Penybont vs FK Kauno Zalgiris Predictions

Penybont vs Kauno Zalgiris predictions for Thursday’s UEFA Conference League tie. Pen-y-Bont host Žalgiris Kaunas on 17 July in the Conference League second leg, with the visitors holding a strong advantage and able to advance even with a two-goal defeat. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

UEFA Conference League | Jul 17 2025 at 6:00 pm UK at The KYMCO Stadium

Penybont vs FK Kauno Zalgiris Predictions

Will the Underdogs Roar or Is This a Done Deal?

• Goals Likely on Both Ends
  • With Pen-y-Bont averaging 2.75 total goals per game and Žalgiris close behind on 2.53, an open contest is widely expected.
• Žalgiris Are On Fire
  • The Lithuanian visitors have won five straight matches, scoring freely and controlling games, with only 0.53 goals conceded per match on average.
• Home Comforts Count for Something
  • Pen-y-Bont have secured seven wins from their last ten matches in all competitions and will be looking to end this campaign on a positive note.

Best Bet for Penybont vs FK Kauno Zalgiris

Thursday’s Conference League qualifier in Wales brings together two sides from completely different footballing worlds. Pen-y-Bont, the Welsh outfit who were only founded in 2013 and are still very much learning the ropes of European football, welcome a confident and well-oiled Žalgiris Kaunas machine to Cardiff for the second leg of this tie. The Lithuanians are already in a commanding position after their 3-0 victory in the first leg, and they now come into the return fixture with the luxury of being able to lose by two and still progress. That’s the kind of cushion that can ease nerves but also, occasionally, breed complacency.

It was a bit of a schooling in the first leg. Žalgiris barely gave Pen-y-Bont a sniff, hammering in 16 attempts to just three from their visitors. It felt like boys against men at times. But football doesn’t always follow the same script twice. The Welsh team, who’ve not had much competitive action lately, have been quietly building form through friendlies and have seven wins from their last ten overall. At home, with the tie technically still alive, they’ll fancy a go at unsettling the rhythm of their more experienced guests.

Best Bet for Pen-y-Bont vs Žalgiris Kaunas

Selection: Over 2.5 Total Goals

This is our standout pick for this fixture—selected after a careful breakdown of every market and stat available. At BettingTips4You.com, we always focus on quality, not quantity. One game, one prediction. That’s our policy, and it keeps things simple for our readers and transparent for evaluating long-term profitability.

Now, let’s get to the real meat of it. This fixture screams goals. Žalgiris are in hot form, having racked up five straight victories and averaging two goals per game in the process. Their offensive unit looks sharp, energetic, and ruthless—something Pen-y-Bont know all too well after the bruising first leg. But while the Lithuanians are clear favourites, their defensive record on the road in Europe isn’t exactly watertight. They’ve only managed a single clean sheet in their last six continental away games, and even the best sides can take their foot off the pedal when the job seems done.

On the other side of the pitch, Pen-y-Bont aren’t totally toothless, especially at home. They’ve scored 1.75 goals per game on average and won seven of their last ten matches, albeit mostly in friendlies. That stat might look soft on the surface, but it also reflects rhythm and a growing sense of belief. With nothing to lose and their pride on the line, you’d expect them to open up a bit, even if it leaves them vulnerable at the back. And to be honest, would a 3-1 or 2-2 scoreline really surprise anyone? It shouldn’t.

“When one team has already built a big lead, what usually follows is an open game with less pressure—perfect for goals,” said BettingTips4You.com expert Herrin Kendrick. “Žalgiris won’t park the bus, and Pen-y-Bont can’t afford to either. This is a real shot for a high-scoring affair.”

The line-up data backs this up too—both teams are likely to go with attack-minded shapes, especially with Pen-y-Bont’s 4-3-3 pushing Daly and Pritchard forward in wide areas. And Žalgiris, already three goals to the good, aren’t expected to hold back either, with Jansons up front supported by a midfield full of runners.

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Correct Score Prediction: Žalgiris Kaunas to win 3-1

The hosts should nick a goal, but their backline will be stretched. A repeat of the three-goal mark from the visitors looks possible, but this time with a little more Welsh resistance. Žalgiris have more than enough in their locker to find the net at least twice, and once Pen-y-Bont are forced to commit numbers forward, gaps will open up.

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