded the Seagulls into a side that’s not only hard to beat but plays a brand of possession-based football that’s both attractive and effective.

Despite grappling with injuries, Brighton topped a challenging group and has shown they can mix it with Europe’s best. However, the absence of key players like João Pedro and Kaoru Mitoma has left noticeable gaps. Yet, the depth of the squad is evident, with players like Pascal Groß and Billy Gilmour stepping up when called upon.

Expected Lineups and Tactical Insights

Roma’s expected lineup, largely unchanged from their recent domestic outing, suggests continuity and confidence in their tactical setup. Missing only Rick Karsdorp, Roma’s formation is poised to exploit their home advantage with attacking football. Brighton, nursing several injuries, will likely see Gilmour return to the midfield, adding creativity and resilience. The return of Groß, Adingra, Buonanotte, and Welbeck to the starting lineup will be crucial for Brighton’s chances, injecting pace and precision to their attacking efforts.

Analysis: Where the Game Will Be Won

The midfield battle stands as the pivotal contest within this match. Pellegrini’s resurgence under De Rossi’s system will be key; his ability to control the tempo and distribute the ball effectively could unlock Brighton’s defence. Conversely, Groß and Gilmour’s partnership for Brighton must disrupt Roma’s rhythm and catalyse their own attacking movements.

The flanks will also be crucial, with Brighton’s wide players needing to exploit the space behind Roma’s attacking full-backs. However, Roma’s solid central defensive pairing and Brighton’s potential vulnerability to pace could see Dybala and company creating numerous chances.

Strengths, Weaknesses, and Managerial Duel

Roma’s strengths lie in their attacking fluidity and improved defensive solidity under De Rossi, whereas their historical struggles against English opposition and occasional lapses in concentration present vulnerabilities. Brighton’s strengths include their possession-based style and squad depth, though injuries and inconsistency have blighted their campaign.

In the managerial duel, De Rossi’s passion and tactical adaptability are commendable, but his relative inexperience at this level could be tested. De Zerbi’s ability to organise his team and instill a clear playing identity has been impressive, though questions remain over his side’s resilience in high-stakes matches.


1. Roma to Win

The Stadio Olimpico, with its daunting atmosphere and passionate support, serves as a formidable backdrop for AS Roma’s home matches. Daniele De Rossi’s influence has reinvigorated Roma, transforming them into a cohesive and dynamic attacking unit. Their resurgence is particularly evident in home fixtures, where they’ve secured 13 wins out of 19 across all competitions. This statistic not only highlights their dominance on home turf but also suggests a psychological edge over visiting teams.

Brighton & Hove Albion, despite their commendable debut in European competition, are venturing into this clash amidst a troubling patch of form. The Seagulls have faltered, losing four of their last seven matches, which raises questions about their resilience and adaptability, especially in high-pressure European away fixtures.

The absence of key players due to injuries exacerbates their challenge, potentially affecting their performance and strategy against a side like Roma, which is peaking at the right moment. Thus, considering both teams’ current trajectories and the tangible home advantage that Roma enjoys, predicting a victory for the Giallorossi appears to be a well-founded expectation.

2. Correct Score Prediction: Roma 2-0 Brighton

This prediction stems from a confluence of factors, including Roma’s attacking potency and Brighton’s defensive vulnerabilities, especially in away fixtures. Roma, under De Rossi, have shown a notable improvement in both creating and converting chances, exemplified by their average of 1.9 goals per game in Serie A. The synergy between Paulo Dybala, Lorenzo Pellegrini, and their attacking counterparts has been instrumental in their goal-scoring exploits.

Brighton, while tactically astute, have shown susceptibility to conceding goals, particularly against teams that press aggressively and exploit spaces effectively. With 44 goals conceded in the Premier League, their defence has been penetrable, a vulnerability Roma’s attackers are well-equipped to exploit. Given Brighton’s recent form and Roma’s attacking resurgence, a 2-0 victory for Roma reflects both the expected defensive solidity of the hosts and their clinical edge upfront.

3. Goalscorer Prediction: Paulo Dybala to Score

Paulo Dybala’s renaissance this season has been one of the standout narratives in Roma’s campaign. His transformation under De Rossi’s guidance into the team’s leading scorer is a testament to his quality and crucial role in Roma’s attacking schema. Dybala’s ability to find space, coupled with his clinical finishing, makes him a constant threat to opposing defences. Against Brighton, whose defensive record away from home has been less than stellar, Dybala’s attributes could prove to be the difference.

Brighton’s tactical setup, likely focused on containing Roma’s multifaceted attack, may inadvertently afford Dybala the spaces he thrives in. Whether through intricate play, set-pieces, or moments of individual brilliance, Dybala’s propensity to score in crucial fixtures adds weight to the prediction of him finding the back of the net in this pivotal Europa League encounter.

4. Corner Prediction: Roma to Earn More Corners; Total Corners Over 9.5

Roma’s attacking philosophy under De Rossi not only prioritises direct scoring opportunities but also frequently results in corners. This approach, characterised by wide play, crosses, and shots from distance, often forces defences to concede corners. Brighton’s expected defensive posture, particularly in an away context against a side like Roma, might increase the likelihood of corners being conceded as they seek to repel Roma’s advances.

The prediction of the total corners exceeding 9.5 for the match is based on the anticipated dynamics of the game. With Roma pressing forward and Brighton looking for opportunities to counter, both teams’ playing styles suggest a match rich in set-piece situations, including corners. This game’s high stakes and the tactical approaches of both managers further support the expectation of a contest with numerous corners, driven by the attacking endeavours of both sides.

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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.