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Rennes vs Lens predictions for this Ligue 1 encounter. Rennes host Lens at Roazhon Park on Sunday, with just one point separating the Ligue 1 rivals ahead of their first meeting this season. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.
Ligue 1 | Sep 28 2025 at 7:45 pm UK at Roazhon Park
Rennes vs Lens Predictions
Will Roazhon Park witness a statement win or another cagey battle?
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- Rennes’ defensive troubles
- Rennes have conceded eight goals in their opening five Ligue 1 matches — their worst defensive return at this stage since the 2017-18 season.
- Lens’ travelling discipline
- Over half of Lens’ Ligue 1 away games in 2025 have ended in victories, but six of their last 10 away fixtures produced fewer than three goals.
- Historic trend for low-scoring games
- An astonishing 13 of the last 15 Ligue 1 meetings between Rennes and Lens have seen under 2.5 goals, underlining the tactical caution in this fixture.
Best Bet for Rennes vs Lens
Under 2.5 goals | |
49/50 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Backing Under 2.5 goals is the smart play: Rennes struggle to keep clean sheets but rarely open the floodgates at home, while Lens thrive in structured, low-scoring battles. | |
Two sides separated by the slimmest of margins meet on Sunday at Roazhon Park, where Rennes will lock horns with Lens in what feels like an early test of character for both. Just one point stands between them in the Ligue 1 table, with Rennes sitting eighth after a frustrating 2-2 draw with Nantes last weekend, while Lens are up in seventh thanks to an emphatic 3-0 dismantling of Lille.
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For Rennes, there’s an odd sense of restlessness in the air. Habib Beye’s team can look dazzling in bursts, yet somehow manage to let games slip through their fingers. Last week was the perfect example: two goals up before half-time against a goal-shy Nantes, only to see their lead vanish by the final whistle. It was less of a draw and more of a gut-punch. The defence, leaky again, will be under a magnifying glass this weekend.
Lens, on the other hand, are building a reputation as bounce-back merchants. Lose one weekend, hammer opponents the next — that’s been their rhythm so far. Pierre Sage’s men stunned Lille with ruthless counter-attacks and a clean sheet that sent a statement to the rest of the league. Their away form has also been quietly impressive in 2025, with over half their trips producing victories.
This isn’t just another fixture — it’s a battle between two teams desperate to show they belong higher up the table.
Best Bet for this Match
The best bet for this clash is Under 2.5 goals. At bettingtips4you, we never scatter random bets — we focus on one carefully selected prediction per match. That’s how we keep things accountable and transparent, making life easier for readers who just want one quality pick rather than a confusing pile of options.
Why you should back this prediction
Backing the under makes perfect sense when you look at both recent performances and historical trends. Rennes are capable of scoring, but their defensive fragility has turned them into a team that overthinks rather than overperforms. They’ve now conceded eight goals in just five league games, and yet despite this, their matches at Roazhon Park often don’t explode into goal-fests. Fewer than three goals have been scored in three of their last five home league encounters, which paints the picture of a side that becomes cautious on home turf.
Lens add further weight to this argument. Their 3-0 demolition of Lille was eye-catching, yes, but it was also clinical rather than chaotic. Sage has been drilling organisation into them, and it shows in their ability to dictate tempo. Six of their last 10 away fixtures in Ligue 1 have ended with fewer than three goals, so they are no strangers to low-scoring, pragmatic contests.
The head-to-head record is equally telling: in 13 of the last 15 meetings between these sides, the total stayed under the 2.5 threshold. That’s not coincidence — that’s a trend that spans managers, players, and seasons.
As BettingTips4You.com expert Wolfgang Shotten explains:
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“This game has all the ingredients of a tactical stalemate. Neither team will risk it all, and the weight of history screams a low-scoring affair.”
A correct score of 1-1 feels like the most plausible outcome here. Rennes are unbeaten at home so far, and Lens have the nous to snatch something on the road. Neither team looks dominant enough to blow the other away, but both have enough quality to make their mark.
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