Paraguay vs Brazil Predictions

Paraguay vs Brazil predictions, betting tips and match previews for their South American World Cup qualifying clash. Brazil aim for consecutive wins as they face Paraguay in Asuncion for Tuesday’s 2026 World Cup qualifier. Brazil’s superior quality contrasts with Paraguay’s recent struggles. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.

World Cup Qualifying – South America | Group Stage | Sep 11, 2024 at 1:30am UK at Estadio La Asuncion

Paraguay vs Brazil Predictions

Can Brazil Break Paraguay’s Defensive Resilience in World Cup Qualifiers?

• Brazil’s Possession Dominance: Brazil have averaged 62.9% possession in their World Cup qualifying campaign, illustrating their control of matches. With over 500 accurate passes per game, the Selecao will look to suffocate Paraguay’s midfield and dictate the tempo from the outset.
• Paraguay’s Goal Drought: Paraguay have only scored once in seven qualifying matches, averaging a mere 0.1 goals per game. This inability to find the back of the net highlights Paraguay’s attacking struggles, making it difficult for them to challenge Brazil’s solid defensive setup, especially with key defenders like Marquinhos and Gabriel in form.
• Brazil’s Defensive Solidity Against Paraguay: Brazil have kept clean sheets in their last three World Cup qualifiers against Paraguay. With just seven goals conceded in seven matches this qualifying campaign, Dorival Junior’s side have developed a resilient backline, making it difficult for Paraguay to break through.

Best Bet

Brazil are preparing to face Paraguay in Asuncion in a crucial World Cup qualifier. The Selecao, currently sitting fourth in the South American qualifiers with 10 points, are keen to build momentum following their narrow 1-0 win over Ecuador. Meanwhile, Paraguay, who find themselves four points behind in seventh place, will be looking to rebound from their disappointing 0-0 draw with Uruguay. As the two teams prepare for this encounter, the contrasting form and ambitions of both sides make for an intriguing clash.

Paraguay have undergone a managerial change, with Gustavo Alfaro now in charge following a dismal Copa America campaign under former manager Daniel Garnero. Alfaro’s first match saw his side earn a hard-fought point against Uruguay, though the lack of goals continues to be a significant concern for the hosts. With just one win in seven qualifying matches, Paraguay will need to be at their best if they are to challenge Brazil.

Brazil, under the guidance of Dorival Junior, are also seeking consistency. Despite their poor showing in the 2024 Copa America, the Selecao have been able to find some success in their World Cup qualifying campaign. They managed to secure a 1-0 victory against Ecuador in their last outing, ending a brief slump. As they travel to Paraguay, Brazil will hope to continue their dominance in this fixture, having won four of their last five meetings with La Albirroja.

One of the most compelling betting options for this game is to back a draw at half-time with Brazil going on to win by full-time. This prediction fits the current dynamics of both teams and offers a reasonable balance between risk and reward.

Firstly, Paraguay’s form in this qualifying campaign has been marked by resilience, particularly at home, where they have managed to hold stronger teams at bay in the early stages of matches. Their goalless draw against Uruguay, where they restricted their opponents to a single shot on target, is a testament to their defensive organisation. However, Paraguay’s inability to score remains a major issue, with just one goal in seven qualifying matches. This lack of firepower makes it likely that they will focus on frustrating Brazil in the first half rather than trying to dominate offensively.

Brazil, on the other hand, have shown a pattern of slow starts under Dorival Junior, especially in matches away from home. Their recent win over Ecuador came through a solitary first-half goal, but overall, they have not been as clinical in the opening stages of matches as one might expect. The Selecao tend to wear teams down as the game progresses, with their quality eventually shining through. This could very well happen against Paraguay, who might hold firm for the first 45 minutes but struggle to contain the Brazilian attack for the full 90.

Paraguay’s defensive unit, led by the experienced Fabian Balbuena and Omar Alderete, will likely set up to absorb pressure early on, but with key players such as Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo leading Brazil’s attack, the breakthrough will likely come after half-time. Given the attacking depth Brazil possess, even if they start cautiously, they have the potential to overpower a Paraguayan side that is struggling for form and goals.

As Gerard Gabasa, BettingTips4You.com expert succinctly notes: “Paraguay will aim to frustrate Brazil, but ultimately, the visitors’ quality and superior firepower should break through after the break.” This insight, combined with the teams’ respective playing styles, supports the case for a draw at half-time, followed by a Brazil victory by full-time.

Additional Prediction

Given Brazil’s attacking prowess and Paraguay’s defensive vulnerabilities, one player who stands out as a potential goalscorer is Vinicius Junior. The Real Madrid forward has been a central figure in Brazil’s recent attacking efforts and has already demonstrated his ability to make an impact in this fixture, having scored a brace against Paraguay in the 2024 Copa America.

Vinicius Junior’s pace and dribbling ability make him a constant threat, especially against defences that tend to sit deep, as Paraguay are expected to do. With Paraguay likely to focus on closing down central spaces, Vinicius could find joy on the flanks, where he excels at cutting inside and creating goal-scoring opportunities. His understanding with Rodrygo will also be crucial in breaking down a Paraguayan defence that has been shaky at times.

Backing Vinicius Junior to score at any point in the match presents a strong option for bettors, as he is in fine form and will be key to Brazil’s offensive strategy.

Correct Score Prediction: Paraguay 0-2 Brazil

In keeping with the expectation that Brazil will gradually break down Paraguay’s defence, a 2-0 victory for the Selecao seems a likely outcome. Paraguay’s struggles in front of goal, coupled with Brazil’s defensive solidity in recent qualifiers, suggest that the home side will find it difficult to score. Paraguay have only netted once in seven qualifying matches, highlighting their lack of potency in attack.

Brazil, while not scoring prolifically in their recent outings, have enough attacking quality to secure a couple of goals, especially with the likes of Rodrygo and Vinicius Junior leading the line. The visitors will likely dominate possession and eventually find gaps in the Paraguayan defence as the game wears on.

A 2-0 scoreline also aligns with the rationale for the best bet, where Brazil are expected to win after a tight first half. As the match progresses, the Selecao should find the breakthrough and then manage the game to secure all three points. This outcome fits with Brazil’s recent record in World Cup qualifiers against Paraguay, where they have won without conceding in their last three meetings.

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