PSG vs Toulouse Predictions

Paris Saint-Germain vs Toulouse predictions, betting tips and match previews for this Ligue 1 affair. Paris Saint-Germain, recovering from Champions League disappointment, host Toulouse at Parc des Princes on Sunday as they approach the Ligue 1 season’s end. Read on for our free betting tips and match preview.


Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33 – May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK at Parc des Princes

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PSG vs Toulouse Predictions

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Tactical Confrontation at Parc des Princes: PSG vs Toulouse Preview

Key Stats

PSG’s Home Record: Unbeaten in 10 of their last home games.

Toulouse’s Away Form: Three consecutive away wins.

Head-to-Head: PSG undefeated against Toulouse in their last 10 encounters in all competitions.

As the French Ligue 1 season winds down, Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) prepares to host Toulouse at the Parc des Princes in a match where emotions will run high, especially with Kylian Mbappe’s farewell looming. Despite PSG having already secured the title and Toulouse positioned comfortably in mid-table, the game holds significance for player send-offs and tactical prestige.

Strategic Insights and Team Dynamics

PSG’s Tactical Setup Under Luis Enrique Under Enrique, PSG has shown a propensity for aggressive possession-based football, marked by high pressing and quick transitions. Despite their domestic dominance, PSG’s recent form has been marred by a lack of finishing precision, which was evident in their Champions League exit. The team will need to recalibrate their attack, especially with the emotional backdrop of Mbappe’s final home game.

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Toulouse’s Season of Resilience Toulouse, guided by Carles Martinez, has shown remarkable resilience, particularly in the second half of the season. Their strategy often involves compact defending coupled with exploiting the pace of Thijs Dallinga up front. Toulouse’s away form has been a highlight, presenting a challenge to PSG’s imperfect home defensive record.

Key Players and Match-Ups

The game will feature several intriguing duels, notably between PSG’s Marco Asensio and Toulouse’s defensive anchor, Logan Costa. Asensio’s creative flair will be crucial in unlocking Toulouse’s tight defensive unit. Additionally, PSG’s midfield dynamo, Vitinha, will need to control the tempo against Toulouse’s combative midfielder, Vincent Sierro.

PSG’s Expected Lineup:

  • Goalkeeper: Donnarumma
  • Defence: Hakimi, Marquinhos, Skriniar, Mendes
  • Midfield: Lee, Ugarte, Zaire-Emery
  • Attack: Asensio, Mbappe, Barcola

Toulouse’s Expected Lineup:

  • Goalkeeper: Restes
  • Defence: Desler, Keben, Costa, Diarra
  • Midfield: Schmidt, Casseres Jr, Sierro
  • Attack: Aboukhlal, Dallinga, Gboho

Tactical Themes and Area of Decisiveness

The match could be decided in the midfield, where PSG’s technical superiority will clash with Toulouse’s physical, disruptive style. PSG’s ability to manage the emotional atmosphere while maintaining tactical discipline will be key. For Toulouse, maintaining defensive solidity without Nicolaisen and exploiting any lapses in PSG’s backline will be critical.

Managerial Battle

Luis Enrique’s tactical acumen will be tested as he aims to balance emotional farewells with the need for a strong finish. For Toulouse, Martinez’s ability to motivate his team for a seemingly inconsequential match will be crucial, especially in fostering a mindset to exploit PSG’s vulnerabilities.

Predictions and Betting Angles


1. Best Bet: Draw/PSG (Half-Time/Full-Time) Expect Toulouse to hold firm in the first half as PSG deals with the emotional weight of the occasion, only for PSG to clinch a victory as the game progresses.

2. Correct Score Prediction: PSG 2-1 Toulouse Given PSG’s offensive prowess and Toulouse’s spirited away performances, a narrow PSG win with goals from both sides is likely.

3. Goalscorer Prediction: Kylian Mbappe to Score In his farewell match, expect Mbappe to be at the heart of PSG’s attack, making him a prime candidate to find the back of the net.

4. First Team to Score: PSG Despite their recent wobbles, PSG’s attacking start will likely see them open the scoring, driven by the desire to cap off Mbappe’s farewell with a win.

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Robin Bylund
Robin is a Premier League fanatic from Sweden that barely misses a minute of action from England's top flight. Robin's been with us since 2015 and combines his work for us with his own Podcast, while also freelancing as a translator and content producer for various media outlets.