Poland vs Turkey predictions, betting tips and match previews for their international friendly meeting. Poland face Turkey in Warsaw on Monday evening in a Euro 2024 preparation friendly. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.
Friendly | Jun 10, 2024 at 7:45pm UK at Stadion Narodowy
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Poland vs Turkey Predictions
Poland and Turkey: Tactical Battle in Final Euro 2024 Warm-Up
Key Stats
– Poland have maintained a 66.6% ball possession rate in their qualifiers.
– Turkey have not won in their last four matches, losing two and drawing two.
– Robert Lewandowski has scored 82 goals for Poland, making him their all-time leading scorer.
Poland and Turkey will conclude their preparations for Euro 2024 with an international friendly in Warsaw. Both teams are gearing up for challenging group stages, making this match a crucial opportunity to fine-tune their strategies and build momentum.
Match Preview
Poland, buoyed by a 3-1 victory over Ukraine in their latest friendly, are in impressive form, having won their last four matches. Michal Probierz’s side will face a tough Group D in Euro 2024, including the Netherlands, Austria, and France. Poland have historically had a mixed record in the European Championships, with their best performance being a quarter-final appearance in 2016. This time, they aim to go further and their current form suggests they might be capable of achieving that.
Turkey, on the other hand, are coming off a goalless draw against Italy. Vincenzo Montella’s squad is also preparing for a difficult group stage, where they will compete against Georgia, Portugal, and the Czech Republic. Turkey’s best finish in the Euros was a semi-final appearance in 2008, but they have struggled in recent editions, failing to progress beyond the group stage. Their form leading up to this match has been inconsistent, with no wins in their last four outings.
Team News and Lineups
Poland
Captain and all-time leading scorer Robert Lewandowski headlines the squad, supported by experienced players such as Wojciech Szczesny, Kamil Grosicki, and Piotr Zielinski. The injury to Arkadiusz Milik is a significant blow, but Poland still boast a strong lineup.
Expected Lineup:
Szczesny; Walukiewicz, Salamon, Kiwior; Skoras, Zielinski, Romanczuk, Grosicki; Buksa, Lewandowski, Szymanski
Turkey
Turkey will miss key players like Ozan Kabak, Caglar Soyuncu, and Enes Unal due to injuries. However, they still have a talented squad with players like Cenk Tosun, Kerem Akturkoglu, and rising star Arda Guler.
Expected Lineup:
Bayindir; Celik, Demiral, Bardakci, Muldur; Calhanoglu, Ayhan; Guler, Yazici, Akturkoglu; Tosun
Tactical Analysis
Poland have been effective in maintaining possession, with a ball possession rate of 66.6% during their qualifiers. Their ability to control the game and create scoring opportunities through their midfield, especially Piotr Zielinski, will be crucial. Lewandowski’s finishing ability remains their primary weapon.
Turkey, with a 60.1% possession rate, also focus on controlling the midfield. Hakan Calhanoglu’s playmaking skills are essential for their attack, while Cenk Tosun’s presence in the box will be vital for converting chances.
Key Areas and Player Duels
The midfield clash between Piotr Zielinski and Hakan Calhanoglu will be pivotal. Zielinski’s creativity and vision could unlock Turkey’s defence, while Calhanoglu’s distribution and set-piece expertise are critical for Turkey. Another key battle will be between Robert Lewandowski and Turkey’s centre-backs. Lewandowski’s movement and clinical finishing will test the Turkish defence throughout the match.
Gameplay and Strategic Dynamics
Poland are expected to dominate possession and use their wide players to stretch Turkey’s defence. Their approach will likely involve quick transitions and leveraging Lewandowski’s positioning to create scoring opportunities. Turkey might adopt a more cautious strategy, focusing on counter-attacks and using the pace of Akturkoglu and the creativity of Guler to exploit any defensive lapses by Poland.
Suggestions for Improvement
Poland should focus on enhancing their finishing efficiency. Despite creating numerous chances, their conversion rate needs improvement. Additionally, maintaining defensive discipline against counter-attacks will be crucial.
Turkey need to bolster their defensive organisation, particularly against set-pieces. Improving their midfield control to better support both the defence and attack can help them become more competitive.
Strengths and Weaknesses
Poland’s primary strength lies in their balanced team, capable of both scoring and defending effectively. Their main weakness might be their reliance on Lewandowski for goals. Turkey’s strength is their technical ability in midfield and their creativity, but their defensive inconsistencies and recent form are significant concerns.
Managerial Critique
Michal Probierz has revitalised Poland, instilling a winning mentality and tactical flexibility. However, his dependency on star players like Lewandowski can be a double-edged sword. Vincenzo Montella, despite assembling a talented Turkish squad, has struggled to achieve consistency. His inability to stabilise the defence has been a notable shortcoming.
Expected Goals Analysis
Poland’s expected goals (xG) average aligns with their scoring rate, reflecting their ability to create quality chances. Turkey’s xG highlights their mixed success in converting opportunities, corresponding with their recent form.
Predictions
Best Bet: Under 1.5 Goals
Considering the defensive strengths and recent form of both teams, a low-scoring match seems likely. Poland have conceded just 1.1 goals per game in the qualifiers, and Turkey’s defence, despite some recent lapses, has the capability to limit Poland’s scoring opportunities.
Correct Score Prediction: Poland 1-0 Turkey
Aligning with the best bet, a narrow 1-0 victory for Poland is predicted. Poland’s defensive solidity and Turkey’s recent struggles in finding the back of the net support this outcome.
Goalscorer Prediction: Robert Lewandowski to Score
Lewandowski, with his remarkable goal-scoring record, is likely to be on the scoresheet. His ability to convert even half-chances makes him the prime candidate to score in this match.
First Half Result Prediction: Poland to Lead at Half Time
Given Poland’s recent form and their tendency to start matches strongly, they are expected to lead at the break. Their aggressive approach early in the game can put Turkey on the back foot.
Innovative Market Prediction: Total Team Shots on Target Over 4.5
Poland have averaged 4.9 shots on target per game in the qualifiers. With their attacking mindset and the likelihood of dominating possession, betting on them to have over 4.5 shots on target is a plausible prediction.
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