Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid predictions for this Copa del Rey clash. Real Madrid visit Real Sociedad on Wednesday, aiming to secure a first-leg advantage in their Copa del Rey semi-final clash. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.
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Copa del Rey | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg | Feb 26, 2025 at 8:30pm UK at Reale Arena
Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid Predictions


Can Real Sociedad Stand Firm Against Real Madrid in the Copa del Rey?
- Sociedad’s Home Strength – The Basque side have won 11 of their last 13 matches at the Reale Arena, proving tough to beat in front of their home fans.
- Madrid’s Away Consistency – Despite their talent, Real Madrid have drawn four of their last 10 away matches, highlighting some vulnerability on the road.
- Copa del Rey History – Real Sociedad and Real Madrid last met in this competition in 2020, with Sociedad stunning Los Blancos 4-3 at the Bernabéu in an unforgettable encounter.
Best Bet for Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid
Real Sociedad/Draw Double Chance | |
19/20 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Real Sociedad’s strong home form and Madrid’s away inconsistencies suggest backing the hosts to avoid defeat. Despite defensive absences, Sociedad’s disciplined approach could frustrate Ancelotti’s side. |
A place in the Copa del Rey final is at stake as Real Sociedad welcome Real Madrid to the Reale Arena for the first leg of their semi-final clash. The hosts, dreaming of a fourth cup triumph, have navigated their way through five rounds to reach this stage, showing resilience and quality along the way. However, they now face their toughest challenge yet, with Madrid standing in the way of their ambitions.
Los Blancos arrive in San Sebastián with hopes of securing a quadruple this season, having already claimed the FIFA Intercontinental Cup and remaining in contention for La Liga, the Champions League, and this competition. Carlo Ancelotti’s side put their league title chase back on track with a 2-0 win over Girona at the weekend, a match in which Luka Modric and Vinicius Junior found the net. Their cup journey has seen them overcome Deportivo Minera, Celta Vigo, and Leganés, but now they must deal with a Sociedad side that has made the Reale Arena a fortress in recent months.
Despite Madrid’s clear status as favourites, Sociedad will not roll over easily. They have won 11 of their last 13 home matches and are riding a wave of momentum after hammering Leganés 3-0 in La Liga. Yet, the defensive injuries piling up for Imanol Alguacil’s side could prove costly, especially against an opponent boasting one of the most fearsome attacks in Europe.
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Best Bet: Real Sociedad/Draw Double Chance
At BettingTips4You.com, we don’t believe in flooding our readers with endless predictions. We stand by our one best bet per game philosophy, making sure our analysis is focused on delivering the best possible selection. For this match, the top choice is Real Sociedad/Draw Double Chance.
Backing Sociedad to avoid defeat at home makes sense given their impressive form at the Reale Arena. They have won five consecutive matches on their own patch, displaying both attacking prowess and defensive organisation. However, the real key to this bet is Madrid’s inconsistencies on the road. While they have avoided defeat in 10 of their last 11 away fixtures, they haven’t always convinced when travelling, and Sociedad’s disciplined approach could frustrate them.
The home side’s biggest concern is their makeshift defence, with key players like Jon Pacheco, Nayef Aguerd, and Hamari Traore all missing. Igor Zubeldia is expected to return, but Alguacil may still need to rely on less experienced options in key positions. If Sociedad’s backline holds firm, they have enough quality in midfield and attack to make life difficult for Madrid.
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Kylian Mbappé, Jude Bellingham, and Vinicius Junior provide a serious threat for Los Blancos, and if they are given too much space, Madrid could punish their hosts. However, Sociedad’s midfield trio, led by Mikel Oyarzabal and Take Kubo, has been excellent at controlling the tempo of matches. If they can disrupt Madrid’s rhythm and make this a scrappy, tactical battle, there’s every chance they can earn a positive result ahead of the second leg at the Bernabéu.
“Sociedad’s home form is undeniable, and despite Madrid’s firepower, this will be far from straightforward for Ancelotti’s men. If the hosts stay compact and disciplined, they have every chance of avoiding defeat.” – BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa
Predicted Scoreline: Real Sociedad 1-1 Real Madrid
Madrid’s attacking quality means they are always a threat, but Sociedad’s home resilience shouldn’t be underestimated. With their strong record at the Reale Arena and Madrid’s occasional struggles away from home, a tight 1-1 draw seems the most realistic outcome. Sociedad are likely to approach the game with a defensive mindset, ensuring they have a fighting chance in the return leg.
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