Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Predictions

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig predictions for their Champions League affair. Real Madrid aims to overcome a sense of injustice from the weekend, facing RB Leipzig in the Champions League last-16 second leg at the Bernabeu on Wednesday. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.

Real Madrid
RB Leipzig

Champions League | Round of 16 | Mar 6, 2024 at 8pm UK at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Predictions

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A High-Stakes Showdown at the Bernabeu: Real’s Resolve vs Leipzig’s Ambition

Key Stats

– Real Madrid undefeated at home this season, showcasing their fortress-like Bernabeu.

– Leipzig’s prowess in away goals, scoring in their last nine away matches across all competitions.

– Jude Bellingham, a key figure for Real, with significant contributions in the Champions League.

As Real Madrid and RB Leipzig prepare to lock horns in the second leg of their Champions League last-16 tie at the Santiago Bernabeu, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Real Madrid, under the stewardship of Carlo Ancelotti, holds a slender 1-0 lead from the first leg, thanks to a moment of brilliance from Brahim Diaz. Yet, the advantage is far from secure against a Leipzig side capable of moments of attacking brilliance.

Real Madrid: Seeking to Capitalise on Home Advantage

Real Madrid’s recent domestic performances, marred by a controversial draw against Valencia, have nonetheless shown their resilience. Despite setbacks, they remain formidable, particularly at the Bernabeu. Ancelotti’s men have demonstrated a blend of tactical flexibility and individual brilliance, with Jude Bellingham and Vinicius Jr playing pivotal roles. The team’s form, characterised by a blend of solid defence and lethal attack, positions them as favourites to progress.

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However, injuries to key players like David Alaba and the goalkeeping dilemma with Thibaut Courtois sidelined, present challenges. Yet, Ancelotti’s adept management of resources and strategic acumen has often turned potential weaknesses into strengths.

RB Leipzig: The German Upstarts with a Point to Prove

Marco Rose’s Leipzig arrives in Madrid with a mixed bag of recent results. Their emphatic 4-1 win against Bochum showcased their attacking potential, yet inconsistency remains their Achilles’ heel. Leipzig’s failure to capitalise on chances in the first leg could haunt them, but their ability to score away from home offers a glimmer of hope.

Leipzig’s challenge will be breaking down a resilient Madrid defense while ensuring their backline, led by Orban and Lukeba, can withstand the hosts’ attacking onslaught. The suspension of Mohamed Simakan and the injury to Lukas Klostermann further complicate Rose’s defensive equations.

Tactical Battlegrounds and Key Matchups

The midfield battle promises to be crucial, with Real’s trio of Camavinga, Kroos, and Valverde pitted against Leipzig’s Olmo, Haidara, and Schlager. Bellingham’s dynamic presence could be the x-factor, offering both defensive solidity and attacking thrust.

Defensively, Leipzig will need to be wary of Vinicius Jr’s pace and Bellingham’s runs from midfield. Conversely, Real must contain Leipzig’s Openda and Sesko, whose combination of speed and physicality could pose problems.

Managerial Duel: Ancelotti vs Rose

Ancelotti’s experience in navigating the Champions League’s latter stages gives Real a strategic edge. His ability to adapt tactically and inspire his squad in big moments has been a hallmark of his tenure. Rose, while less experienced at this level, has shown tactical nous and a fearless approach to taking on Europe’s elite.

Predictions and Analysis

Both Teams to Score

This prediction hinges on a combination of Leipzig’s proven ability to find the net in away matches and Real Madrid’s occasional defensive lapses, especially in the absence of their first-choice goalkeeper, Thibaut Courtois. Real Madrid, while showcasing a strong defensive record at the Bernabeu, have shown vulnerability in high-pressure scenarios, as evidenced in their domestic campaign.

Leipzig, despite their inconsistencies, have demonstrated a knack for scoring goals, particularly away from home, where they’ve maintained a commendable scoring streak in recent matches. This, combined with their need to overturn a first-leg deficit, suggests they will be on the offensive, potentially exploiting any gaps in Real’s defence. On the flip side, Real Madrid’s attacking prowess, led by the likes of Vinicius Jr and Jude Bellingham, who have been instrumental in their Champions League campaign, indicates they are more than capable of breaching Leipzig’s backline. The dynamics of this fixture, with both teams showcasing attacking intent, supports the likelihood of both teams finding the back of the net.

Correct Score Prediction: Real Madrid 3-1 RB Leipzig

This prediction is grounded in Real Madrid’s formidable home record this season and their offensive capabilities. The Bernabeu has been a fortress where Real have not only defended well but have also been prolific in front of goal. Considering Leipzig’s defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in high-stake matches, Real’s attacking trident is expected to create and convert multiple chances.

Leipzig, on the other hand, has shown they can score against top teams, particularly in away settings, suggesting they will likely get on the scoresheet. However, Real’s superior quality and tactical discipline under Carlo Ancelotti’s guidance are expected to prevail, allowing them to extend their aggregate lead and secure their place in the next round with a comprehensive win.

Goalscorer Prediction: Jude Bellingham to Score Anytime

Jude Bellingham has emerged as a pivotal figure for Real Madrid this season, blending his midfield dynamism with a keen eye for goal. His ability to break into the box and connect with play from the wings makes him a constant threat. Bellingham’s scoring record in the Champions League, coupled with Leipzig’s need to push forward, leaving gaps in their midfield and defence, provides a perfect scenario for him to exploit.

His knack for scoring in crucial moments, along with Real’s tendency to rotate their attacking focus, makes him a prime candidate to find the net. Given the match’s high stakes and Bellingham’s form and confidence, predicting him as an anytime goalscorer is both logical and backed by his recent performances.

Corner Prediction: Over 9.5 Corners

This fixture’s attacking nature, characterised by both teams’ styles of play, underpins this prediction. Real Madrid’s strategy often involves wide play and delivering crosses into the box, which can lead to deflections and corners. Similarly, Leipzig’s approach, focusing on quick transitions and exploiting the flanks, aligns with a game likely to feature numerous set-pieces.

The urgency from Leipzig to overturn the deficit and Real’s prowess in attack suggests a match with sustained periods of pressure from both sides, leading to corners. Additionally, both teams have shown a tendency to win corners in their respective domestic leagues, further supporting the expectation of a high corner count in this high-intensity clash.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.