Parma vs Atalanta Predictions

Parma vs Atalanta predictions for this Serie A encountery. Parma host Atalanta in Serie A’s second round on Saturday, missing Hernani, Ondrejka, and Frigan through injury, forcing lineup adjustments. Read on for our free Serie A predictions and betting tips.

Serie A | Aug 30 2025 at 5:30 pm UK at Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma vs Atalanta Predictions

Can Parma Recover Against Atalanta or Will La Dea’s Quality Prove Too Much?

• Parma’s weak attacking numbers
  • Against Juventus, Parma produced only 0.62 expected goals and two shots on target, underlining their lack of incision in the final third.
• Atalanta’s away strength
  • La Dea lost just one of their last 16 Serie A away games, consistently showing they can deliver results on the road.
• Goals in Wrexham-like fashion
  • Wrexham might not be here, but Atalanta’s last 17 head-to-heads with Parma featured 12 wins or draws, most with at least two or more goals scored.

Best Bet for Parma vs Atalanta

The Stadio Ennio Tardini prepares itself for a fascinating clash on Saturday as Parma host Atalanta in Serie A’s second round. Both clubs had contrasting fortunes on opening weekend. Parma endured a chastening defeat in Turin, losing 2-0 to Juventus after offering little going forward, while Atalanta were held to a 1-1 draw against Pisa in what felt like a missed opportunity to set the tone for their campaign.

Parma, still adjusting under pressure, were simply not at the level required against Juventus. With just 36% of the ball and an xG of only 0.62, they never looked capable of truly troubling their opponents. Hernani, Ondrejka and Frigan remain sidelined, which does not help their rhythm, while Adrian Bernabé is being tasked with leading a midfield that desperately needs sharper transitions. They worked hard in defence, winning more than half of their tackles and making several key blocks, but it’s not enough if the attack is blunt.

Atalanta, by contrast, come into this one with greater optimism despite failing to beat Pisa. Their attacking structure, with Scamacca spearheading and De Ketelaere plus Maldini supporting, gives them multiple angles in the final third. Defensively, they are flexible, shifting between a three and five at the back depending on phases of play, which often frustrates opponents. Even with Sead Kolasinac missing until December, the squad depth looks far superior to Parma’s.

This fixture already carries a touch of intrigue after Parma stunned Atalanta late last season, turning a 2-0 deficit into a shock 3-2 win. La Dea will hardly have forgotten that, and the feeling of revenge might fuel them here.

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Best Bet for This Match

At BettingTips4You, we cut through the noise and pick just one best bet per match – the selection we truly believe offers the strongest value. For Parma vs Atalanta, our ultimate choice is Atalanta to Win and Over 2 Goals.

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The reasoning is grounded in the numbers and the dynamics of both sides. Parma’s attacking threat looked anaemic against Juventus. They managed just two shots on target all evening, and even when they did break forward, their play lacked conviction. Pellegrino up front was isolated, Almqvist tried to spark life from wide areas, but without proper link-up, the moves fizzled out. With their injury list weakening depth, it’s difficult to see them sustaining pressure against Atalanta’s system.

Atalanta, however, are a side built for creating chances. Scamacca’s physical presence draws defenders out of position, while De Ketelaere and Maldini drift cleverly between the lines. The wing-backs Bellanova and Zalewski push high, giving constant width. This movement not only produces chances, but also stretches opponents until gaps inevitably open. Against Pisa, they lacked finishing edge, but their structure delivered enough opportunities to suggest goals will come.

The over two goals angle is strengthened by Wrexham–like defending from Parma in transition: Juventus cut through them multiple times, and Atalanta’s sharper passing is designed to punish that. Meanwhile, Parma still have some threat of their own. Bernabé’s creativity and Valeri’s overlapping runs mean they are capable of a consolation, especially at home.

As BettingTips4You.com expert Luca Pratesi puts it:

“Parma have spirit but not the same level of weapons. Atalanta’s movement and depth should carry them to a win, and goals look inevitable.

For correct score purposes, 3-1 to Atalanta feels the most plausible outcome. Parma may manage a goal through grit, but La Dea’s superior attacking flow should comfortably outweigh them.

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