PSG vs Atletico Madrid Predictions

PSG vs Atletico Madrid predictions for this Champions League fixture. Paris Saint-Germain and Atletico Madrid, both underperforming in this season’s Champions League, face off at Parc des Princes on Wednesday, each seeking a crucial turnaround. Read on for all out free predictions and betting tips

PSG
Atletico Madrid

Champions League | League Stage | Nov 6, 2024 at 8pm UK at Parc des Princes

PSG vs Atletico Madrid Predictions

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Can PSG Overpower Atletico’s Defensive Wall at the Parc des Princes?

  • Parc des Princes Fortress: Paris Saint-Germain have triumphed in six and drawn one of their seven home games this season, highlighting their dominant form on familiar ground.
  • Atletico’s European Away Struggles: Atletico Madrid have secured just one win in their last ten Champions League away matches, suffering seven defeats, indicating a persistent issue on the road.
  • Late Bloomers: PSG have scored 12 out of their last 14 Champions League goals in the second half, showcasing their ability to break down defences as matches progress.

Our Tips

PSG -1 to Win
2/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Backing PSG to win with a -1 handicap looks strong. Their impressive home form, dynamic attack, and Atletico’s defensive injuries suggest a comfortable PSG victory by at least two goals.
Paris Saint-Germain 3-1
14/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A 3-1 PSG victory aligns with form and dynamics. PSG's potent home attack should overcome Atletico’s vulnerabilities, especially if Atletico’s pressing leaves defensive gaps in the latter stages.

As the Champions League intensifies, Paris Saint-Germain host Atletico Madrid at the Parc des Princes this Wednesday in a match that could redefine their European campaigns. Both teams find themselves in unfamiliar territory, struggling to meet expectations in the group stage. PSG are trailing the top eight by three points, while Atletico sit just outside the playoff positions due to goal difference. This encounter not only pits two European heavyweights against each other but also sees the tactical minds of Luis Enrique and Diego Simeone clash once more. With Enrique having the upper hand in their previous 14 meetings, can PSG’s vibrant squad dismantle Atletico’s renowned defensive setup, or will Simeone’s side find resilience on foreign soil?

Best Bet: PSG -1 to Win

Taking into account the current form and circumstances surrounding both clubs, backing Paris Saint-Germain to win with a -1 handicap appears to be a wise choice. PSG have been imperious at home this season, securing victory in six out of their seven matches at the Parc des Princes and drawing the other. Their dominance in Ligue 1 is evident—they remain unbeaten domestically and have lost just once in 13 matches across all competitions this year.

Conversely, Atletico Madrid have been faltering, especially in European fixtures. Successive defeats in the Champions League, including a 4-0 drubbing by Benfica and a 3-1 home loss to Lille, have exposed vulnerabilities in their usually sturdy defence. Their away record in the competition is particularly troubling, with just one win in their last ten outings and seven losses during that period.

PSG’s attacking arsenal is both deep and dynamic. The return of Marco Asensio has added flair and creativity to their forward line, allowing Ousmane Dembele to revert to his preferred position on the right flank. Young talent Bradley Barcola has been a revelation, netting eight goals in Ligue 1 already. With Gonçalo Ramos still sidelined due to injury, these players have stepped up to fill the void admirably.

Atletico’s defensive injuries further tilt the balance in PSG’s favour. Key figures like Robin Le Normand, Marcos Llorente, and César Azpilicueta are unavailable, weakening their backline significantly. While their domestic form has been steady, their European struggles hint at deeper issues. Diego Simeone’s tactical approach seems less effective away from Madrid, and facing a PSG side brimming with confidence could prove challenging.

BettingTips4You.com expert Herrin Kendrick sums it up perfectly: “Given PSG’s formidable home record and Atletico’s recent struggles on the road, a convincing win for the Parisians is on the cards. The attacking depth PSG possess could very well overwhelm Atletico’s depleted defence.”

Considering all these factors, a bet on PSG to win by at least two goals not only seems reasonable but also offers good value. The Parisians are not just aiming for a win—they’re looking to make a statement in Europe.

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Correct Score Prediction: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Atletico Madrid

In line with our best bet, predicting a 3-1 victory for PSG aligns with the expected dynamics of the match. While PSG’s defence has been solid, Atletico have enough quality in attack to find the net, especially with players like Antoine Griezmann and Alexander Sorloth vying for a starting spot. However, PSG’s offensive firepower should ultimately outgun Atletico’s efforts.

PSG have been prolific at home, recently dismantling Marseille 3-0 and showing they can breach even the most disciplined defences. Atletico’s recent concession of multiple goals in European matches suggests they may struggle to contain PSG’s multi-faceted attack. Additionally, with PSG often finding the net more frequently in the second half, the latter stages of the game could see them extend their lead.

Given Atletico’s desperation to avoid a third consecutive Champions League defeat, they may adopt a more aggressive approach, which could leave them exposed at the back. Therefore, a 3-1 scoreline reflects both teams’ capabilities and current form.

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