RB Leipzig vs St Pauli Predictions

RB Leipzig vs St Pauli predictions for this Bundesliga clash. RB Leipzig aim to secure their Champions League spot with a crucial home clash against St Pauli at Red Bull Arena on Sunday in the Bundesliga. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Bundesliga | Feb 9, 2025 at 4:30pm UK at Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig vs St Pauli Predictions

Can Leipzig Overcome Their Struggles Against a Resilient St Pauli?

• Leipzig’s home form remains strong – Despite their struggles, they have lost just one of their last 16 home Bundesliga matches, showing their resilience at the Red Bull Arena.
• St Pauli are finding goals on the road – They have scored in three consecutive Bundesliga matches, including an impressive 3-0 win over Union Berlin.
• Leipzig’s defence is vulnerable – Conceding 14 goals in their last six league matches, they have shown frailties that could be exposed once again.

Best Bet for RB Leipzig vs St Pauli

RB Leipzig are at a crossroads in their season. A side that should be comfortably securing a Champions League spot now finds itself in a precarious battle, with Stuttgart breathing down their necks just one point behind. A top-four finish, once seen as an expectation, now feels like a challenge that could slip away if they don’t find a way to win. They host St Pauli on Sunday at the Red Bull Arena, a fixture that, on paper, should be straightforward. However, Leipzig’s recent form suggests this could be anything but simple.

A 0-0 draw with Union Berlin last weekend extended their winless run in the Bundesliga to four matches, and worryingly, they have failed to score in their last two outings. Even worse, their xG against Union was a miserable 0.27, showing a serious lack of attacking creativity. This is a side that has shown they can score freely—12 goals in the five matches before this barren spell prove that—but when it comes to breaking down well-organised defences, Leipzig have struggled.

St Pauli, meanwhile, might not be high-flying in the table, but they have proven to be a frustrating side to break down. Their defensive display against Augsburg last time out was impressive, limiting their opponents to just two shots, and they have already managed to hold Leipzig to a goalless draw earlier this season. However, they also showed a different side in the DFB-Pokal defeat to Leipzig, losing 4-2, highlighting that when forced into an open contest, they can be vulnerable.

Best Bet for RB Leipzig vs St Pauli: Over 2.5 Goals

At BettingTips4You, we don’t overwhelm you with multiple bets—we focus on quality over quantity. Our top selection for this match is Over 2.5 Goals, as both teams have shown tendencies that suggest an exciting match could unfold.

Why This Bet Holds Value

Leipzig’s attack has hit a rough patch, but that does not mean they cannot bounce back. Lois Openda and Benjamin Sesko remain dangerous forwards, and the sheer need for a result should push Marco Rose’s side to be more aggressive than they have been in recent weeks. Leipzig’s home record is still one of the best in the Bundesliga, with just one defeat in their last 16 home games. If they can rediscover their attacking spark, goals should follow.

St Pauli, on the other hand, might be known for their defensive resilience, but they have also found the net in three straight Bundesliga matches, including a convincing 3-0 win over Union Berlin. While they may sit in 13th place, their form is far from that of a struggling side, with two wins and a draw in their last three league games.

Wolfgang Shotten, our BettingTips4You.com expert, sums up the logic behind this bet:

“Leipzig may be struggling to break teams down, but they have too much quality to stay quiet for long. St Pauli’s defensive record is solid, but Leipzig’s desperation for a win could turn this into an end-to-end contest. Expect an open game, with goals at both ends.”

Leipzig’s home advantage and attacking quality should allow them to edge out a win, but given their defensive vulnerabilities and St Pauli’s ability to capitalise on mistakes, the visitors could get on the scoresheet as well. A 2-1 win for Leipzig looks like the most likely outcome, with their superior squad depth making the difference in the end.

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