Panama vs Paraguay predictions for this international friendly affair. Both playing their final friendly before the Copa America, Panama and Paraguay meet at Estadio Rommel Fernández on Sunday. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.
Friendly | Jun 16, 2024 at 11.30pm UK at Estadio Rommel Fernandez Gutierrez
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Panama vs Paraguay Predictions
Can Panama’s Form Overcome Paraguay’s Struggles?
Key Stats
– Panama have won seven of their last ten matches in all competitions.
– Paraguay have failed to score in their last four matches.
– Jose Luis Rodriguez has scored in both of Panama’s recent World Cup qualifiers.
Panama and Paraguay will clash in a crucial friendly at Estadio Rommel Fernandez on Sunday, as both teams prepare for the upcoming Copa America. Panama enter this encounter brimming with confidence after securing victories in their initial World Cup qualifiers against Guyana and Montserrat. Meanwhile, Paraguay are seeking to break their winless streak and regain momentum before the tournament begins.
Panama’s recent form has been impressive, winning seven of their last ten matches across all competitions. This includes a strong showing in the CONCACAF Nations League, where they finished fourth. Their attacking prowess has been evident, with the team averaging 1.8 goals per game during the Gold Cup. Managed by Thomas Christiansen, Panama have demonstrated a balanced approach, combining solid defence with effective counter-attacking.
In stark contrast, Paraguay have struggled to find their footing. They have failed to win in their last four matches, and their lack of goals is a significant concern. Despite this, they remain a formidable opponent, capable of pulling off surprises under the guidance of Daniel Garnero. However, with only one win in their last eight games, the pressure is mounting on La Albirroja to deliver a positive result.
Team Analysis
Panama
Panama’s recent success can be attributed to a cohesive team effort and strategic management. They have shown versatility in their attacking options, with players like Jose Luis Rodriguez and Yoel Barcenas making significant contributions. Rodriguez, in particular, has been instrumental, scoring in both recent qualifiers. The team’s defence, led by Michael Murillo and Anibal Godoy, has been resolute, providing a solid foundation for their attacking endeavours.
The expected lineup for Panama includes Mejia in goal, with Murillo, Farina, Cordoba, and Davis forming the backline. Godoy will marshal the midfield, supported by Rodriguez, Carrasquilla, Martinez, and Barcenas, with Guerrero leading the attack. This setup indicates a balanced formation, aimed at maintaining defensive solidity while exploiting attacking opportunities.
Paraguay
Paraguay’s issues are more pronounced, particularly in their inability to score. With just one goal in six World Cup qualifiers, their attacking unit has been underwhelming. Despite having talents like Miguel Almiron and Julio Enciso, the team has struggled to convert chances into goals. Their defence, however, has been relatively solid, conceding only 0.5 goals per game in qualifiers, thanks to the efforts of players like Gustavo Gomez and Fabian Balbuena.
Paraguay’s probable lineup includes Coronel in goal, with Velazquez, Gomez, Balbuena, and Espinoza in defence. Cubas and Villasanti will anchor the midfield, with Almiron, Enciso, and Sosa supporting Gonzalez in attack. This formation highlights a cautious approach, prioritising defensive stability while relying on individual brilliance to create scoring opportunities.
Gameplay and Key Duels
The midfield battle will be pivotal in this encounter, with Panama’s Godoy and Carrasquilla going head-to-head against Paraguay’s Cubas and Villasanti. Both duos are crucial in their teams’ transitional play, and their performance could dictate the flow of the game. Another critical duel will be between Panama’s Rodriguez and Paraguay’s Espinoza, as Rodriguez’s attacking flair poses a significant threat to Paraguay’s defence.
Panama are likely to dominate possession, given their average ball possession of 59.3% in the Gold Cup, using their midfield to control the tempo and create chances. Paraguay, with their lower possession stats, might adopt a more counter-attacking approach, looking to exploit Panama’s defensive gaps.
Expected Goals Analysis
Panama have demonstrated their scoring ability, with 11 goals in 6 Gold Cup matches, averaging 1.8 goals per game. Their defence has also been solid, conceding just one goal per game. On the other hand, Paraguay have only scored one goal in six World Cup qualifiers, averaging a meagre 0.2 goals per game. This stark contrast in attacking efficiency could be a decisive factor in the match.
Strengths and Weaknesses
Panama
Panama’s strength lies in their cohesive team play and balanced strategy. Their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities has been commendable. However, their occasional lapses in defence and reliance on individual brilliance can be potential weaknesses, especially against disciplined opponents.
Paraguay
Paraguay’s defensive solidity is their primary strength, with players like Gomez and Balbuena providing a strong backline. However, their inability to score and lack of creativity in the final third are significant weaknesses. This lack of firepower could hinder their chances against a well-organised Panama side.
Managerial Critique
Thomas Christiansen has brought a structured approach to Panama, focusing on a balanced game plan that integrates both defensive and attacking elements. His ability to adapt and utilise his squad effectively has been a key factor in their recent success. In contrast, Daniel Garnero has struggled to inspire Paraguay, particularly in their attacking play. His conservative tactics and inability to address the team’s scoring woes have been major criticisms.
Betting Angles and Predictions
Best Bet: Panama to Win
Considering Panama’s superior form and attacking prowess, coupled with Paraguay’s scoring struggles, the best bet is a Panama victory. This prediction is based on Panama’s ability to control the game and exploit Paraguay’s defensive weaknesses.
Correct Score Prediction: Panama 2-0 Paraguay
Reflecting the rationale of the best bet, a 2-0 win for Panama seems likely. Their attacking efficiency and defensive solidity should see them secure a comfortable victory against a struggling Paraguayan side.
Goalscorer Prediction: Jose Luis Rodriguez
Jose Luis Rodriguez has been in fine form, scoring in both recent qualifiers, making him the prime candidate to score in this match. His ability to find the net and create opportunities will be crucial against Paraguay’s defence.
Which Team Will Score First: Panama
Given Panama’s attacking form and Paraguay’s defensive vulnerabilities, Panama are expected to score first. Their ability to create early chances and dominate possession should see them take the lead.
Innovative Market Prediction: Total Corners Over 9.5
Both teams have shown a propensity to attack, leading to numerous corner situations. Panama averages 4.5 corners per game, while Paraguay averages 5. With both sides pushing for goals, the total corners exceeding 9.5 seems a reasonable prediction.
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