Norway vs Spain Predictions

Norway vs Spain predictions for Sunday’s Euro 2024 qualifier. With Scotland in top spot, these two sides are battling to secure the final automatic place at Euro 2024. Can the Norwegian upset the odds and win over Spain? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Match Live Sunday, 15th October at 7:45 pm In:

Norway vs Spain Predictions

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A Pivotal Euro 2024 Clash: The Battle for Group A Supremacy

Key Stats
– Spain’s staggering unbeaten home streak stands at 49 matches.
– Norway’s ace, Erling Haaland, averages a goal per game at the international level.
– Spain possesses an impressive 73% average ball possession in the Euro 2024 qualifiers.

As Spain journey to the Ullevaal Stadion in Oslo, they’ll be aiming to solidify their position atop Group A of the Euro 2024 qualifiers. Their upcoming confrontation with Norway promises to be nothing short of spectacular, given their historical duels and recent form.

Flashback to Previous Meetings

The last time these two giants collided, Spain dominated, clinching a comfortable 3-0 victory in Malaga. However, things have changed since that encounter seven months ago. Following a rocky start to their qualifying campaign, Norway have resurrected their form, bagging three consecutive wins – a compelling display against Cyprus, a 4-0 masterclass, being their most recent.


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Interestingly, Norway’s single victory over Spain dates back to Euro 2000. Although they couldn’t progress beyond the group stage then, the stakes are much higher this time. Norway, placed third in Group A, urgently need a win to keep their Euro 2024 dreams alive.

Recent Form and Team Dynamics

Spain, after a startling 2-0 defeat to Scotland, exacted their revenge with a similar scoreline in Seville. Their impressive home record is a testament to their strength – an unbeaten streak extending to 49 matches, encompassing 44 victories and 18 clean sheets out of the last 23.

However, Luis de la Fuente’s squad must now prove themselves on foreign soil, especially since they’ve managed only a single win in their last four European away qualifiers. With just a two-point cushion over Norway and a game in hand, Spain would ideally want to settle matters this Sunday.

Norway, under the astute management of Solbakken, appear rejuvenated. Their attacking partnership, featuring the prolific Haaland and Sorloth, has been particularly menacing. Haaland, with his jaw-dropping goal-per-game record, is just a few strikes away from becoming Norway’s highest-ever scorer.

On the other side, Spain will miss key players such as Williams, Balde, and Asensio due to injuries. But their depth is undeniable, with the likes of Morata and Torres ready to lead the charge. The recent match even saw Navas, aged 37, making record assists.

Analytical Dive: Expected Goals and Performance

Norway’s Performance Metrics:

  • Average Rating: 6.88 (Ranked 22nd)
  • Goals Scored: 11 (1.8 per match)
  • Goals Conceded: 8
  • Possession: 60.3%

Spain’s Performance Metrics:

  • Average Rating: 7.17 (Ranked 3rd)
  • Goals Scored: 18 (3.6 per match)
  • Goals Conceded: 3
  • Possession: 73%

Spain’s impressive attacking statistics, coupled with a high ball possession rate, shows their dominance in most matches. Norway, however, are not far behind, displaying a balanced performance in both defence and offence.


1. Match Outcome Prediction: Draw A close examination of the recent forms and historical data suggests that this encounter may not produce a clear winner. While Spain boast a dominant track record and have only tasted defeat once in their last five fixtures, their away form in the Euro qualifiers is not as commanding, having won just one of their last four Euro qualifiers on the road. This includes a 1-1 draw against Norway in October 2019, hinting at a potential repeat. On the other side, Norway’s recent resurgence, which saw them triumph in their last three Euro 2024 qualifiers, underlines their renewed determination. Combining Spain’s slightly wobbly away form and Norway’s home strength, a draw seems like a plausible outcome.

2. Correct Score Prediction: 1-1 Taking cues from their previous face-off in 2019 which ended in a 1-1 stalemate, and considering Spain’s tendency to maintain tight defences, it’s anticipated that goals will be at a premium. Norway’s offensive firepower, especially with Erling Haaland’s impressive goal-scoring prowess, makes them likely to find the net at least once. Spain, on the other hand, despite their injury concerns, still have a robust attacking lineup that can breach the Norwegian defence. Thus, a 1-1 scoreline mirrors the potential narrative of the game.

3. Goalscorer Prediction: Erling Haaland It’s hard to look past Erling Haaland when predicting potential goalscorers. The Manchester City striker has been in scintillating form for Norway, averaging a goal per game at the international level. His recent brace against Cyprus further augments his tally to 27 goals from as many matches. Such a remarkable strike rate, combined with his physical prowess and clinical finishing, positions him as a prime candidate to find the back of the net against Spain.

4. Corner Prediction: Spain to have more corners; Total corners: Over 8.5 When diving deep into the gameplay styles, Spain, known for their possession-based approach, often pen their opponents back and force them to defend deep. This strategy, coupled with their frequent flank plays, results in a higher number of corners. The statistics back this assertion, with Spain averaging 7.4 corners per game in the Euro qualifiers. Norway, meanwhile, holds an average of 5.2 corners. Based on this data, it’s safe to predict that Spain might win the corner tally. Combining the corner averages of both teams gives a sum slightly over 12. But considering the high stakes of the match and potential cautious approach, predicting over 8.5 total corners for the game feels reasonable.

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Robin Bylund
Robin is a Premier League fanatic from Sweden that barely misses a minute of action from England's top flight. Robin's been with us since 2015 and combines his work for us with his own Podcast, while also freelancing as a translator and content producer for various media outlets.