PSG vs Metz predictions ahead of Wednesday’s Ligue 1 affair at the Parc des Princes. Paris Saint-Germain, gracing the Parc des Princes pitch for their last home game of 2023, look to conclude the year with a flourish as they face off against Metz. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Match Live Wednesday, 20th December at 8:00 pm In:
PSG vs Metz Predictions
[wptb id="395346" not found ]Parisian Powerhouse vs Metz’s Mettle: A Ligue 1 Confrontation
Key Stats
– Metz’s goal drought: Three consecutive matches without scoring.
– Kylian Mbappe’s scoring spree: Nine goals in his last eight Ligue 1 matches.
Paris Saint-Germain, the resplendent rulers of French football, are all set to wrap up their 2023 campaign at the Parc des Princes against Metz, a newly-promoted side navigating the turbulent waters of Ligue 1. PSG, under the guidance of Luis Enrique, aim to cement their status as the apex predators of the league, especially after a mixed bag of results recently, including a 1-1 draw with Lille.
Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match
BEST VALUE BET £20 Returns £38   Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change |
Best Value Bet Rationale
PSG, led by Luis Enrique, has been a force to reckon with, especially at their home ground. Despite a recent dip in form, including a 1-1 draw against Lille, their attacking statistics remain formidable. PSG have scored 39 goals in 16 matches, averaging 2.4 goals per game. Their penchant for finding the net is further emphasised by their track record at Parc des Princes, where they have racked up a staggering 17 goals in their last five Ligue 1 home games. This striking power is largely thanks to the likes of Kylian Mbappe, who has tallied nine goals in his last eight league appearances.
On the other hand, Metz, struggling near the bottom of the Ligue 1 table, has been consistently conceding goals, with 24 goals against them in 16 matches. Their recent form includes three successive defeats without scoring a single goal. This defensive vulnerability, coupled with PSG’s prolific scoring record, particularly in home matches, suggests that a high-scoring affair is likely.
Given these factors, the ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market is a promising bet for this encounter. PSG’s attacking flair, combined with Metz’s struggles at the back, sets the stage for a match with more than three goals, making this enhanced odds offer by Bet365 an attractive proposition for bettors.
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Metz’s Uphill Battle
On the other hand, Metz, steered by Laszlo Boloni, is reeling from a trio of goalless defeats, most recently a 1-0 loss to Montpellier HSC. Their struggle in front of the goal is evident, and they face a daunting task against a PSG side renowned for their relentless attacking prowess, especially at home.
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Tactical Analysis and Key Duels
PSG’s expected lineup of Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Skriniar, Hernandez; Zaire-Emery, Ugarte, Vitinha; Barcola, Kolo Muani, Mbappe, showcases their formidable attacking trident. The key battle will likely be between PSG’s offensive line and Metz’s defensive setup, which could include Oukidja; Colin, Traore, Herelle, Cande, Udol; Van Den Kerkhof, Jacques, N’Doram, Asoro; Elisor.
Expected Goals and Gameplay Dynamics
PSG’s expected goals average per game and their possession dominance suggest a game controlled by the Parisians, with Metz likely to focus on damage limitation. The gameplay will likely see PSG dictating the pace and rhythm, while Metz might aim for rare counter-attacks.
Teams’ Strategies: Pros and Cons
PSG: Their relentless attacking and ball possession strategy can overwhelm opponents, but it sometimes leaves them vulnerable to quick counter-attacks.
Metz: A defence-first approach is pragmatic but might limit their opportunities to score, especially against a team as formidable as PSG.
Managerial Analysis
Luis Enrique, with his tactical flexibility and focus on attack, has kept PSG at the pinnacle, though recent results suggest room for improvement in converting chances. Boloni’s efforts with Metz are commendable, but his team’s lack of offensive bite and reliance on a rigid defensive structure could be their undoing against top-tier teams like PSG.
Predictions and Insights
- Market Prediction: PSG to Win and Over 2.5 Goals – PSG’s track record of high-scoring home victories, coupled with Metz’s defensive fragility, suggests a game rich in goals with a dominant win for PSG.
- Correct Score Prediction: Paris Saint-Germain 4-0 Metz – Considering PSG’s attacking firepower and Metz’s struggles, a 4-0 scoreline in favour of PSG seems plausible.
- Goalscorer Prediction: Kylian Mbappe – Mbappe, with his impeccable scoring record, is likely to find the back of the net in this fixture, continuing his stellar form.
- First Team to Score: Paris Saint-Germain – Given PSG’s propensity to start strong, especially at home, they are likely to open the scoring.
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