Plymouth Argyle vs Burnley Predictions

Plymouth Argyle vs Burnley predictions for this Championship clash. Plymouth Argyle host Burnley at Home Park on Wednesday, desperately seeking points to avoid falling further adrift, while Burnley aim to boost their Championship promotion push. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Championship | Jan 22, 2025 at 8pm UK at Home Park

Plymouth Argyle vs Burnley Predictions

Can Plymouth Defy the Odds or Will Burnley’s Defensive Fortress Hold Firm?

• Burnley have conceded just nine goals in 27 Championship matches, the best defensive record in English league football this season.
• Plymouth are winless in their last 13 league games, with their last victory coming at Home Park in early November.
• Burnley have picked up 16 points in their last six away matches, including wins over promotion contenders Leeds United and Sheffield United.

Our Tips

On Wednesday night, Plymouth Argyle will host promotion-chasing Burnley at Home Park in a Championship clash that pits two teams with vastly different ambitions against one another. At one end of the table, Burnley are firmly in the hunt for an automatic promotion spot as they aim to bounce back to the Premier League at the first time of asking. At the other end, Plymouth are desperately trying to claw their way out of the relegation zone. The contrasting trajectories of these sides only add to the tension of what promises to be an intriguing matchup.

Plymouth enter the game in dire form, winless in their last 13 league matches and languishing at the foot of the Championship table. Their most recent outing saw them fall 1-0 to Queens Park Rangers, a result that left new manager Miron Muslic with a mountain to climb to save the season. Despite a respectable record at Home Park, where they’ve lost just three times this term, the Green Army have struggled to convert performances into wins. Meanwhile, Burnley, under Scott Parker’s leadership, have developed a steely resolve. They’ve conceded only nine goals in 27 league matches this season, showcasing defensive stability that has laid the foundation for their promotion charge. However, they’ve found goals harder to come by, which has led to an alarming number of draws for a team with title ambitions.

The stakes are high for both sides, albeit for vastly different reasons. Plymouth need a win to keep their survival hopes alive, while Burnley can’t afford to slip up as they chase Leeds United and Sheffield United at the top of the table. It’s a clash of desperation versus discipline, and the result could have significant ramifications for both teams’ seasons.

Best Bet: Burnley to Win and Keep a Clean Sheet

The most sensible wager for this encounter is backing Burnley to secure an away win while maintaining their remarkable defensive record. With just nine goals conceded all season, Burnley have been a fortress at the back, and their ability to shut teams out has been the cornerstone of their campaign. Even away from home, the Clarets have proven difficult to break down, amassing 16 points from their last six road fixtures, including victories against promotion rivals like Leeds United and Sheffield United.

Plymouth, on the other hand, have struggled mightily in front of goal. Their tally of 31 goals in 27 games may not look dreadful on paper, but their lack of cutting edge in recent matches has been painfully evident. Morgan Whittaker, their top scorer last season, has been unable to replicate that form this term, leaving the attacking burden on new signing Michael Baidoo. While Baidoo shows promise, it’s unrealistic to expect a transformative performance from a player still settling into his new environment. Compounding Plymouth’s woes is the absence of key players like goalkeeper Conor Hazard and defender Joe Edwards, which further weakens a squad already short on confidence.

Burnley’s defensive organisation is paired with a pragmatic approach to attacking football. While they’ve struggled to score prolifically, they’ve consistently done just enough to win games. Players like Josh Brownhill and Zian Flemming have shown flashes of creativity, and it’s in games like this where their quality should shine through. Plymouth’s defence, vulnerable as it is, could be punished by Flemming, who has scored in five of Burnley’s last six away games.

BettingTips4You.com’s expert Steve Harrington puts it simply: “Burnley’s defensive solidity is unmatched in the Championship. Against a struggling Plymouth side, a win to nil looks like the most reliable option.” With Plymouth struggling to score and Burnley excelling at shutting teams out, it’s hard to see past the visitors taking all three points without conceding.

Correct Score Prediction: Plymouth Argyle 0-1 Burnley

A 1-0 scoreline in favour of Burnley seems the most likely outcome for this encounter. While Burnley’s defence is their strength, their attack has often failed to match the same level of efficiency. They’ve drawn 11 games this season, largely due to their inability to convert dominance into goals. However, against a Plymouth side that has conceded 43 times this season and looked toothless in attack, one goal could be all Burnley need.

Scott Parker’s men have consistently shown they can grind out results away from home. Their ability to manage games, particularly against struggling sides, has been a hallmark of their campaign. On Wednesday, they’re likely to adopt a measured approach, relying on moments of individual brilliance from players like Flemming or Brownhill to make the difference. Plymouth’s defence, already fragile due to injuries, could buckle under the sustained pressure Burnley are capable of applying.

For Plymouth, the lack of a consistent goalscorer is a glaring issue. While they’ve shown glimpses of attacking potential, particularly at Home Park, their inability to finish chances has cost them dearly. Burnley’s defensive organisation should comfortably handle whatever limited threats Plymouth manage to conjure, ensuring that James Trafford, who saved two penalties in their last outing, has a relatively quiet evening.

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