PSV vs Ajax Predictions

PSV vs Ajax Predictions for this Eredivisie showdown at the Philips Stadion. PSV Eindhoven host Ajax at Philips Stadion on Sunday for the 188th De Topper, a crucial Eredivisie gameweek six clash between last season’s top two sides. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips for the game.

Dutch Eredivisie | Sep 21 2025 at 1:30 pm UK at the Philips Stadion

PSV vs Ajax Predictions

PSV
Ajax
Will PSV and Ajax serve up another classic goal-fest in De Topper?
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PSV VS AJAX
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  • PSV’s rollercoaster matches: PSV’s Eredivisie games this season average nearly five goals per contest, making them one of the most entertaining sides in Europe right now.
  • Ajax’s away-day woes: Ajax are winless in their last four league matches on the road, conceding two or more goals in three of those games.
  • De Topper’s history of chaos: Six of the last eight clashes between these fierce rivals have ended with at least three goals, showing how this fixture rarely disappoints.

Best Bet for PSV vs Ajax

Over 3.5 goals
21/20 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Backing over 3.5 goals makes sense here. PSV are chaotic at the back but lethal up front, Ajax love open matches, and history suggests De Topper always delivers drama.

The Philips Stadion will be rocking on Sunday as PSV Eindhoven and Ajax clash in the first De Topper of the Eredivisie season. These two giants of Dutch football need little introduction, but the stakes feel higher than ever. PSV are coming off back-to-back defeats in Europe and the league – something their fans don’t take lightly – while Ajax arrive unbeaten in the Eredivisie but still searching for their first away win. When these sides meet, it’s rarely dull, and the history between them ensures sparks will fly again.

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Ajax supporters are quick to remind anyone who’ll listen that they beat PSV twice last season, but the Peasants had the last laugh by snatching the league title. This time around, Peter Bosz’s men have been scoring freely, netting 17 goals in just five league matches. Yet, their defence looks as fragile as a pint glass at a student party, leaking eight goals already – more than any other team in the top four. Ajax, for all their own struggles on the road, will surely fancy their chances of exploiting those gaps.


Best Bet for this match

Our Best Bet for PSV vs Ajax is Over 3.5 goals. Out of all the possibilities, this is the one that stands out clearly. At BettingTips4You, we don’t clutter readers with five different “maybe this, maybe that” options. We select just one tip – the strongest prediction available – because we value quality over quantity. It’s easier for you, it’s transparent for us, and at the end of the season, it’s far simpler to measure how profitable our calls have been.

Why back it? Look at PSV’s matches: their first five league games have averaged almost five goals per outing. Even when they’re not winning, they’re entertaining neutrals with defensive errors and attacking fireworks. Ajax aren’t shy either, with Wout Weghorst and Kenneth Taylor contributing goals and assists, while Branco van den Boomen’s absence may hurt creativity but won’t kill their attacking threat. Add to that the fact Ajax have conceded in every away match since last spring and it screams goals, goals, goals.

As our BettingTips4You expert Wolfgang Shotten explains:

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“When you combine PSV’s reckless defending with Ajax’s blunt refusal to settle for dull draws, the stage is set for another wild De Topper. Expect end-to-end action and plenty of scoring – backing goals is the smartest call here.”

Considering how PSV’s defence collapsed at home to Union Saint-Gilloise midweek, and Ajax’s travel sickness, a cagey 0-0 feels less likely than pigs flying over Eindhoven. Both teams have enough firepower to find the net, and recent history tells us De Topper usually delivers.

I can see this finishing PSV 3-2 Ajax. It feels about right – PSV’s attack to outscore their wobbly defence, Ajax to threaten but fall short.

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Wolfgang Shotten
Author of betting articles for prominent German publications. Endures Hertha Berlin's ups and downs. Passionate Real Madrid supporter, is our Bundesliga expert. Has been covering the German's top-flight for more than 10 years with great success. Love football details. Based in Berlin, worked for BettingTips4You 5 years ago, and now the routes have met again!