Real Madrid vs Villarreal Predictions

Real Madrid vs Villarreal predictions for La Liga clash. Real Madrid will look to rebound from their first defeat since January as they resume their 2024-25 La Liga campaign with a home clash against Villarreal on Saturday night. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Real Madrid
Villarreal

La Liga | Oct 5, 2024 at 8pm UK at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

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Real Madrid vs Villarreal Predictions

Best Odds Boost for this Match
William hill
JUDE BELLINGHAM TO SCORE WITH A HEADER
17/2 (was 15/2)
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Will Villarreal’s Leaky Defence Survive Real Madrid’s Onslaught?

  • Villarreal have conceded 15 goals in La Liga this season, making them the third-worst defence in the league despite being third in the table.
  • Real Madrid have a 100% home record, winning all four La Liga games at the Bernabeu and scoring an average of 2.1 goals per match.
  • Both teams have scored in every Villarreal match this season, highlighting their attacking prowess but also their defensive vulnerabilities.

Our Tips

PSG -1 to Win
2/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Backing PSG to win with a -1 handicap looks strong. Their impressive home form, dynamic attack, and Atletico’s defensive injuries suggest a comfortable PSG victory by at least two goals.
Paris Saint-Germain 3-1
14/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A 3-1 PSG victory aligns with form and dynamics. PSG's potent home attack should overcome Atletico’s vulnerabilities, especially if Atletico’s pressing leaves defensive gaps in the latter stages.

Both Real Madrid and Villarreal are jostling for top positions—Real Madrid sitting second and Villarreal breathing down their necks in third—so the stakes couldn’t be higher for this Saturday night clash. Los Blancos are licking their wounds after an unexpected 1-0 slip-up against Lille in the Champions League, marking their first defeat since January. Meanwhile, Villarreal are coming in great shape, having secured back-to-back league victories. Will Real Madrid reclaim their mojo, or will Villarreal pull off an upset that sends shockwaves through the league?

Best Bet for this match: Draw/Real Madrid Half Time/Full Time

Our top prediction for this mouth-watering clash is a Draw at Half Time with Real Madrid pulling ahead by Full Time. Considering the recent form and statistics of both sides, this outcome seems not just plausible but highly likely and represents great odds value.

Let’s dive into why this prediction holds water. Real Madrid have been notorious slow burners lately. In their last La Liga outing, they were held to a 1-1 draw by Atletico Madrid, conceding a gut-wrenching equaliser in stoppage time. Their midweek loss to Lille further exposed even more problems, as they couldn’t find the back of the net despite controlling the ball for most of the game. It’s as if they need a wake-up call before they shift into gear.

Villarreal, on the flip side, are the league’s Jekyll and Hyde. They boast an impressive tally of 17 goals this season, making them joint-second top scorers alongside Real Madrid. However, their defence leaks like a sieve, having shipped 15 goals—the third-worst record in La Liga. It’s almost comical how they can dazzle you with attacking flair one moment and then leave you scratching your head with defensive blunders the next.

The absence of Ayoze Perez, who has been their talisman with six goals, is something to consider ahead to this match. Without him, Villarreal’s attacking threat diminishes significantly. Sure, they have Nicolas Pepe, who opened his account last time out, but can he shoulder the responsibility in such a high-octane environment? Doubtful.

Real Madrid are welcoming back Kylian Mbappe to the starting lineup. His mere presence is enough to send shivers down any defender’s spine. Alongside Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo, the trio forms an attacking trident that can hammer through the most stubborn defences—eventually.

“Real Madrid may stutter at the start, but once they find their rhythm, they’re unstoppable,” opines our BettingTips4You.com expert, Gerard Gabasa. “Villarreal’s defence won’t hold out for 90 minutes, especially against a Madrid side eager to make amends. Expect a cagey first half, but the floodgates could open in the second.”

Adding fuel to the fire is Real Madrid’s impeccable home record. They’ve won all four of their La Liga matches at the Bernabeu this season, scoring at least four goals in two of them. It’s their fortress, and they defend it with pride.

Considering all these factors, a draw at half-time seems logical, with Real Madrid’s quality and depth allowing them to clinch victory in the latter stages.

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Second Prediction: Correct Score Prediction – Real Madrid 3-1 Villarreal

Predicting a 3-1 win for Real Madrid might raise some eyebrows, but hear me out. Villarreal have found the net in every league game this season, and even without Perez, they have enough firepower in attack to trouble an occasionally shaky Madrid defence. Real Madrid have conceded an average of 0.8 goals per game, and with Eder Militao a doubt, their backline isn’t impenetrable.

However, Villarreal’s defensive woes cannot be ignored. Conceding an average of 1.9 goals per game, and facing a Real Madrid side boosted by the return of Mbappe and Rodrygo, the odds are stacked against them. The attacking trio could have a field day against Villarreal’s porous defence.

Therefore, a 3-1 scoreline looks like a very valuable bet if you wish to venture in the challenging correct score market.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.