Newcastle vs PSG Predictions

Newcastle vs PSG predictions for Wednesday’s Champions League affair at St James’ Park. The French titleholders travel to St James’ Park for an enticing Champions League Group F clash on Wednesday night, with Newcastle United welcoming Paris Saint-Germain. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Match Live Wednesday, 4th October at 8:00 pm In:

Newcastle vs PSG Predictions

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A Battle of Redemption and Dominance

Key Stats
– Newcastle United have maintained five consecutive clean sheets in all competitions.
– Paris Saint-Germain remain unbeaten in nine away games since their loss to Bayern Munich.
– Newcastle’s recent form in all competitions reads an impressive: L, W, D, W, W, W.

The allure of European football at its finest will grace St James’ Park this week, with Newcastle United gearing up to face Paris Saint-Germain in a high-stakes Champions League encounter.

Back in the Limelight

After a staggering two-decade hiatus from Europe’s most elite football tournament, Newcastle United, under Eddie Howe’s guidance, have reaffirmed their place among the continent’s best. The Magpies’ resilient defence held firm against AC Milan, ending in a goalless stalemate. Despite the imposing aura of San Siro, Newcastle were not easily intimidated, demonstrating an unyielding defensive stance, and left Italy with a well-deserved point. This point has positioned them second in Group F.


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Since then, Newcastle have been on a rampage, concluding September on a high. Their exceptional form saw them net nine goals in just two games, and they continued their winning streak by edging past Manchester City in the EFL Cup. A spectacular performance against Burnley further solidified their formidable form, extending their clean sheet record to five consecutive matches.

Parisian Pursuits

Paris Saint-Germain, on the other hand, commenced their Champions League campaign with a win over Borussia Dortmund, with the spotlight on Kylian Mbappe and Achraf Hakimi for their goalscoring exploits. PSG, having been under various esteemed managers like Thomas Tuchel and Mauricio Pochettino, now look towards Luis Enrique to bring them European glory. However, the team’s recent form has shown signs of vulnerability. Their recent draw against Clermont, along with their sporadic Ligue 1 performance, has left them fifth in the league standings.

A Technical Analysis

In the world of football, strategies and dynamics constantly change, and the ebb and flow of a game can be dictated by a plethora of factors. When Newcastle United welcome Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) to St James’ Park for a Group F clash in the Champions League, the narratives of their recent performances play a significant role in predicting the outcome.

Newcastle’s Defence and Counterattacks

Eddie Howe’s Newcastle side displayed commendable defensive tactics against AC Milan, returning to their roots that ensured their participation in Europe’s elite tournament. Their resistance to the San Siro pressure suggests they have honed their ability to absorb the offensive onslaughts and rely on swift counterattacks.

This tactic is evident with the likes of Miguel Almiron and Alexander Isak playing pivotal roles. Almiron, with his pace and agility, has been a linchpin for the Magpies, as evidenced by his scintillating strike against Burnley. Isak, on the other hand, brings in a physical presence upfront and has a clinical nature, best highlighted by his penalty prowess.

PSG’s Fluctuating Performance

PSG, under Luis Enrique, haven’t emitted the same dominant aura they previously possessed. They showcased strength against rivals Marseille, but their inconsistency was evident with a subsequent draw against Clermont. While Kylian Mbappe remains a significant threat, as witnessed against Borussia Dortmund, PSG’s reliance on him has occasionally been their undoing.

Individual Brilliance: The X-Factor

Newcastle’s key players have been in stellar form. Jacob Murphy leads the pack with an impressive average BettingTips4You rating of 7.90, followed closely by the seasoned Kieran Trippier, who has not only defended resolutely but also contributed with vital assists.

On the Parisian front, Mbappe has been the standout performer with an astounding rating of 8.05. However, the absence of Marco Asensio, another top performer, might tilt the balance slightly.

Management’s Influence

Howe’s impact on Newcastle is palpable. Not only have they fortified their defence, but the team’s offensive vigour has surged too. Their victory against Manchester City in the EFL Cup and the dominant performance against Sheffield United are testaments to his transformative influence.

Luis Enrique, a celebrated figure in the footballing realm, faces a challenging task with PSG. The team’s inconsistent form suggests there’s still work to be done. Their defensive resilience, however, especially in away games, is noteworthy.

Expected Goals and Tactical Comparison

Newcastle’s expected assists (xA) stats highlight Trippier’s importance, with an xA of 2.09, indicating his proficiency in creating chances. This emphasis on wing play, combined with central players like Isak, presents a multi-dimensional threat.

PSG, with their attacking talent pool, naturally boasts higher xA figures. Their style focuses on swift ball movement and exploiting spaces using the agility of players like Mbappe and Dembélé.

However, in a direct comparison, Newcastle’s current form, especially their defensive solidity, could pose problems for PSG. Their run of five clean sheets, with players like Trippier and Guimarães performing consistently, can potentially stifle PSG’s renowned attack.

Recommendations and Dynamics

For Newcastle, it would be prudent to maintain their defensive shape and exploit PSG on the counter, capitalising on Almiron and Isak’s capabilities. PSG, meanwhile, should focus on varying their attacking plays, ensuring they don’t become overly reliant on Mbappe.

Pros, Cons and Final Thoughts

Newcastle’s primary strength lies in their reformed defence and the ability to counterattack with precision. Their recent form and home advantage further amplify their strengths. However, the injuries to key players like Harvey Barnes and Joe Willock could be a concern.

PSG’s strength is undoubtedly their attacking prowess. With players like Mbappe and Hakimi, they can change the complexion of a game within moments. However, their inconsistency and over-reliance on certain players can be exploited.

In conclusion, this game promises a tantalising mix of staunch defence against formidable offence. As strategies unfold and individual brilliance comes to the fore, it remains to be seen which team asserts its dominance on the European stage.

The Champions League Clash: The Top Predictions

1. Match Result: Draw As we delve into the statistical depths of both teams, the first prediction centres around the match result. Newcastle United, in their triumphant return to the Champions League, demonstrated an ironclad defence, especially in their away match against AC Milan.

This newfound defensive prowess paired with PSG’s recent struggles in away fixtures suggests a tightly contested match. Even though PSG have a formidable away record, they’ve only managed two wins in their last nine European away games. Combining these factors, it’s plausible to anticipate a draw between the two sides.

2. Correct Score: 1-1 Building upon the prediction of a draw, the next natural step is to forecast the scoreline. Given the offensive firepower both teams possess, it’s unlikely the game will conclude goalless. Newcastle’s recent goal spree, especially the record-breaking eight-goal haul against Sheffield United, demonstrates their attacking might. On the other hand, PSG’s players like Mbappe can never be discounted from finding the net. Thus, a 1-1 score seems a reasonable bet.

3. Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe The footballing prodigy, Kylian Mbappe, has been PSG’s star player for several seasons now. His early penalty conversion in this Champions League campaign against Borussia Dortmund is a testament to his clinical nature. Given Newcastle’s probable defensive approach, the pace and skill of Mbappe could be pivotal in breaking the deadlock for the Parisians.

4. Corner Prediction: Newcastle to Edge It One of the more nuanced facets of a football match is the battle for corners, often a reflection of attacking intent. Given the statistics, Newcastle average 4.6 corners per game this season, indicating a side that is often on the front foot. While PSG are known for their attacking prowess, their recent away form in Europe suggests they may not dominate this aspect entirely. Hence, the Magpies might just edge out PSG in the corner tally.

5. Shot on Target: Miguel Almirón When examining Newcastle’s recent fixtures, one player continually stands out: Miguel Almirón. He’s been pivotal in Newcastle’s attacking setup, scoring key goals including a stunner against Burnley. Backing Almirón to have at least one shot on target during the game seems a solid bet, given his propensity to test goalkeepers.

6. Yellow Card: Anthony Gordon Disciplinary actions can often swing the momentum of a game. Anthony Gordon, despite his undeniable talent, tops Newcastle’s yellow card tally with five. Given the magnitude of the fixture and the high stakes involved, it wouldn’t be a stretch to predict that Gordon might find himself in the referee’s book during the course of the match.

7. Assist Potential: Kieran Trippier In the realm of creating opportunities, few have been as instrumental for Newcastle as Kieran Trippier. With an impressive four assists this season, he leads the team in this metric. Furthermore, his expected assists (xA) of 2.09 which has materialised into four actual assists suggests he’s playing at an elite level. Given his form and the likelihood of Newcastle scoring, Trippier stands a good chance of adding to his assist tally.

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Tyler Morris
Sports writer and analyst Tyler Morris has more than eight years of experience writing about a range of sports. He has considerable knowledge of football, and he has also covered US sports extensively, offering in-depth comments and analysis on the most recent events in these sports. Tyler is a respected specialist in the field since he utilises his knowledge to provide incisive analysis and opinion on the most recent sports events with a track record of successful tips.