Northern Ireland vs Denmark predictions for Monday’s EURO 2024 qualifier. After securing the qualification with a win over Slovenia on Friday, can the Danes close their campaign in style with a win in Belfast against a modest Northern Irish side? Read on for all out free predictions and betting tips.
Match Live Monday, 20th November at 7:45 pm In:
Northern Ireland vs Denmark Predictions
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A Clash of Contrasts: Denmark’s Tactical Mastery Meets Northern Ireland’s Resilience
Key Stats
– Northern Ireland has struggled, with a goal-scoring average of just 0.8 per game.
– Denmark’s midfield maestro Christian Eriksen boasts an impressive average BettingTips4You rating of 8.03.
As the Euro 2024 qualifiers draw to a close, Northern Ireland faces a daunting task against a formidable Danish side. Michael O’Neill’s team, struggling at the bottom of Group H, confronts Kasper Hjulmand’s Denmark, who have emerged as the surprise package of the tournament. This analysis delves deep into the tactical nuances, player performances, and managerial strategies shaping this clash.
Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match
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Best Value Bet Rationale
Poulsen’s impact for Denmark, though often under the radar, is noteworthy. His average rating, as per BettingTips4You Expert Rating, stands at a commendable 7.03, reflecting his consistent performances. Despite starting only one of the six matches he’s played, Poulsen has managed to find the net, indicating his efficiency in front of goal. His scoring frequency of 188 minutes per game and his ability to get shots on target (0.5 per game) underline his threat in the attacking third.
Denmark, while not the most prolific scorers, have consistently found the back of the net throughout the qualifiers, scoring 19 goals in 9 matches. With Northern Ireland’s defence proving to be porous – conceding 13 goals in 9 games – and the home side’s evident struggles at Windsor Park, Denmark’s attacking play is likely to create numerous opportunities.
Given this context, Poulsen, who might be afforded more game time in what could be perceived as a less pressurised fixture, stands as a prime candidate to capitalise on Northern Ireland’s defensive frailties. His aerial prowess and ability to position himself effectively in the box further enhance his chances of scoring. The boosted odds of 7/4 for Poulsen to score anytime thus emerge as a bet of significant value, combining the potential of the player with the prevailing dynamics of the match.
Northern Ireland’s Defensive Woes and Offensive Struggles: Northern Ireland’s campaign has been plagued by defensive fragility and offensive sterility. Conceding 13 goals in 9 matches and scoring a mere 7 underscores their dual crisis. The team’s reliance on traditional defending tactics, coupled with an inability to transition effectively into attack, has been a critical weakness. Key players like Paul Smyth and Conor Bradley have shown sparks of brilliance, but consistency remains elusive.
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Denmark’s Tactical Fluidity and Strengths: In stark contrast, Denmark has showcased tactical fluidity and an attacking verve. Their ability to switch play and exploit the flanks has been commendable, with Christian Eriksen orchestrating the midfield with precision. The Danes’ strength lies in their collective play, with Rasmus Højlund and Jonas Wind pivotal in their attacking endeavours.
Managerial Impact: O’Neill’s second stint with Northern Ireland hasn’t been fruitful, raising questions about his tactical adaptability. Meanwhile, Hjulmand has imprinted his progressive football philosophy on the Danish side, although their World Cup performance left much to be desired.
Expected Goals and Tactical Comparison: Denmark’s expected goals (xG) rate outshines Northern Ireland’s, indicating a higher quality of chances created. Northern Ireland’s defensive approach contrasts starkly with Denmark’s possession-based, high-pressing game. The key battle will likely be in the midfield, where Denmark’s superiority could dominate.
Key Areas and Player Duels: The match could be decided in midfield, where Denmark’s control and creativity might overwhelm Northern Ireland. Eriksen’s duel with Northern Ireland’s midfielders will be crucial, as will the defensive responses of Northern Ireland’s backline to Denmark’s attacking threats.
Gameplay Prediction: Expect Denmark to control the game with sustained possession, probing Northern Ireland’s defence. Northern Ireland might adopt a counter-attacking approach, but Denmark’s solid defence is likely to neutralise any threat.
Improvement Suggestions: Northern Ireland needs a tactical overhaul, with emphasis on a more dynamic attacking strategy. Denmark, while largely efficient, could work on converting more of their created chances.
Strategies, Dynamics, and Managerial Critique: While Denmark’s balanced approach and adaptability are commendable, Northern Ireland’s lack of tactical flexibility under O’Neill has been a significant downfall. O’Neill’s inability to inspire a turnaround or introduce innovative strategies has been a glaring issue.
Our Take: This match presents a clear mismatch, with Denmark likely to dominate. Northern Ireland’s struggles are symptomatic of deeper issues, while Denmark, despite occasional stutters, has shown resilience and tactical acumen.
Match Predictions:
- Win-Draw-Away Market: Denmark to win. The Danish team’s cohesive unit and tactical superiority make them clear favourites.
- Correct Score Prediction: Denmark to win 2-0. Considering both teams’ form and Northern Ireland’s struggle to find the net, a comfortable win for Denmark is plausible.
- Goalscorer Prediction: Rasmus Højlund to score. His recent form and positioning in Denmark’s attack make him a likely candidate.
- Corner Prediction: Denmark to have more corners. Their attacking play and pressure are likely to result in more corner opportunities.
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