Roma vs AC Milan predictions ahead of Saturday’s huge Serie A affair at the Stadio Olimpico. This fixture could be crucial in deciding who will qualify for the Champions League from the Italian Serie A. Can the Giallorossi bounce back with a home win? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Match Live Saturday, 29th April at 5:00 pm In:
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Roma vs AC Milan Predictions
£20 Returns £110  ----- £10 Returns £90  Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change |
Rivals Seek Upper Hand in Race for Champions League Qualification
Key Stats
– AC Milan are unbeaten in their last six matches across all competitions, including three wins.
– The last two meetings between Roma and AC Milan have resulted in over 3.5 goals.
Both Roma and Milan are vying for a top four finish, and this is a great opportunity for either of these two teams to get three crucial points towards next season’s Champions League. I expect this to be an intriguing affair, with both sides currently level on points and evenly matched in terms of form.
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Roma’s Recent Stumble
Roma have been pretty solid recently, yet on Monday night they did experience a hiccup as they were defeated 3-1 away to Atalanta. Mourinho’s men struggled defensively also due to the absence of Chris Smalling and generally couldn’t establish their rhythm during the game, with Lorenzo Pellegrini’s goal being only a late consolation. This was the first defeat for the Giallorossi in five Serie A matches, but it caused them to slip to fifth place on the table due to their competitors mostly winning their games.
Home Advantage for Roma
Even if Roma do have some injuries and are coming off a recent setback, they will be confident ahead of Saturday’s showdown on the back of a solid record at the Stadio Olimpico. Under Mourinho, Roma have won eight of their last nine home matches in all competitions, including a recent 3-0 win over Udinese.
AC Milan Struggling to Defend Title
Milan are heading south on the back of a 2-0 win in their most recent match against Empoli, but overall this has been a rather disappointing Serie A season for the defending champions. With the title race well over, Stefano Pioli’s men’s only focus in the league is to secure a top four finish, as they are currently sitting in fourth place and have a small advantage over Roma due to their superior goal tally.
Roma vs AC Milan Main Betting Tip: Draw
Milan are unbeaten in their last six matches across all competitions, which also includes three wins. Roma will present a bigger challenge than what they have recently faced, despite the fact that they have drawn their last two away games, demonstrating good resilience on the road.
Additionally, the Rossoneri have also secured their place in the Champions League semifinal in a fascinating derby against city rivals Inter Milan. Roma will be missing several players and might also do without Dybala.
Roma vs AC Milan Value Bet: Roger Ibanez to be shown a card
As mentioned, Roma are likely to struggle defensively as they miss key players. AC Milan have players of the quality of Leao and Brahim Diaz capable of causing issues for the hosts. Brazilian defender Roger Ibanez is likely to feel the pain of the Rossoneri’s attacking skills and looks value in the cards market at 27/10 with BetVictor (was 12/5).
Ibanez tends to commit fouls when exposed, and so far this season he has been booked eight times and also received a red card in 27 starts. In a match where Roma are likely to struggle, it looks good to get carded, especially considering the referee, Daniele Orsato, who has a very high yellow card average of 5.25.
Roma vs AC Milan Correct Score Prediction: Draw 1-1
As mentioned earlier, we do expect this to be a tight affair between two teams that know that a defeat would go a long way to damaging their Champions League ambitions. Considering the home advantage and the absences in the Roma side, backing a 1-1 draw in the correct score market looks like the best bet.
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