Real Madrid vs Chelsea Predictions

Real Madrid vs Chelsea predictions for Wednesday’s Champions League quarterfinal first leg in Madrid. Chelsea are looking to cause an upset on a tough trip to Real Madrid. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Match Live Wednesday, 12th April at 8:00pm In:
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Real Madrid vs Chelsea Predictions

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Key Stats
– Chelsea are winless in their last four games.
– Real Madrid are trailing Barcelona by 12 points in La Liga.
– Chelsea have won just one of their last 12 competitive away games, with eight defeats in the period.

Real Madrid vs Chelsea Predictions: Battle of Unpredictable Powerhouses

Chelsea are taking on Real Madrid in the UEFA Europa League quarterfinal, despite having a very disappointing season in the Premier League. The Blues, who are in the bottom half of the league table, find themselves a staggering 34 points behind Arsenal.

The unexpected return as interim manager of Frank Lampard hasn’t help the downward spiral, with Chelsea that were defeated at Wolves in the weekend. They are now winless in their last four games and haven’t scored a single goal in three of those matches. 

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Even if with better results overall, this is also so far an inconsistent season for Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid. The Spanish side gave positive signals last week by defeating Barcelona 4-0 in the Copa del Rey semi-final, but then suffered a defeat at home to Villarreal. Los Blancos are now trailing Barcelona by 12 points, even if they have played one more game. 

Given how shaky Chelsea have looked all season, it is not surprising to see that Real Madrid are the favourites. The Spanish side also eliminated Chelsea in a thrilling quarterfinal tie last season, which saw the match go to extra times at the end of a goal-rich two-leg affair. 

Real Madrid vs Chelsea Main Betting Tip: Real Madrid to win to nil

Confidence Level


£20 return £52

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Even if Real Madrid have been in rather inconsistent form this season, they have also proven to elevate their game when necessary. They have huge experience in the Champions League, and if you exclude the Copa Del Rey, this is their only objective this season, so we can expect them to be fully motivated for it.

Chelsea are a side that lacks confidence and that has already changed managers twice this season, going through different systems. The Blues have managed to win two Champions Leagues with different managers they started the season with, but this time it looks very difficult that they will be able to do the same. Not only are they struggling to keep clean sheets, but they are also failing to score goals, which means Real Madrid are well-positioned to get a win here without conceding.

After all, Real Madrid have previously scored four goals against Barcelona and five against Liverpool, so they shouldn’t have problems scoring in this match. They have looked faltering at times, but still they should be able to keep things tight at home against an out-of-form opponent.

Real Madrid vs Chelsea Value Bet: Vinicius To Score & Real Madrid To Win By 2 or More Goals

Confidence Level


£20 return £140

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Vinicius has been a key protagonist in this year’s Champions League for Real Madrid, with six goals in eight games. With an average of 2.3 shots on target per game, he should have what it takes to trouble the weak Chelsea defence, and backing him to score looks valuable.

As we expect Real Madrid to win rather comfortably, it makes sense to take advantage of the boosted price offered by William Hill, thanks to which you can get, at the moment of writing, a massive 6/1 on Vinicius To Score & Real Madrid To Win By 2 or More Goals, up from 5/1. 

Real Madrid vs Chelsea Correct Score Prediction: Real Madrid 2-0

Confidence Level


£10 return £80

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

In summary, two unpredictable powerhouses go head to head in this UEFA Europa League quarterfinal affair, but Real Madrid look better shaped to emerge victorious at least in the first home leg.

With Chelsea struggling for goals, we expect their main priority to be to try to keep things tight and stay in the tie ahead of the Stamford Bridge match, but I don’t think they will avoid a defeat of at least two goals given their recent performances.

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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.