Real Madrid vs Mallorca Predictions

Real Madrid vs Mallorca predictions for this Super Cup clash at King Abdullah Sports City. Real Madrid face Mallorca in the Spanish Super Cup semi-final in Saudi Arabia, entering with confidence. Los Blancos aim to leverage their form and experience to secure a spot in the final. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips

Spanish Super Cup | Semi Final | Jan 9, 2025 at 7pm UK at King Abdullah Sports City

Real Madrid vs Mallorca Predictions

Will Real Madrid’s Firepower Overcome Mallorca’s Stubborn Defence?

• Madrid’s Scoring Streak: Real Madrid have netted at least two goals in each of their last seven matches, showcasing their attacking consistency and ruthlessness.
• Mallorca’s Defensive Record: Mallorca have allowed two goals in three of their last five games, a sign that their defence can crack under sustained pressure.
• Clean Sheet Probability: Real Madrid have kept three clean sheets in their last six games against Mallorca, emphasising their defensive discipline when facing weaker attacks.

Our Tips

In the second semi-final of the Supercopa de España, Real Madrid take on Mallorca in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, on Thursday 9 January 2025. This clash brings together a team in scintillating form, sitting top of La Liga, and a Mallorca side punching above their weight, currently occupying sixth place and chasing European qualification. The stakes are high for both, with Real Madrid eyeing their third Super Cup title in four years under the revamped format.

Madrid are the favourites, having showcased their firepower throughout the season. Their recent 5-0 demolition of Deportiva Minera in the Copa del Rey displayed their ruthless efficiency in attack. Mallorca, on the other hand, have proven stubborn opponents, holding Madrid to a draw earlier this season. However, replicating that feat away from home against a rejuvenated Madrid will be a monumental task.

The stage is set for an intriguing battle of tactics and execution. Will Mallorca’s disciplined defence hold firm, or will Madrid’s offensive brilliance prevail? The answers lie not in clichés but in the gritty, unpredictable beauty of football.

Best Bet: Real Madrid to Win with a Clean Sheet

Given the form and quality disparity between the two sides, the best bet for this match is for Real Madrid to win without conceding. While Mallorca have been resilient this season, their attack lacks the potency to trouble a Madrid defence that has looked increasingly assured.

Real Madrid have kept three clean sheets in their last six matches against Mallorca. Mallorca, meanwhile, have scored just a goal per game on average this season, a statistic that highlights their struggles in front of goal. With Dani Carvajal and Eder Militao out injured, Madrid may not be at full strength defensively, but the inclusion of David Alaba should stabilise their backline.

Madrid’s attack has been relentless, scoring at least two goals in each of their last seven matches. Even without Vinicius Jr., whose suspension following a red card against Valencia looms large, the depth of their squad ensures that Mallorca’s defence will face constant pressure. Mallorca’s defensive cohesion has been key to their overperformance this season, yet they struggled to contain Madrid in their first encounter, allowing an xG of 0.89 despite holding them to a single goal.

The match dynamics lean heavily towards Madrid dominating possession and creating numerous chances. Mallorca’s defensive setup may frustrate them early on, but as the game progresses, Madrid’s relentless attack will likely find its way through. As Gerard Gabasa, our BettingTips4You.com expert, puts it, “Real Madrid’s clinical edge and ability to control games in the final third make them overwhelming favourites to not just win, but win convincingly.”

Given these factors, a Madrid victory without conceding is not just a logical prediction but a highly likely outcome. Mallorca’s defensive grit may keep the scoreline respectable, but it won’t prevent an inevitable Madrid triumph.

Correct Score Prediction: Real Madrid 2-0 Mallorca

A 2-0 win for Real Madrid seems the most plausible scoreline. The rationale behind this is straightforward—Madrid’s attacking firepower, combined with Mallorca’s defensive organisation, points to a game where Madrid dominate but are limited to a couple of goals.

Mallorca’s ability to restrict Madrid to an xG of 0.89 earlier in the season suggests they can make it difficult for the Spanish giants to run riot. However, with Real Madrid scoring two goals in each of their last seven matches, it’s hard to envision them being held below that mark here. The absence of Vinicius Jr. might slightly dampen their creative flair, but the rest of the Madrid attack is more than capable of stepping up.

On the other hand, Mallorca’s attacking output has been underwhelming, with a modest average of one goal per game. Facing a Madrid side that has kept clean sheets in half of their last six games, it’s unlikely Mallorca will find the back of the net, especially in a high-pressure semi-final setting. Thus, 2-0 reflects both teams’ strengths and weaknesses aptly.

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