PSG vs Marseille Predictions

PSG vs Marseille predictions for Sunday’s Ligue 1 affair at Parc des Princes. While PSG have had some slip ups in the league this campain, can they claim victory in Le Classique and follow up their positive performance in the Champions League against Dortmund? Read on for our free betting tips and match preview. 

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Match Live Sunday, 24th September at 7:45 pm In:
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PSG vs Marseille Predictions

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Le Classique: A Battle of Might and Mettle at Parc des Princes

Key Stats
– PSG have dominated 22 of their last 29 face-offs against Marseille in the QSI era.
– Kylian Mbappe has dazzled with goals in 11 of his preceding 12 Ligue 1 encounters.
– Marseille have emerged victorious in just one of their last seven away league matches.

The feverish pitch of anticipation can be felt in the air as Ligue 1 beholds its most illustrious contest this weekend: Le Classique. Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) prepare to lock horns with their age-old adversaries, Marseille, under the iconic floodlights of Parc des Princes.

PSG’s Rocked Beginnings:

The glittering capital side hasn’t had the smoothest of starts this season. Traditionally the Ligue 1 torchbearers, PSG surprisingly languish in fifth place after a quintet of matches, with their report card reading two victories, two stalemates, and a solitary defeat. A rocky beginning saw them drawing parallels with Lorient and Toulouse. Yet, the Luis Enrique-managed unit seemed to have rekindled their spark with resounding wins against Lens and Lyon, where football prodigy Kylian Mbappe left his unmistakable stamp, netting two goals in each clash.

However, PSG’s momentum faced an abrupt halt. Post their international endeavours, they succumbed to a 3-2 setback against Nice at home. Despite Mbappe’s audacious efforts which saw him recording a third consecutive brace, it was in vain. But, Mbappe, with his insatiable appetite for goals, once again found the target against Borussia Dortmund in a Champions League skirmish. With eight goals in five appearances across all tournaments, he’s unarguably PSG’s talisman.

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Yet, one cannot escape the glaring fact that Enrique’s brigade hasn’t been capitalising on their dominative displays of late. Therefore, this upcoming encounter with their fiercest rivals is more than just three points; it’s a statement of intent.

Marseille’s Resilient Run:

Contrastingly, Marseille, helmed temporarily by former player Jacques Abardonado, appear in a more composed state on the field. Their recent European outing against Ajax bore witness to their tenacity. Trailing twice, they clawed back to secure a 3-3 draw, with significant contributions from Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang who netted twice.

In the broader picture, Marseille have tasted defeat only once in their last eight fixtures across all platforms. Domestically, they’re yet to be bested and take pride in holding one of Ligue 1’s most miserly defensive records – a mere four goals conceded in five matches.

However, all’s not rosy. Off the pitch, tumult reigns. The shocking resignation of manager Marcelino after a fleeting three-month tenure, purportedly due to tensions with the club’s board, has set tongues wagging.

Line-ups and Tactics:

Injury woes persist for PSG with key players like Presnel Kimpembe, Sergio Rico, and Marco Asensio ruled out. Enrique, while favouring a 4-3-3 formation, might field the likes of Ousmane Dembele and Randal Kolo Muani to support Mbappe upfront.

For Marseille, the absence of Ismaila Sarr, a promising addition with two goals and as many assists, will be deeply felt. Abardonado might shuffle his pack, given the taxing encounter against Ajax, but Aubameyang will undoubtedly spearhead the attack.

Predictions:

1. Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Rationale:

One of the most intriguing aspects of this clash is how both teams have been faring offensively. PSG, despite their unexpected early-season stutter, have showcased their offensive might by scoring 10 goals in just five matches. Mbappe’s impressive form, highlighted by his scoring in 11 of his last 12 Ligue 1 appearances, adds significant weight to this prediction.

On the other hand, Marseille, while boasting a relatively sound defensive record with only four goals conceded in five games, have shown vulnerabilities, especially in their thrilling 3-3 draw against Ajax. Their capability to score, paired with their potential to be exploited at the back, makes the BTTS market a rather tempting proposition.

Additionally, the hosts’ recent history reinforces this belief as they’ve witnessed BTTS outcomes in four of their last five games. Given the attacking prowess on both sides and the stakes of this particular encounter, it’s not a stretch to expect goals from both teams.

2. Correct Score: 2-1 in favour of PSG

Rationale:

Analysing the form and recent results of both teams, PSG seem to have an edge, especially playing at home. Historically, PSG have dominated this fixture at the Parc des Princes, winning 13 of the last 15 home meetings against Marseille.

Yet, it’s essential to note that PSG’s defence has not been impenetrable this season. With 6 goals conceded in their five league games, it suggests Marseille have a decent chance to find the net. However, given PSG’s offensive firepower and Marseille’s occasional defensive lapses (as witnessed against Ajax), it seems reasonable to predict PSG netting twice.

Thus, combining both teams’ current form, defensive records, and historical context, a 2-1 victory for PSG seems a well-calculated guess.

3. Goalscorer Prediction: Kylian Mbappe

Rationale:

Kylian Mbappe has been in scintillating form, emerging as PSG’s main threat in front of goal. He’s netted eight times across all competitions this season, and more impressively, has found the back of the net in 11 of his last 12 league outings. Such consistency and form make him the most likely candidate to score in the upcoming fixture.

Moreover, with PSG’s attacking prowess and Marseille’s defensive vulnerabilities showcased in recent games, spaces are bound to open up for the likes of Mbappe. Given his track record, especially in big fixtures, banking on Mbappe to score seems a safe bet.

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Robin Bylund
Robin is a Premier League fanatic from Sweden that barely misses a minute of action from England's top flight. Robin's been with us since 2015 and combines his work for us with his own Podcast, while also freelancing as a translator and content producer for various media outlets.