Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Predictions

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid predictions, betting tips and match previews for this La Liga clash. Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid will aim to recover from recent European defeats as they face off in La Liga on Sunday night. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.

La Liga | Oct 6, 2024 at 8pm UK at Reale Arena

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Predictions

Will Atletico Madrid Bounce Back or Can Real Sociedad Stop Their Rot?

• Real Sociedad’s Home Woes: The hosts have lost three of their four home games this season, conceding exactly two goals in three of those fixtures.
• Atletico’s Resilience: Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in La Liga this season with four wins and four draws, showcasing their ability to grind out results even when they’re not at their best.
• Sociedad’s Struggles Against Atletico: The Basque side have not beaten Atletico in La Liga since 2019, losing the last three meetings between the two sides.

Our Tips

As Real Sociedad prepare to face Atletico Madrid on Sunday night, both teams will be looking to bounce back from their midweek European struggles. Sociedad find themselves languishing in 14th place in La Liga, and with just eight points from eight matches, it’s fair to say they’re very close to the relegation battle. Atletico, on the other hand, sit fourth in the table but are fresh off a massive 4-0 defeat to Benfica in the Champions League. This match should be an open affair, with both teams hungry for redemption and desperate to use this La Liga clash to right their respective ships.

Atletico’s form has been stronger in the league, having recorded four wins and four draws, making them undefeated so far domestically. However, with just two points separating them from second-placed Real Madrid, a victory here could improve their position before the international break. But don’t count Real Sociedad out entirely—despite their low position, they managed to hammer Valencia 3-0 in their most recent La Liga outing. However, that success was an outlier in an otherwise bleak season, and they quickly returned to their poor form with a Europa League loss to Anderlecht.

Best Bet: Draw/Atletico Madrid Half-Time/Full-Time

Looking at the form of both teams, Atletico Madrid are favourites, but a straightforward win is far from guaranteed. One of the smarter plays here is to back a Draw/Atletico Madrid Half-Time/Full-Time outcome, offering a good balance of value and likelihood.

Atletico are known for their ability to secure results, especially under manager Diego Simeone, who has built a squad that excels in second-half performances. Sociedad have struggled to find any consistency, especially at home, losing three of their four matches at the Reale Arena. They’ve only scored six goals in eight league games, and their lack of a cutting edge upfront makes them vulnerable to Atletico’s defensive solidity.

Atletico, on the other hand, have had a disappointing start to their season. The Madrid giants have drawn five of their eight first halves in La Liga, showing a tendency to get going after the break. Combine that with the fact that they have the firepower to punish teams late in games—Antoine Griezmann and Julian Alvarez are likely to start upfront—and it makes perfect sense to expect a tight first half before Atletico’s quality will finally make the difference.

Given Sociedad’s difficulty in maintaining their intensity across 90 minutes, Atletico’s superior fitness and organisation could be the difference-maker. A 0-0 or 1-1 scoreline at half-time seems highly plausible, before Atletico’s quality eventually comes through. This scenario would mirror Atletico’s recent La Liga performance, where they’ve often turned draws into wins in the second half. As BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa aptly put it:

“Atletico’s second-half resilience has been their defining feature this season. A draw at half-time with them pulling ahead late on is a smart, calculated bet. Simeone’s team thrive in turning tight games in their favour.”

It’s hard to argue with that analysis. Atletico’s tactical discipline, coupled with Sociedad’s second-half frailties, make this a strong pick. Plus, the odds for this kind of half-time/full-time outcome typically offer decent value, making it an appealing bet for the more cautious punter.

Correct Score Prediction: Real Sociedad 1-2 Atletico Madrid

In line with the best bet, my correct score prediction is a 2-1 victory for Atletico Madrid. Why this scoreline? Real Sociedad may not have been prolific in front of goal this season, but they manage to score at least a goal, particularly at home. While they’ve struggled overall, they’ve netted in three of their four home matches. Atletico’s defensive record is solid, but they’ve conceded in their last three clashes, including against Real Madrid and Benfica. It’s likely that Sociedad, spurred on by their home crowd, will find a goal, but they lack the consistency to truly outscore a team like Atletico.

Atletico, on the other hand, should be able to capitalise on Sociedad’s defensive vulnerabilities. The Basque side have conceded 13 goals in eight matches and struggle to hold onto leads, as seen in their Europa League match against Anderlecht. With Griezmann and Alvarez up front, it’s hard to see Atletico not finding the net at least two times. They have the experience and cutting edge to take their chances, even if they start slowly.

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