Newcastle and Manchester United are going head-to-head once again, a month after Erik ten Hag’s side won the league cup final by defeating the Geordies. Can Eddie Howe’s men get revenge on Sunday afternoon? Graham Hartshorn has provided us with the full analysis for this St James’ Park cracker and three betting tips, which include a main bet and a value bet at 11/2.
Newcastle vs Manchester United predictions for Sunday’s Premier League clash at St James’ Park. Manchester United head to Newcastle in a match that could decide the top-four battle. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips below.
Match Live In:
Newcastle vs Manchester United Predictions
Key Stats
– Man Utd have shipped a massive 27 goals in 13 away games in the Premier League this season
– Newcastle are averaging 22.69 fouls per game at St. James Park’s this season
Are Newcastle A Serious Top 4 Contender?
If you are a Newcastle fan, you probably couldn’t have asked more from this season. Yes, the Geordies felt short of securing a title, but that will probably come soon if they keep on this growing trajectory. Especially when playing at home, Eddie Howe’s side have been impressive, and this weekend offers them the opportunity to make a big statement that they now need to be considered one of the top teams in the Premier League.
Team News & Form
After three straight wins before the international break, a win would not only boost their confidence but also help them get back into the top four.United are a top rival in the Champions League race as they sit just three points above Newcastle in third place. After a very positive spell, their form has dipped, but they have still won three of their last four games, and they will be a fierce opponent that still has more class than the hosts.
It has been a busy season for Manchester United, as Erik ten Hag’s men have already played 23 games since the start of the calendar year, and if they keep progressing in cup competitions, this number is likely to increase significantly.
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After securing the Carabao Cup, they are still fighting for the FA Cup and the Europa League, so managing resources will be a very important task for the Dutch manager and his staff.
This is a difficult trip, and considering that the international break didn’t mean for them to rest as most of their players had to play their part in their national teams, we could potentially see some tired legs in the Red Devils, with the Magpies that could take advantage in front of their crowd.
A major blow for the hosts, though, is the absence of Miguel Almiron, who has played a pivotal role for Eddie Howe this season. Manchester United will also have their concerns as Casemiro is out after his red card received in the last match played for the Red Devils, although we could see Christian Eriksen back at some point during the game.
Newcastle vs Manchester United Betting Tips: Draw
TEST  £20 returns £90  Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change |
Overall, we can certainly say that Erik ten Hag’s first season in charge is very positive. Not only was he able to turn things around after years of disappointments, but he has managed to give consistency to a team that not only is in the driver’s seat for a top-four finish but that has also won a trophy, the EFL Cup, and that is still in the running for two more, the FA Cup and the Europa League.
It must have been hard, however, to regroup after a 7-0 drubbing at the hands of Liverpool, also because that result came completely out of the blue. They have done so in good style, though, as after that terrible afternoon, they have won three times with one draw in the last four matches.
So, is everything fine? Not really. If we look a bit deeper into these performances, we can see that they have won twice against Real Betis and then only managed to get a draw against bottom side Southampton, even if they had some excuses due to having to play with 10 men for most of the game.
They then won 3-1 against Fulham in the FA Cup, but how much of that was due to their skills and how much was due to the Cottagers implosion in this part of the season remains an open question. This is the match they will face after Liverpool, the most serious hurdle in a very hostile environment, and I think they will struggle.
Newcastle vs Manchester United Prediction: Bruno Fernandes to be carded
| £20 return £52 Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change |
For the next bet, we are looking at the card market, where I believe there is a very good opportunity to be taken. Newcastle are averaging 22.69 fouls per game at St. James Park this season, as they sometimes try to frustrate their opponents.
And Bruno is one of these players that gets easily annoyed, especially when they are playing tight and complicated away games. Looking at the stats, only three players picked up more cards than him last season, and this term, he has been booked on ten occasions.
This Sunday’s referee will be Stuart Attwell, who is well known to make large use of his cards, so I believe there is a great value in this bet today with the Geordies ready to fly into the tackles and stop their most skilled opponents.
Newcastle vs Manchester United Value Bet: Allan Saint-Maximin To Score Anytime
| £20 return £140 Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change |
The value bet for this Sunday’s clash is, in my opinion, to back Allan Saint-Maximin to score anytime. William Hill has the best price guarantee on him to do so at 11/2 (it was 9/2) at the moment of writing, and I think it is surely worth a shot. Despite scoring regularly, Manchester United have been pretty leaky at the back this season, especially on their travels, where they have shipped a massive 27 goals in 13 games.
Of course, the 7-0 has made this number look particularly bad, but even if we exclude that afternoon of madness, they are still averaging 1.67 goals per away game conceded. In terms of scoring, it hasn’t been the best season for Saint-Maximin, who has netted just once, but he has always been creating opportunities, and he is still averaging a decent 1.2 shots per game. At this price, backing him to score at some point against a vulnerable and tired United defence is a good bet.
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