Portugal vs Denmark Predictions

Portugal vs Denmark predictions for Sunday’s UEFA Nations League quarter-final second leg. Portugal are backed to win with both teams scoring, as they boast a strong home record and attacking depth, while Denmark’s disciplined approach and recent scoring streak should keep the tie competitive. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Nations League | Mar 23, 2025 at 7:45pm UK at Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Portugal vs Denmark Predictions

Can Portugal Avenge the First-Leg Defeat or Will Denmark Deliver a Lisbon Shock?

• Portugal rarely keep clean sheets at home: Both teams have scored in each of Portugal’s previous three games on home soil, and their backline hasn’t looked watertight.
• Denmark love a draw: Five of the Danes’ last 11 games have ended level, with many of those featuring both sides hitting the net at least once.
• Low margins, high drama: Nine of Denmark’s past 11 matches have finished under 2.5 goals, suggesting they know how to keep things tight—even when scoring.

Best Bet for Portugal vs Denmark

There’s a strange sort of tension hanging in the air ahead of Sunday night’s Nations League quarter-final second leg in Lisbon. Portugal, one of the pre-tournament favourites, have somehow found themselves in a bit of a mess. Trailing by a single goal to Denmark, they now face an uphill battle to avoid another early exit on the international stage. For a team bursting with star names and lofty ambitions, this wasn’t supposed to be the script.

Denmark, who haven’t exactly been setting the world alight in recent months, arrived in the first leg without much momentum—but left with a crucial 1-0 win, thanks to a late strike from Rasmus Hojlund. The Manchester United forward came off the bench to do what Cristiano Ronaldo couldn’t: score. And that goal now separates the sides, giving the Danes something to defend when they walk out at the Estádio da Luz.

To be fair, it wasn’t a smash-and-grab. Denmark had 23 shots and nine efforts on target, while Portugal could only muster eight attempts in total. Christian Eriksen even missed a penalty in the first half. So, in all honesty, Portugal were lucky not to be looking at a bigger deficit. Sunday will demand more composure, more cutting edge, and maybe—just maybe—a touch of humility from a Portuguese side that occasionally forgets that reputations don’t win matches.

Best Bet for Portugal vs Denmark: Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Here at BettingTips4You, we don’t believe in giving you a laundry list of bets and letting you guess which one actually makes sense. We pick one, and only one, Best Bet—the one we believe has the highest chance of success based on detailed analysis. And for this tantalising second leg, the standout pick is Both Teams to Score.

Let’s be honest: Portugal won’t stay quiet again. With Ronaldo still leading the line, Bruno Fernandes orchestrating from the middle and the electric Pedro Neto offering directness out wide, they’re going to create chances—especially at home, where they tend to express themselves with more freedom. That said, just because they’ll attack doesn’t mean they won’t concede.

Defensively, Portugal didn’t look convincing in the first leg. Whether it was Ruben Dias being dragged out of position or Diogo Costa looking a little too busy, the backline felt like it was holding on at times. And now that Denmark are expected to start Hojlund rather than use him as a secret weapon, the visitors will likely carry even more threat from the outset.

Christian Eriksen remains the heartbeat of Denmark’s attack and, alongside Jesper Lindstrom and Gustav Isaksen, gives the Red and Whites plenty of guile and pace going forward. The midfield duo of Norgaard and Hjulmand protect well, but they can also break lines and support the press, which made Portugal look surprisingly flat on Thursday.

BettingTips4You.com expert quote:

“Portugal need to go for it, and Denmark aren’t built to sit back for 90 minutes. This match has all the ingredients for both sides to score.” – GERARD GABASA

It’s hard to ignore the trends either. Portugal’s last three home games have all seen both teams find the net, while Denmark have scored in four of their last five. That combination of home urgency and visiting confidence makes BTTS the smartest angle here. If we’re picking a scoreline, a 2-1 win for Portugal feels about right—enough to level the tie, but not enough to settle things inside 90 minutes.

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