Paris Saint Germain vs PSV Eindhoven Predictions

PSG vs PSV predictions, betting tips and match previews for their UEFA Champions League clash. Paris Saint-Germain face PSV Eindhoven at the Parc des Princes in Tuesday’s Champions League clash, with the French champions meeting the top side from the Netherlands in the group stage. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.

PSG
PSV

Champions League | League Stage | Oct 22, 2024 at 8pm UK at Parc des Princes

Paris Saint Germain vs PSV Eindhoven Predictions

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Will PSG Overwhelm PSV or Can the Dutch Giants Pull Off a Surprise?

Best Odds Boost for this Match
William hill
OUSMANE DEMBELE & BRADLEY BARCOLA OVER 1 SHOT ON TARGET EACH
6/1 (was 5/1)
Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change; Stake Limits Might Apply; T&C's Apply; #Ad GambleAware 18+ Only 
  • PSG’s Home Fortress: PSG have won all five of their home matches this season, averaging 3.4 goals per game at the Parc des Princes. The French champions are yet to lose a home game across all competitions, making them formidable on their own turf.
  • PSV’s Defensive Woes in Europe: PSV have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 11 Champions League away matches, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game during that run. Their struggles away from home are well-documented and pose a significant risk against PSG’s free-scoring attack.
  • Attacking Power on Both Sides: Both PSG and PSV have impressive attacking stats domestically. PSG average 18.3 shots per game in Ligue 1, while PSV boast 19.7 shots per game in the Eredivisie. This attacking mindset from both teams should make for an open and entertaining match with plenty of goal-scoring chances.

Our Tips

PSG to Win and Over 2.5 Goals
4/5 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Backing PSG to win with over 2.5 goals is smart. PSG’s strong home form and PSV’s defensive vulnerabilities in Europe, especially without key midfielders, suggest a high-scoring affair favouring the hosts.
Paris Saint-Germain 4-1
18/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A 4-1 PSG victory seems likely. PSG’s attacking depth and home advantage should overwhelm PSV, though PSV's strong scoring record, led by Luuk de Jong, suggests they’ll net a consolation goal.

As Paris Saint-Germain prepare to welcome PSV Eindhoven to the Parc des Princes, emotions are running high. It’s a must-win situation for the French giants, who suffered a 2-0 defeat to Arsenal in their last Champions League outing. Meanwhile, PSV have their own struggles, with just one point from two matches in Europe. This encounter has all the ingredients for an explosive night of football, with both sides needing a result to keep their Champions League campaigns alive.

PSG have been dominant on home soil this season, and they’ll need every bit of that fortress mentality to navigate a tricky PSV side. On the other hand, the Dutch champions are flying high in the Eredivisie with a flawless record, but European nights tend to bring out a different beast altogether. With key injuries on both sides, it will be a test of depth and resilience for two of Europe’s most exciting teams.

Best Bet: PSG to Win and Over 2.5 Goals

Given PSG’s formidable home form and PSV’s defensive vulnerabilities in the Champions League, the best bet for this clash is PSG to win with over 2.5 goals in the game. Why back this? Simply put, PSG have been lethal at the Parc des Princes. They’ve averaged 3.4 goals per game at home across all competitions this season. Their recent 4-2 victory over Strasbourg showed they can find the net even without some of their regular starters, and with players like Bradley Barcola stepping up, there’s little doubt that they can break down PSV’s back line.

PSV, despite their domestic success, have found the Champions League a tougher stage. A 3-1 loss at Juventus and a nervy 1-1 draw with Sporting Lisbon highlight their struggles away from home in Europe. They’ve also failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 11 Champions League away matches. Add to this, the absence of key midfield enforcers like Jerdy Schouten and Joey Veerman, and PSV’s ability to disrupt PSG’s attack diminishes significantly. As BettingTips4You.com expert Robin Bylund puts it:

“With PSG’s attacking firepower at home and PSV’s shaky defence, I expect goals to flow, especially given that the Dutch side are missing key midfielders. It’s hard to see them holding out for 90 minutes against a relentless PSG side.”

PSG’s depth in attack is another crucial factor. Even with injuries to key players like Gonçalo Ramos, the likes of Ousmane Dembélé and Barcola are more than capable of filling the void. The statistics speak for themselves: PSG have scored in every home game this season and are averaging over 18 shots per match. With PSV conceding three at Juventus, it’s tough to imagine them keeping the French giants quiet.

It’s worth noting that while PSV can be dangerous on the break, their inability to keep clean sheets away from home in Europe suggests that they will struggle to contain PSG’s fluid attack. Expect the goals to come, and don’t be surprised if we see over 2.5 goals easily.

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Correct Score Prediction: Paris Saint-Germain 4-1

While a PSG win looks likely, don’t count out PSV from making this a lively contest. They’ve not been shy in front of goal, scoring in every Eredivisie game this season and managing to get on the scoresheet in their Champions League fixtures too. Even without Schouten and Veerman, Peter Bosz’s side are capable of exploiting PSG’s defensive lapses, particularly given that Gianluigi Donnarumma has come under fire for some of his recent performances.

However, the balance of play heavily favours PSG, and a 4-1 scoreline feels right for this one. PSG’s attacking depth and home advantage should see them put PSV to the sword, but with Luuk de Jong leading the line, the Dutch side could easily nick a consolation goal. After all, PSV have averaged over three goals per game domestically, and while the Champions League is a different animal, they should have enough quality to trouble PSG’s defence at least once.

PSG’s dominance at home, combined with PSV’s shaky European form and key injuries, makes this prediction one to back. Expect goals galore, but ultimately, Paris will come out on top comfortably.

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Robin Bylund
Robin is a Premier League fanatic from Sweden that barely misses a minute of action from England's top flight. Robin's been with us since 2015 and combines his work for us with his own Podcast, while also freelancing as a translator and content producer for various media outlets.