RB Leipzig vs Liverpool Predictions

RB Leipzig vs Liverpool predictions for this Champions League clash. RB Leipzig face Liverpool at the Red Bull Arena in Wednesday’s Champions League clash, with Jurgen Klopp set to reunite both sides in an exciting league-phase encounter. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

RB Leipzig

Champions League | League Stage | Oct 23, 2024 at 8pm UK at Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig vs Liverpool Predictions

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Will Leipzig Derail Liverpool’s European Charge?

  • Leipzig’s home advantage: Despite their struggles in Europe, Leipzig have averaged 4.4 corners per game in the Bundesliga, making them a dangerous team in set-piece situations.
  • Liverpool’s rock-solid defence: Liverpool have conceded only 0.4 goals per game in the Premier League this season, but without Alisson, their backline may be tested.
  • Late-game drama: Leipzig have conceded a record 17 goals in the last 10 minutes of Champions League games since 2019-20—if Liverpool score late, history could repeat itself.

Our Tips

Leipzig/Draw Double Chance
19/20 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Leipzig/Draw Double Chance is a solid bet, given Leipzig’s home form and Liverpool's defensive concerns. Leipzig’s attack, led by Openda and Sesko, could trouble Liverpool's injury-hit backline.
Over 4.5 Leipzig Team Corners
39/40 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Leipzig over 4.5 corners is a smart bet, given their wide play and aerial threat. Liverpool’s pressing and possible defensive gaps could lead to several crossing and corner opportunities for Leipzig.
Draw 1-1
15/2 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A 1-1 draw prediction balances Leipzig’s home form and Liverpool’s quality. Both sides are capable of scoring, but Leipzig’s resilience and Liverpool's defensive injuries suggest a tight, low-scoring affair.

When Liverpool travel to Germany to face RB Leipzig in their upcoming Champions League clash, football fans can expect a fascinating battle between two teams in contrasting European form. Liverpool have made a commanding start to the season under new boss Arne Slot, continuing their dominance across multiple competitions, while Leipzig, on the other hand, have struggled to make their mark on the European stage despite solid performances in the Bundesliga. Will Leipzig rise to the occasion, or will Liverpool’s relentless march continue?

Best Bet: Leipzig/Draw Double Chance

As we dig into the first prediction, the best bet for this match is to back Leipzig/Draw Double Chance. While Liverpool are undoubtedly the more established side in Europe, Leipzig’s form on home soil suggests they could frustrate their Premier League opponents.

For Leipzig, their recent Bundesliga form has been encouraging, with consecutive victories and clean sheets under their belt. A key part of their resurgence is their front line, spearheaded by Lois Openda and Benjamin Sesko, with Xavi Simons pulling the creative strings just behind. With Leipzig’s defence managing two clean sheets in their last two domestic games, they’ve shown resilience, and that is something Liverpool might find challenging to break down.

Although Liverpool have won all five of their away games this season, Leipzig should not be written off so easily. Playing at the Red Bull Arena, Leipzig have often raised their level, especially when European giants visit. Their narrow defeats to Juventus and Atletico Madrid suggest that while they have been unlucky in Europe so far, they have the potential to match, if not surprise, stronger teams. Leipzig’s ability to maintain possession (56.9% on average this season) means they won’t simply be sitting back and inviting pressure from Liverpool.

Liverpool, for their part, might have a few injury concerns going into this fixture. Diogo Jota’s early exit against Chelsea, coupled with Alisson Becker’s continued absence, means that there are vulnerabilities to exploit. Slot will likely turn to Kelleher in goal, which could give Leipzig’s forwards added confidence to test him early and often. The uncertainty over Alexander-Arnold’s fitness adds to the sense that Liverpool’s backline may not be at its impervious best.

Leipzig’s ability to grind out results at home, combined with Liverpool’s potential vulnerability at the back, makes the Double Chance a smart bet for this game. Leipzig are tough to beat in front of their home crowd, and Liverpool’s winning streak might hit a roadblock in Germany,” says BettingTips4You.com expert, Wolfgang Shotten.

This matchup has the feel of a tightly contested encounter where Leipzig might push Liverpool to the limit, and the odds of Leipzig managing at least a draw make this an attractive proposition. The hosts have a lot to fight for, and their tactical setup could nullify Liverpool’s attacking prowess just enough to make this bet worthwhile.

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Additional Prediction: Over 4.5 Leipzig Team Corners

Another bet to consider for this match is Leipzig to have over 4.5 corners. Leipzig are a team that like to attack down the flanks and whip balls into the box, and with players like Openda and Sesko, their aerial threat is real. In fact, Leipzig have averaged 4.4 corners per game in the Bundesliga this season, and that number is likely to rise given Liverpool’s aggressive pressing style, which often forces teams into attacking transitions quickly.

With Liverpool likely to see more of the ball, Leipzig’s best opportunities might come from counter-attacks and set pieces, two areas where they have been effective this season. Leipzig’s width, with Antonio Nusa bombing down the left and Geertruida overlapping on the right, should generate plenty of crossing opportunities, which in turn will lead to corners.

Liverpool’s tendency to allow opposition wingers space in wide areas (particularly with Alexander-Arnold potentially being rested) means Leipzig will have chances to earn corners from blocked crosses or deflected shots. Given their recent attacking stats, this bet fits well into the likely flow of the game.

Correct Score Prediction: Leipzig 1-1 Liverpool

For the final prediction, a 1-1 draw seems the most realistic outcome. Leipzig have managed to keep their recent Bundesliga matches tight, and while they are certainly capable of scoring against Liverpool’s second-choice goalkeeper, it’s hard to see them netting more than once. On the other hand, Liverpool, despite their attacking power, might struggle to break down a determined Leipzig defence, especially with their focus potentially drifting towards the weekend’s fixture against Arsenal.

Leipzig’s front three will test Liverpool’s defence, but given how well Liverpool have defended in Europe so far—only conceding three goals in the Premier League all season—it’s unlikely that Leipzig will be able to carve open multiple chances. A moment of magic from Simons or a set-piece could be enough for Leipzig to grab a goal, while Liverpool, with the clinical Mohamed Salah in form, are always a threat on the break.

A 1-1 result reflects the cautious optimism surrounding Leipzig’s chances and acknowledges Liverpool’s undeniable quality, but also the slight vulnerabilities that injuries have introduced to their squad.

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Wolfgang Shotten
Author of betting articles for prominent German publications. Endures Hertha Berlin's ups and downs. Passionate Real Madrid supporter, is our Bundesliga expert. Has been covering the German's top-flight for more than 10 years with great success. Love football details. Based in Berlin, worked for BettingTips4You 5 years ago, and now the routes have met again!